Covid Cuts Two Years Off the Life Expectancy of U.S. Men

Sapphiron

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That's pretty significant, but also considering the human birth rate, not that significant.
 

nicroets

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Far less than 1% of the US population died due to Covid. And the people who died were mostly only had a dozen or so years left to live. (Old with Pre existing conditions). 12/100=0.12 years lost for the average person. That's 40 days or so.

These scientists need to do a better job of explaining how their calculation works!!
 

grok

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Finally, something men can claim victim status for!!! :love: :love:

I propose we make 1 Oct national covid-shortened-male-life-expectancy day and celebrate it with a mandatory case of beer, each.
 
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Gordon_R

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Far less than 1% of the US population died due to Covid. And the people who died were mostly only had a dozen or so years left to live. (Old with Pre existing conditions). 12/100=0.12 years lost for the average person. That's 40 days or so.

These scientists need to do a better job of explaining how their calculation works!!

Calculating life expectancy is a bit more complicated than that, but your numbers do indicate a major discrepancy. The main assumption is that Covid mortality would remain permanently fixed, which is wildly different from reality! The introduction of vaccines means that next year's life expectancy figures will bounce back close to their previous levels.
 

krycor

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Depends.. healthcare in the US, as is here but more so, costs lots of money. Combo that with climate drama(heatwave deaths? floods?) finances going out of wack for the majority and uhm I’d say it might remain the same or worsen.
 

nicroets

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The introduction of vaccines means that next year's life expectancy figures will bounce back close to their previous levels.
Agreed.

Even without modern advances like vaccines and PCR tests, it's likely that the virus will become less fatal. It happened with Spanish Flu.

And there's another problem with the life expectancy computation: It assumes all infants are identical. All 1 year olds are identical etc. And that 2020 repeats itself indefinitely.

But Covid kills people with certain preconditions. And some people have natural resistance to Covid in their DNA. So the calculation does not take into account these differences.

So 2021 and 2022 will also look much better for countries that are full of anti vaxers.
 

Paulsie

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Agreed.

Even without modern advances like vaccines and PCR tests, it's likely that the virus will become less fatal. It happened with Spanish Flu.

And there's another problem with the life expectancy computation: It assumes all infants are identical. All 1 year olds are identical etc. And that 2020 repeats itself indefinitely.

But Covid kills people with certain preconditions. And some people have natural resistance to Covid in their DNA. So the calculation does not take into account these differences.

So 2021 and 2022 will also look much better for countries that are full of anti vaxers.
Covid, covid, covid....

Have they accounted for the cancelation of elective surgeries, preventative treatments, psychological treatment etc??
 
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