Wonder if there is a way to increase my chances in the lucky draw??? I'm assuming all tickets will be oversubscribed. But to what extend?
Lets say 5 billion people are eligible to apply for Cat 1,2,3 while only 45mil people are eligible to apply for Cat 4, since cat 4 is avail only to S.Africans. Should I assume therefore, that cat 4 is my better bet? Since its also very concievable that of the 45 mil people in SA, as a % a shyte load of us will apply for Cat 4 tickets (given the price); However if only a fraction of the 5 bil (rest of the world) apply, that's still a shyte load of apps. Question is which will be more oversubscribed???
In addition can I increase my chances applying for a higher Cat ticket vs Cat 4; since if I dont get drawn in the Cat 4 lot, will I get a another 2 chances if I apply for say Cat 2, i.e. I will go into the Cat 3 lot, then again in the Cat 4 lot???
Also its highly concievable that the most oversubscribed Cat will be Cat 3; (since cat 4 is avail only to S.Africans). And cat 3 is the least expensive of categories 1, 2, 3. However there is probably more Cat 4 seats vs Cat 3 seats vs Cats 2 seats vs Cat 1 seats. So how does seat numbers influence my chances ???
Please someone that understands the draw & is a magician in stats; HELP! . I dont want to miss out again
Sign up with Google