For anyone who has been following this circus, here is a
link to the "Wits Report" that was finally made public in June 2021. Some takeaways:
- The report concludes that gun control cannot be credited with reducing crime in SA. Strong policing is what actually makes a difference.
- The Firearms Control Act is relevant to less than 5% of crimes reported to SAPS. The exact wording:
- Violent crimes can be divided into Firearm Choice crimes and Firearm Dependent crimes. The former can be performed with other weapons and declines when there is policing effort. The latter cannot be performed without firearms and is impervious to the Firearms Control Act. Even when policing results in a declining number of Firearm Dependent crimes, these crimes are still performed with firearms.
- It is estimated that around 5.5% of adults in South Africa are legal gun owners. That is 1 out of every ~20. Keep in mind that around the same time as this study, about 49% of adults in SA were living below the poverty line. The anti-gun crowd tries to dilute gun ownership in SA by simply looking at the number of gun owners against the total population of the country, but that's misleading. When you consider the number of gun owners vs the number of people who can plausibly own a gun, it's clear that this country is actually very pro-gun.
- Regular individuals lose guns at a rate of just 0.18% per year. SAPS loses guns at a rate of 0.20% per year. Security services have a loss rate of 0.99% - more than 5 times the loss rate of individual citizens. How many anti-gunners make their tweets and write their columns from a house that has armed response? Or a complex protected by a security company? How many are willing to cancel their subscription, since preventing criminals from getting stolen guns is supposedly the whole point of this exercise?
The sweet irony is that if they never pushed for this crap, this report could have likely stayed hidden perpetually and nobody would have cared. The government could have kept pointing to their civilian scapegoat whenever armed criminals struck. The anti-gunners could have kept their gravy train rolling. Instead, the former has effectively thrown the latter under the bus by releasing a report that obliterates many of the myths they've been punting for years. Combined with what just happened in KZN and GP last month, it's obvious that this country does need an overhaul of firearm legislation - but in favour of civilians, not against them.