ANC backed by 74% of decided voters

dlk001

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New poll shows that breakaway Cope won’t dent ruling party’s super-majority

The African National Congress will be returned to parliament with a greater majority than it achieved in the previous election, despite an internal split which has given birth to a new political party.

According to a poll, conducted by Plus 94 Research, if South Africans were to participate in elections now, an overwhelming 74% of decided voters would cast their ballot for the ANC — 5% more than in the 2004 election.

More than 65% of black voters have decided who to vote for compared to 54% of whites and 40% of coloureds. Of the decided voters, the ANC was the preferred party for 84% of blacks, 15% of whites, 50% of coloureds and 47% of Indians.

In addition, 74% of South Africans 50 years and older said they would vote for the ANC. The figure is even higher among younger voters (80%).

According to the survey, the ruling party would also be the largest single party in all nine provincial legislatures, including KwaZulu-Natal, with 81%, and the Western Cape with 54%.

The detailed survey also found that the ANC splinter group, the Congress of the People, led by former defence minister Mosiuoa “Terror” Lekota, would not be able to dent the ANC’s super-majority.

The poll was conducted in all nine provinces, using face-to-face, in-home interviews.

A total of 3500 homes were covered, with 29% of the sample conducted in rural areas and 61% in the urban centres. The survey’s race split was 76% blacks, 13% whites, 8% coloureds and 3% Indians. The poll has a margin of error of 1.5%.
http://www.thetimes.co.za/News/Article.aspx?id=890408
 
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QX6700RULZ

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lol 3600 homes whoopee, stats can be made to tell any tale you want them to, we shall see on election day :)
 

xrapidx

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100% of the 74% also probably don't blame the ANC for the **** this country is in - i.e. crime, cost of living, unemployment, homeless, etc.
 

w1z4rd

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Im sorry.. I dont believe those stats. I know theyre ganna lose the EC. Im guessing those poles did not take "man on the street" opinions in the EC. Its hard to find an ANC supporter here.
 

Sneeky

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Thats great, but then why are the ANC talkoing more about COPE than they are about the ANC these days?
 

w1z4rd

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Does anyone else not believe those stats? I know their ANC EC take is wrong.
 
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Yeah, I can't believe that the ANC will increase it's majority in the Western Cape by 10% :eek:. How is that possible when there's a massive split in the Western Cape ANC?
 

w1z4rd

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Yeah, I can't believe that the ANC will increase it's majority in the Western Cape by 10% :eek:. How is that possible when there's a massive split in the Western Cape ANC?

I didnt even notice that. I call CARP on this poll.
 

fskmh

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“From what I can deduce from the research ... the ANC appears to be encoded in the genes of the people of South Africa. It is a stronger brand than what Cope thinks,” he said.

Sounds like a fail-proof null-hypothesis to me :rolleyes:.

Let's see what Plus 94 Online has to say on their homepage:
http://www.plus94online.co.za/
Not only does the pleasure of dealing with Plus 94 stem from the fact that innovativeness is a tradition at the company, but also from the knowledge that the company is not bound by tradition itself.
Plus 94 is a dynamic, authentic and intellectual organization that has achieved the most rapid growth in the history of market research in South Africa.

Very subtle, I'm really impressed.


An unbeatable empowerment record
Plus 94 is owned by its operative directors (100% Black Owned). It is one of the few top market research companies that has genuinely taken empowerment to the limit by empowering at all levels. The company prides itself in being an accurate mirror image of the population which it serves, and considers this to be part of its broad social responsibility and patriotic duty. Because South Africa has a unique history, we believe that private business must voluntarily play an active and aggressive role in transforming the country.

Nice one guys, your check is in the mail.
 

Surv0

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i seriously hope people dont believe these stats...
 

4cer

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um so if its 100% black owned and representative of SA population... does that mean im black ?
 

w1z4rd

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This was not very subtle of the ANC... if you pay for a survey at least make them look real.
 

Peder

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this is such kark...

I can goto about 50 Black people living in a township and ask them who they will vote for and i believe 75% will NOT vote for the ANC,
 

BigAl-sa

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New poll shows that breakaway Cope won’t dent ruling party’s super-majority.
[snip]
According to a poll, conducted by Plus 94 Research, if South Africans were to participate in elections now, an overwhelming 74% of decided voters would cast their ballot for the ANC — 5% more than in the 2004 election.
[snip]

WHO?

Im sorry.. I dont believe those stats. I know theyre ganna lose the EC. Im guessing those poles did not take "man on the street" opinions in the EC. Its hard to find an ANC supporter here.

Does anyone else not believe those stats? I know their ANC EC take is wrong.
I'm totally with you boet!
 

sox63

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I don't know why ST published this really, if you look at when the survey was conducted:
The researchers were at pains to point out their field work started in the last two weeks of October and ended in mid-November — a few days after Cope’s Sandton convention, attended by 6000 delegates.

COPE has managed to do a LOT since that Convention.
 

Moederloos

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What is a "decided" voter. And how many people ARE decided?

Anyways, since 65% of blacks have decided, and 84% of those are ANC, and blacks make up, what?, 80% of the population, then:

for every million voters, 80% are black, or 800 000.
of the 800 000, 65% are decided. That is 520 000.
Of those, 84% are ANC. so 436 000.

So, for every million voters, 436 000 are black ANC voters.

Even taking into account the white and Indian ANC votes, this is around 50% - or 18% or so lower than the last elections.

And, as Sox said, it is an OLD poll...
 

SlinkyMike

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Of the decided voters, the ANC was the preferred party for 84% of blacks, 15% of whites, 50% of coloureds and 47% of Indians.

I don't mean to stir up a hornets nest but I have lived in Cape Town all my life and this is BS.
There is Just. No. Way.
 

TheHiveMind

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Seems to me, like a campaign to dis-hearten voters, so they don't vote for opposition. Kinda like saying, your vote isn't going to count, so don't bother. Im still going to vote no matter what they say.
 
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