What do they gain by this?
Perhaps this
(Nkosazana Dlamini - Bootleg Smokes) might point you to the answer of what there is to gain?
This guy have been implicated in several bootleg smoke busts/scandals. Taking the frequency that government officials and/or family members have been connected to corruption, murder and narcotics syndicates, it would not be much of a stretch to assume that there is some connection the the import and distribution of illegal(bootleg) smokes.
If the assumption is correct, the following reasoning would make the gains abundantly clear:
- Political connections would ensure he is still able to distribute... considering that we are still able to buy smokes it would be safe to assume some or one of the syndicate rings are still operational and are slipping through the cracks.
- Any syndicates with no political connections will close down due to the financial and law enforcement pressure.
- The quantity of tobacco found on his premise is without any doubt, stock... the story that he was helping out "small businesses" is rather thin.
- The affected syndicates would likely not be able to import the bootleg smokes after the ban is lifted. Why? The suppliers are more likely to back the few(or one) syndicate that remained reliable during the ban than reestablish trade with the the guys affected by the ban for fear of a recurrence of this situation. They are after all a business. Reliable income will always outweigh relationships.
- Implementing what i like to call and "Insanity test", it is far more likely that the ban was put in place to benefit her son as supposed to the ridiculous notion that it was done for public health.
The Short Version:
She Wanted to close down the competition to ensure her son obtains a captured market. The South Africa was hit hard financially by the side effects of the lock down and it would not make sense to cause a dramatic decrease in the so called"Sin Tax" by banning smokes... unless they could somehow benefit from it. I assume the dramatic increase in the price tag of bootleg smokes might be a "coping method" for the decrease in Sin Tax.
Food for thought.