- Feb 9, 2010
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The real number is that the antibody studies are showing that the true number of infections is 100's of times higher than simply those who have been tested. Remember, 80+% of people who get infected have such mild symptoms they will never get screened out for a test.Without a doubt. And consider now that over 10% of all tests done are returning a positive result! So if you got a 9 day back log of what is it? 80k odd tests, that's at least another 8000, as yet, unconfirmed infections.
That is only if you think the positive cases from tests done are the only infections in the country. I have an idea that there are far, far more people infected the 70k that have tested positive so far.
Everywhere in the world seems to be closing in on an actual mortality rate of around 0.2% based on true infection numbers off the back of widespread antibody testing.
Yeah, and the health department trumpets the dead/tested positives as the mortality rate. It's meaningless and incorrect.It's the case fatality rate, if you know the asymptotic count it'll be the IFR.
CFR is a widely used metric measuring the number of reported deaths per number of confirmed cases? So maybe the health minister needs to specify? But the CFR is correct based on the numbers at hand....Yeah, and the health department trumpets the dead/tested positives as the mortality rate. It's meaningless and incorrect.
Unless, like sandman, the government thinks we only have 70K infected people in this country.
What is? The CFR? Well, a lot higher than the IFR, that's for sure. SA's is comparatively low compared to the rest of the world. So what can we deduce from that?It is, but it's normally high.
See how often it's stated as the mortality rate...CFR is different to the mortality rate
Yes, also correct, however. From wiki... A CFR can only be considered final when all the cases have been resolved (either died or recovered). The preliminary CFR, for example, during the course of an outbreak with a high daily increase and long resolution time would be substantially lower than the final CFR.No. Case fatality rate would be dividing the number of deaths by the closed cases. Dividing the number of dead by the positive cases is just statistical noise.
This is the ANCSee how often it's stated as the mortality rate...
Health Minister, Dr Zweli Mkhize says as the number of Covid-19 deaths nears 1 000, South Africa’s mortality rate remains at 2%, well below the global average of 6%.www.algoafm.co.za
As the number of the coronavirus deaths nears 1 000, Health Minister Zweli Mkhize on Saturday said the mortality rate remains at 2%, well below the global average of 6%.www.news24.com
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