COVID-19 - Western Cape versus Gauteng

Gordon_R

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Geoff.D

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Of course, there is virtually no chance that the other provinces will take any advice from WC, they won't on principle and because they already know better.
 

Grant

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Our local DA Councillor has just circulated a list of hospitals that are no longer able to accept patients. "on divert"
In fact, just about ALL the hospitals in our vicinity are "on divert"
The nearest hospital to us ins in that list!
Which hospitals are on divert?
 

Geoff.D

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Dr Masuku MEC GP, wriggling like a worm on a hook on live TV this morning. Can't answer any of the questions posed, just making excuses.

Admitted the modelling done in GP has "gone out of the window".
 
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Chris_the_Brit

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Dr Masuku MEC GP, wriggling like a worm on a hook on live TV this morning. Cant answer any of the questions posed, just making excuses.

Admitted the modelling done in GP has "gone out of the window".
Yes the health MEC seems surprised it has hit Gauteng already as it goes against the models they were using [to be clear, they were expecting the surge a bit later]. No consideration given that the models might just be wrong...
 

flippakitten

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Lupus

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So lockdown was not used to prepare the medical systems, who would have guessed.

This kind of thing makes my blood boil because it simply means lockdown was for nothing.
That took you some to realise, welcome to what a lot of people realised. The lockdown was a waste.
 

Chris_the_Brit

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The Western Cape may have already reached the peak of its coronavirus outbreak, according to SA’s biggest medical scheme administrator, Discovery Health.

Western Cape was the first province to see soaring Covid-19 infections, and last week said its latest models project a peak in infections in late July or early August.

But on Thursday Discovery Health CEO Ryan Noach said there were signs the province may have already reached its peak, as the attack rate and private hospital bed occupancy rates had fallen significantly in the past few weeks. The attack rate is the proportion of people who become ill with a disease in a set time period.

“On 21 June the attack rate peaked at 24 per 100,000 lives per day. Since then it has come down to about 17 per 100,000 lives [per day]. It has flattened off a bit now, and one of either two things is going to happen: either it is going to have a second peak, which would be unusual, or it will continue its downward trajectory. The next few days will tell,” he said.

“What is also relevant is that the [private] hospital bed occupancy across the country is 55% ... but this week Western Cape is below 40%,” he said. The private hospital bed occupancy rate had been as high as 70% in the Western Cape, he told Business Day shortly after addressing a seminar hosted by Absa Healthcare.
The Western Cape is making the ANC look foolish regarding the relationship between the number of infections and the lockdown levels...
 
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Gordon_R

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The Western Cape is making the ANC look foolish regarding the relationship between the number of infections and the lockdown levels...
It seems too good to be true, since nobody has come up with a credible explanation as to why the rates are subsiding. IMO the only plausible factors are:
1. Mask wearing has reduced the spread, and which was compulsory quite late in the epidemic.
2. The fact that the elderly are taking serious precautions, which means the epidemic is still present, but not killing as many people.
 

Geoff.D

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It seems too good to be true, since nobody has come up with a credible explanation as to why the rates are subsiding. IMO the only plausible factors are:
1. Mask wearing has reduced the spread, and which was compulsory quite late in the epidemic.
2. The fact that the elderly are taking serious precautions, which means the epidemic is still present, but not killing as many people.
The Rt value is still >=1, so yes the virus is still spreading in WC but is under control.
 

sand_man

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It seems too good to be true, since nobody has come up with a credible explanation as to why the rates are subsiding. IMO the only plausible factors are:
1. Mask wearing has reduced the spread, and which was compulsory quite late in the epidemic.
2. The fact that the elderly are taking serious precautions, which means the epidemic is still present, but not killing as many people.
Could also be demographics. Fewer people living in a larger area, lower population density vs Gauteng for example.
 
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