ANC backed by 74% of decided voters

[siphox]

Before this survey, another was published which showed that in urban areas, the ANC and DA are neck to neck. DA supporters were over the moon at this. And ANC supporters did not believe it. Its all about acceptiing and rejecting what you want to hear. If you are told bad news, you first try to reject it. If you are told very good news, you accept it quickly.
However, we have to look at the manner at which the survey was done. This current one is much more comprehensive then the first one. I believe in the second one, it was much broader and reached most black people and white, coloured and Indians.

 

[siphox]

The opposition you are talking about does not exist. On Asikhulumeni, the host,Xolani summoned all the opposition parties and all were given a chance to display their policies and express themselves. Its a joke. THey simply make policies different to the ANC for the sake of difference and opposition. THere is no way any one of these opposition leader can make south africa a better place. TheFF plus, has the mandate to defend the interest of the Afrikaner, especially the language. THE ACDP is vague, the DA thinks that because it has polcies people should vote for it.
Please let the ANC run this country.

 

[sox63]

Before this survey, another was published which showed that in urban areas, the ANC and DA are neck to neck. DA supporters were over the moon at this. And ANC supporters did not believe it. Its all about acceptiing and rejecting what you want to hear. If you are told bad news, you first try to reject it. If you are told very good news, you accept it quickly.However, we have to look at the manner at which the survey was done. This current one is much more comprehensive then the first one. I believe in the second one, it was much broader and reached most black people and white, coloured and Indians.

You just accepted the one which you agree with.

And I was not questioning the results of the survey, just that when it was conducted, there was no COPE, just a conference where a bunch of people decided to start a party. Since that weekend COPE has gone on to show they are a serious threat to the ANC. Even without having concrete policies.

 

[risingtide]

The poll was conducted in all nine provinces, using face-to-face, in-home interviews.

by agents wearing ANC T-shirts?

To say that one is voting for the ANC is simply the safe option. Why make ones life potentially miserable by telling the truth to someone who just appears at your door uninvited?

 

[Moederloos]

Before this survey, another was published which showed that in urban areas, the ANC and DA are neck to neck. DA supporters were over the moon at this. And ANC supporters did not believe it. Its all about acceptiing and rejecting what you want to hear. If you are told bad news, you first try to reject it. If you are told very good news, you accept it quickly.
However, we have to look at the manner at which the survey was done. This current one is much more comprehensive then the first one. I believe in the second one, it was much broader and reached most black people and white, coloured and Indians.

If you qualify "black" with "people", do it for all races.

And they did not reach "most" .... "people". It was 3500 homes.

 

[stoke]

Lipservice.
I hope the ANC paid for this survey, and wasted 2 million of their own money on it, and not any of my money.

Until all parties are given the opportunity to state their case and sell themselves to the public, polls are not going to mean anything.

 

[Asha'man X]

I said to my dad after I read this report that stats can be manipulated to make it look like anything is possible. Really, the survey is out of touch with the common person's feelings these days. The way the US election ran shone a brand new light onto this country's "leaders," and the youth did not like what they saw, hence the major surge to get registered to vote.

ANC will not get home comfortable at all this coming election. Add the fact that floor crossing is now gone again, and things get interesting.

 

[fskmh]

If you are told bad news, you first try to reject it. If you are told very good news, you accept it quickly.
However, we have to look at the manner at which the survey was done. This current one is much more comprehensive then the first one. I believe in the second one, it was much broader and reached most black people and white, coloured and Indians.

http://mybroadband.co.za/vb/showthread.php?t=50982

How do you feel about the market research now?

The opposition you are talking about does not exist.

The non-existent DA got 12% in the 2004 elections, and that was mainly cos the NNP sold out and joined up with the ANC. Wanna bet the DA won't increase that and reduce that 2/3 majority of the ANC?

On Asikhulumeni, the host,Xolani summoned all the opposition parties and all were given a chance to display their policies and express themselves. Its a joke. THey simply make policies different to the ANC for the sake of difference and opposition. THere is no way any one of these opposition leader can make south africa a better place. TheFF plus, has the mandate to defend the interest of the Afrikaner, especially the language. THE ACDP is vague, the DA thinks that because it has polcies people should vote for it.
Please let the ANC run this country.

Your argument is the joke here. The only thing that holds a government in check is accountability, and only a strong opposition can bring that.

 

[capetownguy]

of the 66% or whatever who vote for the ANC, an interesting stat will be
1. how many have passed matric?
2. how many have jobs?
3. how many get a social grant?
4. how many live in formal homes?

To all the ANC voters at mybroadband. use your kop.

 

[capetownguy]

THey simply make policies different to the ANC for the sake of difference and opposition. THere is no way any one of these opposition leader can make south africa a better place.

I assume you've read e.g. the DA's sports policy, which will create a high performance centre as Australia and the UK are doing...hence they are getting medals.

Since the policies of the opposition are a joke, can they possibly be worse than the current policies on crime in RSA?

The ANC deliver houses at a ridiculously low rate in CT, while the DA have been cut off completely because they do a better job. How would an opposition party be any worse in terms of delivering homes?

Would opposition parties policies also result in the Eskom mess?

Would opposition parties even be able to create a larger mess than Home Affairs?

What happened when these "opposition parties" took control of Cape Town after the ANC left the city in a financial, administrative and HR mess?

 

[dlk001]

Im sorry.. I dont believe those stats. I know theyre ganna lose the EC.

I also find the stats inconsistent to my experience.

Im guessing those poles did not take "man on the street" opinions in the EC. Its hard to find an ANC supporter here.

You should post your survey results.

 

[Raithlin]

You should post your survey results.

I'd still like to know how many of the homes surveyed were "undecided".

 

[Devill]

New poll shows that breakaway Cope won’t dent ruling party’s super-majority

The African National Congress will be returned to parliament with a greater majority than it achieved in the previous election, despite an internal split which has given birth to a new political party.

According to a poll, conducted by Plus 94 Research, if South Africans were to participate in elections now, an overwhelming 74% of decided voters would cast their ballot for the ANC — 5% more than in the 2004 election.

More than 65% of black voters have decided who to vote for compared to 54% of whites and 40% of coloureds. Of the decided voters, the ANC was the preferred party for 84% of blacks, 15% of whites, 50% of coloureds and 47% of Indians.

In addition, 74% of South Africans 50 years and older said they would vote for the ANC. The figure is even higher among younger voters (80%).

According to the survey, the ruling party would also be the largest single party in all nine provincial legislatures, including KwaZulu-Natal, with 81%, and the Western Cape with 54%.

The detailed survey also found that the ANC splinter group, the Congress of the People, led by former defence minister Mosiuoa “Terror” Lekota, would not be able to dent the ANC’s super-majority.

The poll was conducted in all nine provinces, using face-to-face, in-home interviews.

A total of 3500 homes were covered, with 29% of the sample conducted in rural areas and 61% in the urban centres. The survey’s race split was 76% blacks, 13% whites, 8% coloureds and 3% Indians. The poll has a margin of error of 1.5%.
http://www.thetimes.co.za/News/Article.aspx?id=890408

Mmmm could it not be that the undecided people just have not made up their mind wether to vot DA, FF, Cope, etc etc? Also in what province did they do this? And lets be honest 3500 poled for a total of +-60 mil is not reliable

 

[dlk001]

I'd still like to know how many of the homes surveyed were "undecided".

Same here.

Only 3% of ANC voters mentioned liking the leader of the ANC as a reason for voting for the party.

But, I bet there's many more that would kill for the current leader.

 

[Raithlin]

More than 65% of black voters have decided who to vote for compared to 54% of whites and 40% of coloureds.

35% black voters undecided.
46% white voters undecided.
60% coloured voters undecided.

3500 homes...

The survey’s race split was 76% blacks, 13% whites, 8% coloureds and 3% Indians

2660 black homes = 1729 decided, 931 undecided homes
455 white homes = 246 decided, 209 undecided homes
385 coloured (and Indian) = 154 decided, 231 undecided homes.

So, 2129 decided, 1371 undecided. That gives me a 60.8% decided, 39.2% undecided. Of the decided, 74% decided to tell the survey they would vote ANC. (This is, after all, just an opinion poll.) That gives me 1575 out of 3500 = 45% decided on the ANC - a much more accurate number, IMO.

 

[Raithlin]

Sorry for the double post - this deserves its own post.

Falala said if his company’s findings held until the next election, there could be the highest level of voter apathy since 1994, as not all of the 61% that had a preferred political party were expected to cast their ballots.

I find this rather interesting... except the company's findings didn't take into account the massive voter registration that happened after the survey was done.

 

[boramk]

These stats are only based on one area... If they surveyed all areas, they'd find: All the Cape provinces will be lost by the ANC and many more losing majority

 

[dlk001]

These stats are only based on one area...

or maybe is was an internal Plus 94 staff survey!

 

[boramk]

or maybe is was an internal Plus 94 staff survey!

In anycase, it seems to be Pro ANC. Don't let this fail stat discourage people from voting

 

[shadowfox]

I'm still trying to come to terms with the fact that they only used 3,500 samples.

And I'm betting it was done in a single area - rather than across the country. I'll put extra money on the area in question being an ANC stronghold.