Global broadband subscribers – 2018 prediction

Point Topic unveiled its latest five-year global broadband subscriber forecast, which shows strong African growth

By - November 2, 2013 Share on LinkedIn
Satellite broadband

Broadband research firm Point Topic released its latest forecasts, which estimate that there will be 925 million broadband subscribers worldwide by the end of 2018.

This is lower than their previous estimates as they saw continued declining growth rates in the world’s major broadband markets – the US, China and Japan.

“It is now becoming less likely that the 1 billion subscriber mark will be exceeded within this decade,” Point-Topic predicted.

The following graph shows Point Topic’s predicted global broadband growth.

World Broadband forecast

World Broadband forecast

Broadband subscriber growth by region

Whilst globally broadband growth is expected to remain fairly constant, Point Topic predicted differences between the growth in different regions.

World Broadband forecast

World Broadband forecast

At the end of 2018, 40% of the world’s broadband subscribers are expected to be in South and East Asia, compared to 34% at the end of June 2013.

Eastern Europe and Latin America are expected to have comparable growth rates and market shares over the next five years. Growth will be slowest in the developed markets of Western Europe, Asia-Pacific and North America.

Based on recent growth trends, Point Topic reduced their broadband forecasts for all markets other than the Middle East and Africa.

This is due to continued slow growth in the world’s largest broadband markets, and in particular the US, China and Japan.

Several markets in Western Europe reported a loss of broadband subscribers in recent quarters. In these markets, copper broadband subscriptions continue to decline as the fibre market grows rapidly – but net growth rates remain slow.

Broadband growth in different regions

Broadband growth in different regions

Broadband subscriber growth by market type

These differences in broadband subscriber growth across the world are driven by how developed the broadband market is within a particular country.

Point Topic uses three different classifications depending on the age of the market: emerging, youthful and mature.

World broadband subscriber forecast

World broadband subscriber forecast

In total, the youthful markets have the greatest volume of subscribers, but they are seeing the most rapid growth across the emerging markets.

Broadband subscriber numbers in the more mature markets (Western Europe, South Korea and Hong Kong) are only expected to grow by 12% over the next five years.

Fastest broadband growth

Fastest broadband growth

Source: Point-Topic

More Global Broadband articles

Top broadband growth countries in the world

South Africa’s broadband prices benchmarked

Global broadband stats: FTTH making waves

Share your thoughts

Join the conversation

Connect with Us

androidappletwitterfacebookgoogleplusfeednewsletter

Poll

Do you use Yahoo's search or email services?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

More News

The SABC would be foolish to oppose us: Union

SABC logo TV screens

On the heels of the victory of four of the axed SABC journalists in the Labour Court on Tuesday, three of their other dismissed colleagues now effectively have a winning chance as well, their union Bemawu said.

South Africa’s ADSL ISPs ranked by customer service levels

South Africa ISPs

The latest Hellopeter Index reveals which ADSL Internet service provider in South Africa has the best customer service.

Apple’s car project gets a leader

Apple car

Apple executive Bob Mansfield will lead Apple’s automobile project, the Wall Street Journal reported.

BlackBerry DTEK50 – the world’s most secure Android smartphone

BlackBerry DTEK50

Pre-orders have opened for BlackBerry’s latest Android smartphone.

Free MyBroadband Newsletter
×