Imminent load shedding from 1 - 8 Feb 2015

Chris.Geerdts

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Gaz{M}

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I'm looking at Eskom's bulleting 316, released today:

http://www.eskom.co.za/OurCompany/MediaRoom/SystemStatusBulletins/Pages/System_Status_Bulletins.aspx

It clearly shows expected demand outstripping supply from Sunday 1 Feb and for the week following!

The last time Eskom predicted a shortfall, I was surprised that journalists missed this and then reported on 'unexpected' events leading to load shedding.

No, it is clearly expected. Let's see what unfolds!
Bulletin 316 is now missing!

And things will be far worse when Koeberg Unit is turned off on 9 Feb for 3 months for refueling. Another 900MW gone.
 

Chris.Geerdts

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Bulletin 316 is now missing!

And things will be far worse when Koeberg Unit is turned off on 9 Feb for 3 months for refueling. Another 900MW gone.
Try the Mail and Guardian's posting of Bulletin 316:

http://pressoffice.mg.co.za/eskom/PressRelease.php?StoryID=255771

On Koeberg: Eskom has 10 500MW of capacity not used (either in maintenance or unplanned outage) but hopefully the 'planned' part of this outage (currently 3282 MW) is due to be reduced before Koeberg was taken offline.

I wonder how the re-fuelling affects Eskom's cash flow too. On the one hand, the fuel is already purchased and waiting. On the other, a team of (expensive) specialists will fly out to assist with the maintenance, cleaning and inspections. Using coal to replace the 900MW baseload should be costly, as Koeberg (presumably) runs full capacity 24x7.
 
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