
Originally Posted by
Markd
You dont "do stocks" that continue to grow. You do CML and AVI and that's all.
If you're investing for the longer term, who cares about what happened today on the market Marco?? Who cares about volatility of a given stock so long as the longer term direction is up? Not you, because I'm guessing you never sell CML and AVI anyway, even on down days? And yes, they DO have down days, just like all stocks!
If I were investing for the shorter term, and if I were worried about today, heck, if i were worried about the last year, then Woolworths (WHL - 71%) would have been a better pick than both AVI (61%) and CML (55%) from a 'growth' perspective. Heck even taking divs into account. WHL incidently was up 1.5% today too, again beating out your two favourites. BUt lets not get confused. Today counts for **** in the investors life.
Over the last 10 years, CML grew 780%, AVI grew 475%, and MR Price outperformed them both with 2306% growth. All three companies are regarded as "midcaps". Even handsome dividends cant account for the difference. Pinnacle, a small cap, has grown 11,000% over 10 years! It's the "flavour of the month" because people are taking notice now - not because its only just started performing.
So its cool - CML and AVI are awesome, dependable, reliable stocks that are diversified from a risk perspective. CML invests in other companies (like Clicks for example) and AVI has such divergent brands as I&J and Jimmy Choo under its umbrella. But CML and AVI are by no means the best longer term performers on the stock exchange, even when taking dividends into account (from a purely historical point of view). So I just want to make clear to anyone who might take your posts as pure gospel, and perhaps even to you, that if your research is extensive enough, you'd be able to easily identify stronger investments than CML and AVI - in hindsight!
I think your outlook for the future is that these two stocks are "safe" because of low volatility combined with a general trend up so far, and that anything that goes up and down is less predictable and therefore "not safe". This irrational fear will lead to you not finding potentially exceptional investments because you have the blinkers on, and thats your loss, not mine. I couldnt give a monkeys tail if you want to do that - its fine with me. However readers need to realise the simple truth that there is obviously alot more potential out there than 2 stocks. Research should also be forward looking - not just backward looking, or based on today.
For reference, in my portfolio i have WHL and CML, but not AVI and MRP or PNC, so i dont feel like i have too much bias on the topic.AVI, MRP and PNC are all being watched closely, and when i check out the recent performance, expected future performance, management plans and other fundamental information, I'll decide if I feel that one might be attractive to get a position in. I keep an open mind and will happily pickup any investment that will deliver a solid return, and dump any other investment that goes too far south beyond a certain point. Volatility is for day traders.
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