International COVID-19 Updates & Discussion 2

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nivek

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Gordon_R

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New York Governor Andrew Cuomo expanded the number of Americans who are required to self-quarantine for 14 days if they visit the state. There are now 16 states on the list.

The newly added states are California, Georgia, Iowa, Idaho, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nevada and Tennessee.

They join Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Utah.

All together, the order affects 48% all US residents, according to a USA Today analysis.
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Damn, I really hope that doesn't come to pass :X3:. But California re-surging after a largely quiet April and May is ominous for some north-eastern states like New York, New Jersey etc. Texas and Florida are some of the biggest states though and both of them are surging.
 

buka001

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Thanks guys.



No, he says he's just had a high temperature and been coughing a lot and it feels like the worst flu he's ever had. Yesterday he thought he might be getting better but after walking to the car to drive to the doctor to get tested he was already finished and when he finally made it back home he felt worse than ever. He assured me he'll go straight to the hospital if he feels he can't breathe as easily as he normally does.

I'm pretty hopeful it won't get much worse since he doesn't have any health issues (maybe a little overweight) and gets his 10,000 steps in on most days so he's relatively fit for his age. But yeah he is 70 years old so I'm still freaked out about it... guess it could be a lot worse.

Has anyone done any research about whether or not using oxygen at an early stage prevents more severe symptoms from showing up?
Good luck, I am sure he will pull through!
 

Gordon_R

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Very important article, needs to be stressed repeatedly:
This averaged figure can also be misleading because it masks the variability of spread from one person to the next. If nine out of 10 people don’t pass on a virus at all, while the 10th passes it to 20 people, the average would still be two.

If Covid-19 was like the flu, you’d expect the outbreaks in different places to be mostly the same size. But Dr. Kucharski and his colleagues found a wide variation. The best way to explain this pattern, they found, was that 10 percent of infected people were responsible for 80 percent of new infections. Which meant that most people passed on the virus to few, if any, others.

A study from Japan this month found clusters of coronavirus cases in health care facilities, nursing homes, day care centers, restaurants, bars, workplaces, and musical events such as live concerts and karaoke parties.

This pattern of superspreading could explain the puzzling lag in Italy between the arrival of the virus and the rise of the epidemic. And geneticists have found a similar lag in other countries: The first viruses to crop up in a given region don’t give rise to the epidemics that come weeks later.

Many countries and states have fought outbreaks with lockdowns, which have managed to draw down Covid-19’s reproductive number. But as governments move toward reopening, they shouldn’t get complacent and forget the virus’s potential for superspreading.

“You can really go from thinking you’ve got things under control to having an out-of-control outbreak in a matter of a week,” Dr. Lloyd-Smith said.

On the other hand, knowing that Covid-19 is a superspreading pandemic could be a good thing. “It bodes well for control,” Dr. Nelson said.

Since most transmission happens only in a small number of similar situations, it may be possible to come up with smart strategies to stop them from happening. It may be possible to avoid crippling, across-the-board lockdowns by targeting the superspreading events.

“By curbing the activities in quite a small proportion of our life, we could actually reduce most of the risk,” said Dr. Kucharski.
 

tetrasect

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this. know this. my doctor saw me yesterday and basically just dosed me and sent me for immediate testing.

(which in SA apparently means a 4.5-hour wait at the third testing site...)

That sucks... Good luck man. Hope it's just the flu.
 

Gordon_R

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Slightly premature celebration, but one of very few countries to control the epidemic through early actions:
There have been fewer than 12,000 infections in the Czech Republic, a country of 10 million. About 350 people have died.
 

MiW

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tetrasect

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Yeah let's hope it's another virus that kills? Fraking hell dude, how about lets hope it's just a cold?

True sorry. I went my whole life thinking a cold and a flu were the same thing. Only just realized that they are different because of this pandemic but my vocabulary hasn't caught up yet.
 

Lupus

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True sorry. I went my whole life thinking a cold and a flu were the same thing. Only just realized that they are different because of this pandemic but my vocabulary hasn't caught up yet.
Apparently a lot of people keep doing this, which frustrates me to no end.
 

Lupus

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That's great, since covid -19 is more closely related to common colds , than flu .. we are safe
And once again you're wrong, common colds are 75% rhinoviruses, with coronavirus making up 15% and 10% being influenza. So there is a small % of the viruses of what we call the common cold that are coronaviruses, probably why a vast majority of people who get it feel little or nothing at all.
It's not like the medical fraternity test all deaths
 

MiW

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And once again you're wrong, common colds are 75% rhinoviruses, with coronavirus making up 15% and 10% being influenza. So there is a small % of the viruses of what we call the common cold that are coronaviruses, probably why a vast majority of people who get it feel little or nothing at all.
It's not like the medical fraternity test all deaths
I am wrong? You saying corona viruses are closer related to flu :rolleyes:?
 

tetrasect

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I am wrong? You saying corona viruses are closer related to flu :rolleyes:?

I think what he means is that both influenza and coronaviruses are actually just different types of colds...? But what we commonly refer to as the cold is rhinovirus...?
 

Lupus

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I think what he means is that both influenza and coronaviruses are actually just different types of colds...? But what we commonly refer to as the cold is rhinovirus...?
That's pretty much it yes. Generally the harsher colds are the corona or influenzas, the mild ones are rhino
 
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