Eskom technically load-shed at Stage 7 last week - BER

Jan

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Eskom load-shedding hit stage 7, say economists

Eskom "technically" implemented stage 7 load-shedding at one point last week, according to the Bureau for Economic Research's (BER's) latest weekly review.

The BER argues Eskom's power cuts reached this level if you account for the load curtailment against specific business users.
 
Well, I have been unable to start up my factory for the last month, have not produced 1 single thing. Yet I still have to pay all the costs and overheads and it is only going to get worse.

Came to the realisation on Friday, that although the cost of moving my factory to Estonia or Latvia would have been high, it would still have been less than the cost that loadshedding has placed on my company this year.

The decision is becoming a no-brainer, especially if I cannot stop the penalties from kicking in.

On top of that, 1 of my suppliers has gone under and I know 2 more will go under if I leave as I am by far their biggest client.
 
Well, I have been unable to start up my factory for the last month, have not produced 1 single thing. Yet I still have to pay all the costs and overheads and it is only going to get worse.

Came to the realisation on Friday, that although the cost of moving my factory to Estonia or Latvia would have been high, it would still have been less than the cost that loadshedding has placed on my company this year.

The decision is becoming a no-brainer, especially if I cannot stop the penalties from kicking in.

On top of that, 1 of my suppliers has gone under and I know 2 more will go under if I leave as I am by far their biggest client.
Like dominoes, the days of our lives in Africa..
 
Its already Stage 7 - Stage 6 is "up to".
I know mathematics is not a core area of success in SA - but its not that difficult for Eskom to understand, surely.
5000-5999 = Stage 6
6000-6999 = Stage 7
 
We've reached the point where even the stage we're on isn't accurate any more. At this rate I can see them just revising the whole thing to make it sound less-worse.

"Good news! We've updated our system, and load shedding will never go above stage 2 again."
"So only 2,000 MW tops?"
"No, that's the old system. The new stage 2 is between 4,000-8,000 MW. But at least we'll never go beyond stage 2 again!"


..."Due to unprecedented breakdowns and unusually high demand, new stage 6 will regrettably be implemented from 12pm until further notice"
 
Well, I have been unable to start up my factory for the last month, have not produced 1 single thing. Yet I still have to pay all the costs and overheads and it is only going to get worse.

Came to the realisation on Friday, that although the cost of moving my factory to Estonia or Latvia would have been high, it would still have been less than the cost that loadshedding has placed on my company this year.

The decision is becoming a no-brainer, especially if I cannot stop the penalties from kicking in.

On top of that, 1 of my suppliers has gone under and I know 2 more will go under if I leave as I am by far their biggest client.
This is sad and definitely a blow to the economy. Have you considered switching to solar?
 
Well, I have been unable to start up my factory for the last month, have not produced 1 single thing. Yet I still have to pay all the costs and overheads and it is only going to get worse.

Came to the realisation on Friday, that although the cost of moving my factory to Estonia or Latvia would have been high, it would still have been less than the cost that loadshedding has placed on my company this year.

The decision is becoming a no-brainer, especially if I cannot stop the penalties from kicking in.

On top of that, 1 of my suppliers has gone under and I know 2 more will go under if I leave as I am by far their biggest client.
I understand, last week friend decided to close his engineering shop next year, no point running it since he is close to his retirement. Early exit.
 
This is sad and definitely a blow to the economy. Have you considered switching to solar?
I use way to much power unfortunately. Even if I cover the entire roof and add batteries. Could add larger generators, but now we look at capital and running cost.

In the long run relocation seems the logical option.
 
I use way to much power unfortunately. Even if I cover the entire roof and add batteries. Could add larger generators, but now we look at capital and running cost.

In the long run relocation seems the logical option.
What about Namibia? They have power don't they?
 
What about Namibia? They have power don't they?
Most of my clients are in the EU and US, so if I have to move, might as well move as close to my primary market as possible. Would cost more, but having direct access to the EU would be 1000 times better. And to be honest have not looked at the trade agreements that exist between Namibia and the EU/US
 
Had a few clients in simmilar boat these last 2 months. People paying R40k a month to burn diesel but their rent is only R30k.

Been there for a lifetime but now they had to pack up and look for something even cheaper.
 
Eskom is the chicken that crossed the road and didn't make it... Now it is half alive and half dead on the road and no one has the guts to put it out of its misery and suffering. But while Eskom is slowly becoming road pizza, the green scam is slowly getting momentum. Green energy farms will probably be owned privately and generating our own power will be heavily taxed and slowly pushed out of existence as the new green gravy-train slurps up our hard earned cash.
 
How are loadshedding MWs even measured? How do you measure how much electricity isn't being supplied?

You can measure how many areas are turned off, but how much power they theoretically would be using in that time period is just an estimate. It could be 100s of MWs off.
 
How are loadshedding MWs even measured? How do you measure how much electricity isn't being supplied?

You can measure how many areas are turned off, but how much power they theoretically would be using in that time period is just an estimate. It could be 100s of MWs off.
mystical-misfortune-halloween-dinner-party142-1024x576.jpg

Something like this I would imagine.
 
I use way to much power unfortunately. Even if I cover the entire roof and add batteries. Could add larger generators, but now we look at capital and running cost.

In the long run relocation seems the logical option.

Sad reality is that is actually the only logical option as you said. If only they introduced competitors to Eskom or privatised the industry, load shedding will definitely be a thing of the past in under a year.
 
Eskom is the chicken that crossed the road and didn't make it... Now it is half alive and half dead on the road and no one has the guts to put it out of its misery and suffering. But while Eskom is slowly becoming road pizza, the green scam is slowly getting momentum. Green energy farms will probably be owned privately and generating our own power will be heavily taxed and slowly pushed out of existence as the new green gravy-train slurps up our hard earned cash.
This is why a complete over-haul of eskom is required and the introduction of competition to Eskom is necessary. Every govt owned entity has failed (except SARS), Eskom is no different, the private sector can fix this mess quicker than anyone else, I can almost guarantee that if all the red tape was removed and the private sector allowed to play, load shedding will be done for good in 12 months, never have to think about it again.
 
How are loadshedding MWs even measured? How do you measure how much electricity isn't being supplied?

You can measure how many areas are turned off, but how much power they theoretically would be using in that time period is just an estimate. It could be 100s of MWs off.

They shed load until available supply meets the demand excluding the amount shed.

OCGT's, pumped storage and turbine speed is used fine tune things where there is a slight over or under estimation.
 
I don't think there is a real practical way to save Eskom. When dealing with corruption on this scale there is no easy answer. The private sector isn't allowed to build power stations and sell power. But even if they allow the private sector what idiot in their right mind will spend billions on building a power station in South Africa with looming land grabs? It is just not going to happen. No one can own/run a business in South Africa anymore, failing infrastructure, corruption and no investment security to speak of. Eskom happily f.ucked us all and they are just demanding more and more money.
 
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