ANC losing supporters - survey

[BBSA]

There was an 11 percent drop in support for the ANC in major metropolitan areas around the time of the establishment of the new Congress of the People (COPE) party, according to a survey released on Monday.

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[Slootvreter]

Sadly they're still the biggest party.

 

[Guest 20221009]

Encouraging news..it might not be enough to cause a major upset next year. But yeah, its a step in the right direction. I got tons of friends and family who pro ANC for years and most are currently jumping ship.

My dad was actively involved with them, in his high school day and almost went into exile, but he has effectively cut all ties with the movement.

 

[Angelo]

ANC losing supporters - survey Reply to Thread

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Surveys are unreliable, let's wait for the elections and see.

 

[Geriatrix]

Surveys are unreliable, let's wait for the elections and see.

+1
Unfortunately I have to agree. I think the ANC support will be even bigger than the in the last election.

 

[shadowfox]

+1
Unfortunately I have to agree. I think the ANC support will be even bigger than the in the last election.

I wouldn't go that far. The ANC will probably still win ... but I doubt it will be quite the landslide it was in 2004. Surveys aside - I've heard enough former ANC supporters say that they'll be switching allegiance.

I'm not going to call that survey gospel - but I think it gives a pretty good indication.

 

[dlk001]

Surveys are unreliable, let's wait for the elections and see.

Looks like its a war of surveys.

 

[Tassidar]

Looks like its a war of surveys.

My survey is bigger than yours.

 

[w1z4rd]

Surveys are unreliable, let's wait for the elections and see.

ltns
Did not notice you were back. wb.

 

[kilps]

This is all good and well - but not surveying rural areas renders it useless. But it does point towards the ANC loosing that super majority - which would be the best thing for everybody

 

[-toady-]

ltns
Did not notice you were back. wb.

x2

 

[Devill]

Sadly they're still the biggest party.

Yeah but every little bit that is taken away will help

Surveys are unreliable, let's wait for the elections and see.

+1

+1
Unfortunately I have to agree. I think the ANC support will be even bigger than the in the last election.

I think the anc's support will take a dive, not a great one but around 5-10%

 

[Tassidar]

I hope the ANC gets reduced to around the slightly below the 50% mark. This will mean that it sheds 28% of its voters. This will mean that democracy can truly work in this country.

 

[Angelo]

ltns
Did not notice you were back. wb.

Yes I am, calmer and less scathing.

No more drama.

Just visiting though.

 

[Sly21C]

There survey was conducted in metropolitan areas, which means that mostly educated people or the middle and working class were surveyed or interviewed and so that is not a lot of people. Even if some survey were to establish that 80% of people from metropolitan areas won't vote for the ANC, that would still not be good enough to unsettle the ANC's hold on power simply because this country is full of poor people and poor people don't really make informed decisions.

I think we all know that the ANC will win next year's election. The question we have to ask ourselves is will they win with a majority or not. If COPE wants to take away votes from the ANC then COPE have to convince a large number of people from poor communities that COPE is a party that will deliver.

Despite what I have said. Let's assume for example that COPE wins next year's election with say 40% and the ANC get 38%, won't that lead to a civil war? Won't the ANC dispute the elections and accuse COPE of rigging the elections and then have Malema incite violence and then a situation whereby hundreds or even thousands of COPE supporters and members getting killed? I think this country is very much immature and not ready for democracy yet. Intimidation is widespread, especially in poor communities. Where I am from, if I support COPE and let people know, I would get beaten up or worse.

Anyway, I hope cope clips ANC's wings and takes away their majority in next year's election.

 

[Gothan]

You know, I would be happy if cope takes only about 25% of the anc vote, that means no more two thirds majority for them, and if its 25% or more, we might have a situation where the anc has 45% - 49% of the total votes.

If the opposition can then just freakin band together in parly, it will be a very electrifying 4 years

 

[Slootvreter]

Thumbs down

Despite what I have said. Let's assume for example that COPE wins next year's election with say 40% and the ANC get 38%, won't that lead to a civil war?

This is the problem with African politics. May the strongest man win, no matter how he does it. Tribal and barbaric. That's how they've been doing it in the rest of Africa, and that's why there's always some war and we sit with the disease ridden 'asylum seekers'.

 

[dlk001]

My survey is bigger than yours.

 

[kilps]

Despite what I have said. Let's assume for example that COPE wins next year's election with say 40% and the ANC get 38%, won't that lead to a civil war? Won't the ANC dispute the elections and accuse COPE of rigging the elections and then have Malema incite violence and then a situation whereby hundreds or even thousands of COPE supporters and members getting killed? I think this country is very much immature and not ready for democracy yet. Intimidation is widespread, especially in poor communities. Where I am from, if I support COPE and let people know, I would get beaten up or worse.

The potential for violence is most certainly not a reason not to hope for the ANC loosing the election. Rather work within the ideals of democracy and deal with such inconveniences as they come along.