International COVID-19 Updates & Discussion 3

[flytek]

Waves and seasonal dynamics are also affected by levels of immunity in the human population. As more individuals become immune to a pathogen, its spread slows and eventually stops as the virus runs out of new people to infect. The U.S. is nowhere near what epidemiologists call herd immunity in the general population, however; mathematical modelers suggest at least between 43% and 60% of people would need to be immune to SARS-CoV-2 for that to be the case.

What makes a 'wave' of disease? An epidemiologist explains

There’s no scientific definition for a wave of disease – and no evidence that the original onslaught of coronavirus in the US has receded much at all.

theconversation.com

More than two-thirds of diabetics in the Western Cape's biggest township have Covid-19 antibodies, the provincial government said on Thursday.

Covid-19 antibodies as high as 68% in latest Western Cape study

More than two-thirds of diabetics in the Western Cape's biggest township have Covid-19 antibodies, the provincial government said on Thursday.

www.timeslive.co.za

https://www.samrc.ac.za/reports/report-weekly-deaths-south-africa

 

[Lupus]

Waves and seasonal dynamics are also affected by levels of immunity in the human population. As more individuals become immune to a pathogen, its spread slows and eventually stops as the virus runs out of new people to infect. The U.S. is nowhere near what epidemiologists call herd immunity in the general population, however; mathematical modelers suggest at least between 43% and 60% of people would need to be immune to SARS-CoV-2 for that to be the case.

What makes a 'wave' of disease? An epidemiologist explains

There’s no scientific definition for a wave of disease – and no evidence that the original onslaught of coronavirus in the US has receded much at all.

theconversation.com

More than two-thirds of diabetics in the Western Cape's biggest township have Covid-19 antibodies, the provincial government said on Thursday.

Covid-19 antibodies as high as 68% in latest Western Cape study

More than two-thirds of diabetics in the Western Cape's biggest township have Covid-19 antibodies, the provincial government said on Thursday.

www.timeslive.co.za

And that was 3 weeks ago, wonder what the latest are.

 

[Paulsie]

They all worked. Yes. More people sanitizing, handwashing, wearing masks, etc. Alcohol ban. Shops taking precautions, curfew. That one, yes.

They all lowered transmission, while extending the curve. They never minimized the infection rate so quickly. The direct comparison between the UK and SA shows the curve to be exactly the same, regardless of lockdown length/type or vaccination rate.
And, I will put it out there, I do not think this thing is coming back in SA. Not on any major way anyway (ie nowhere near 1st and 2nd wave).
Even all the MSM is slowly starting to speak about nearing the end so we must be there...

 

[C4Cat]

They all lowered transmission, while extending the curve. They never minimized the infection rate so quickly. The direct comparison between the UK and SA shows the curve to be exactly the same, regardless of lockdown length/type or vaccination rate.
And, I will put it out there, I do not think this thing is coming back in SA. Not on any major way anyway (ie nowhere near 1st and 2nd wave).
Even all the MSM is slowly starting to speak about nearing the end so we must be there...

Hope you're right!

 

[MiW]

They all lowered transmission, while extending the curve. They never minimized the infection rate so quickly. The direct comparison between the UK and SA shows the curve to be exactly the same, regardless of lockdown length/type or vaccination rate.
And, I will put it out there, I do not think this thing is coming back in SA. Not on any major way anyway (ie nowhere near 1st and 2nd wave).
Even all the MSM is slowly starting to speak about nearing the end so we must be there...

It doesn't need to come into SA, we are making it original and v.3.0 in EC

 

[Lupus]

It doesn't need to come into SA, we are making it original and v.3.0 in EC

Eastern Cape apparently has the lowest active cases in SA right now.

Province	Total Deaths	Total Recoveries	Active Cases
Eastern Cape	11 410	184 064	264
Free State	3 758	79 579	1 724
Gauteng	10 479	405 110	2 596
KwaZulu-Natal	10 295	319 830	5 249
Limpopo	2 243	60 970	278
Mpumalanga	1 373	74 225	961
North West	1 580	61 631	2 002
Northern Cape	842	33 215	3 275
Western Cape	11 518	268 249	4 839
Total	53 498	1 486 873	21 188

 

[MiW]

Eastern Cape apparently has the lowest active cases in SA right now.

Province	Total Deaths	Total Recoveries	Active Cases
Eastern Cape	11 410	184 064	264
Free State	3 758	79 579	1 724
Gauteng	10 479	405 110	2 596
KwaZulu-Natal	10 295	319 830	5 249
Limpopo	2 243	60 970	278
Mpumalanga	1 373	74 225	961
North West	1 580	61 631	2 002
Northern Cape	842	33 215	3 275
Western Cape	11 518	268 249	4 839
Total	53 498	1 486 873	21 188

Yes, perfectly ripe for the next mutation

How cool would've been to call it the Nelson Mandela bay variant , instead of the South African.

 

[pinball wizard]

Yes, perfectly ripe for the next mutation

How cool would've been to call it the Nelson Mandela bay variant , instead of the South African.

You mean Qghberggha variant.

 

[MiW]

You mean Qghberggha variant.

Nah , that's over doing it

 

[Sinbad]

You mean Qghberggha variant.

Causes extra phlegm production?

 

[Lupus]

Yes, perfectly ripe for the next mutation

How cool would've been to call it the Nelson Mandela bay variant , instead of the South African.

Perhaps it could've been the CPT variant? Or the Natal type 1?

 

[pinball wizard]

Perhaps it could've been the CPT variant? Or the Natal type 1?

Grape varietal and a new type of avo.

 

[AdrianH]

This makes no sense. Our latest lockdown was more a couple of minor reatrictions on beachgoers, churchgoers and buying booze on weekends. These restrictions have been 90% lifted and yet no major spike in deaths as a reault of lifting the 'lockdown".

Looks more than just minor restrictions on beachgoers

• All indoor and outdoor gatherings will be prohibited for 14 days, except for funerals and other limited exceptions as detailed in the regulations, such as restaurants, museums, gyms and casinos
• Funerals may not be attended by more than 50 people
• Every business must determine the maximum number of staff and customers permitted at any one time based on social-distancing guidelines and may not exceed that limit
• Nationwide curfew extended from 9pm until 6am
• Every South African is legally compelled to wear a mask in a public place
• Those who fail to wear masks could face a fine or imprisonment
• No alcohol will be sold from retail outlets or for on-site consumption at restaurants and bars
• Distribution and transportation will be prohibited with exceptions that will be explained by the minister
• Night clubs and businesses engaged in the sale and transportation of liquor will not be allowed to operate
• Non-essential establishments (including shops, restaurants, bars and all cultural venues) must close at 8pm
• All beaches, dams, lakes, rivers, public parks and public swimming pools in hotspot areas will be closed to the public with effect 29 December 2020
• National and provincial parks and other parks where access control measures and entry limitations are already in place may remain open to the public.

Apart from the above, my work colleagues in SA told me school openings were delayed. They also had to work from home until late February.

What are you saying though, that lockdown doesn't work?

 

[flytek]

Chinese lockdowns work where they imprison you if you open your front door at the wrong time. (dramatized)
Our second wave lockdown did very little if anything.
Taxis still operating at 100% for starters. You think cloth masks over ones mouth and possibly a nose is going to prevent the spread in taxis or small houses?

 

[The_Right_Honourable_Brit]

Well done to the Land of the Free...

When one of the nation’s top health officials this week suggested states dealing with a spring spike of coronavirus cases should “shut things down,” the remark landed with a thud.

Even Democratic governors and lawmakers who supported tough stay-at-home orders and business closures to stem previous COVID-19 outbreaks say they’re done with that approach. It’s a remarkable turnaround for governors who have said from the beginning of the pandemic that they will follow the science in their decision-making, but it’s also a nod to reality: Another round of lockdown orders would likely just be ignored by a pandemic-weary public.

More COVID state shutdowns unlikely, despite CDC suggestion

When one of the nation's top health officials this week suggested states dealing with a spring spike of coronavirus cases should “shut things down,” the remark landed with a thud. Even Democratic governors and lawmakers who supported tough stay-at-home orders and business closures to stem...

apnews.com

Also in other news - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/14/well/move/exercise-covid-19-working-out.html



Glad that we weren't told to stay at home, enjoy Netflix, and order takeaways....

Oh, hold on.

 

[The_Right_Honourable_Brit]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1382689304338702343

 

[AdrianH]

The risk of developing a blood clot after having COVID-19 is eight times higher than after being given the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine, according to a study by Oxford University.

Cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) occurred in 39 in a million COVID-19 patients, compared with about five in a million people given the AstraZeneca jab.

In the study of over 500,000 coronavirus patients, the risk was reported to be around 100 times higher than normal after infection.

COVID-19: Risk of blood clot after coronavirus is eight times higher than after Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine - study

Around a third of reports of cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) after COVID-19 infection were in people under 30.

news.sky.com

 

[The Voice]

The risk of developing a blood clot after having COVID-19 is eight times higher than after being given the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine, according to a study by Oxford University.

Cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) occurred in 39 in a million COVID-19 patients, compared with about five in a million people given the AstraZeneca jab.

In the study of over 500,000 coronavirus patients, the risk was reported to be around 100 times higher than normal after infection.

COVID-19: Risk of blood clot after coronavirus is eight times higher than after Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine - study

Around a third of reports of cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) after COVID-19 infection were in people under 30.

news.sky.com

I mean you have a better chance of dying of an allergic reaction to the vaccine (any of them) than getting a blood clot from the AZ.

 

[Sinbad]

India's getting ****ed up badly.... 200k new cases in one day

 

[Paulsie]

Nah , that's over doing it

I dare anyone call it the Mandela strain