Alright folks, I’ve spent way too many evenings diving into iOCO’s (ex-EOH) “turnaround story,” and to be honest, I’m not buying the hype. Here’s my personal rundown, complete with the sources I’ve stumbled upon:
1. Those Share Price Gains Are Super Misleading
Yes, the stock jumped by over 175% in the last year (March 2024–2025) and rallied 195% from April 2024 to March 2025 (thanks, JSE data). But if your share price was
R1.05 after a
99% collapse, then even a small uptick looks huge percentage-wise. EOH used to trade around
R170 (Moneyweb, 2020). So going from R1 to R3 isn’t exactly legendary.
A lot of the recent hype seems driven by short-term retail traders (EasyEquities data). I haven’t seen any major institutional players jump on board. That alone makes me cautious.
2. The Profit Claims Don’t Quite Add Up
They posted a
R54M loss in 2024 (confirmed in their annual report), yet they’re now bragging about a
220–240% jump in profit for 2025? Supposedly, they got some of that bump from
R89M in asset sales (ITWeb, Feb 2025). That’s not what I’d call sustainable operational growth—it’s more like selling off the family silver.
Also, it’s based on a
trading statement, not audited numbers. Until I see official audited results, I’m taking it with a big grain of salt.
3. Leadership Turnover Feels Chaotic
- Van Coller left in March 2024 (SENS).
- Andrew Mthembu took over…for about 53 days (BusinessTech, May 2024).
- Then Marius de la Rey came in as interim until these new co-CEOs (Summerton & Venter) showed up in Feb 2025.
They keep saying they have a “three-phase plan,” which mostly seems like cost-cutting (they’ve laid off 4,000+ employees since 2020). This isn’t exactly the hallmark of a stable, well-run operation.
4. Rebranding Doesn’t Fix Everything
They switched from EOH to iOCO in December 2024, acting like that alone wipes out past scandals. But the infamous
R300M Home Affairs tender (2017–2022) produced zero deliverables (Daily Maverick), and I’ve yet to see them address that in a meaningful way. A fresh logo and website? Cool. Real governance reform? Nowhere in sight.
5. Analyst Quotes Feel Superficial
I love David Shapiro and Wayne McCurrie, but their comments about “pricing power” and “management saving the company” might be missing some critical context. For instance, iOCO’s gross margin dropped to
28% in 2024 (down from 35% in 2020). So are they really charging more, or are they just losing business?
Also, revenue’s been halved to
R6B (2024), and the workforce is down 60% since 2018. That doesn’t scream “healthy rebound” to me.
6. Activist Shareholders Can Be a Mixed Bag
We know that Rhys Summerton snapped up a 12% stake in 2024 (SENS). Are we sure this is about long-term growth, or is he just trying to flip things around for a quick profit? Let’s just say I’m skeptical.
7. Debt & Lawsuits Haven’t Magically Disappeared
Yes, they lowered their debt from
R5.3B (2020) to
R1.2B (2024), but a lot of that was from selling off assets at bargain prices. Their
liquidity ratio is still around 0.9, which is basically borderline solvency. And don’t forget the
R6.4B lawsuit still floating around—former execs are countersuing for defamation (News24, Jan 2025). If that goes south, iOCO might be on the hook for hefty legal fees and more.
8. “Decentralization”: The Latest Buzzword
They keep talking about decentralization, but they tried that in 2021, and it just led to confusion between divisions and irritated clients. Nothing they’ve shared so far suggests they’ve ironed out those kinks.
9. Cultural Issues Still Unresolved
I’ve been checking for whistleblower or compliance updates—nada since 2021. On Glassdoor (Feb 2025), they’re sitting at
2.1/5 stars, with employees citing “chaotic leadership” and constant layoffs. That doesn’t sound like a transformed company to me.
10. Comeback Timeline Feels Too Good to Be True
Look at Steinhoff or Tongaat Hulett—multi-year messes that still aren’t fully resolved. The idea that iOCO fixed everything in a year or so is mind-boggling. More likely, it’s financial maneuvering and a pumped-up share price, not genuine long-term recovery.
Final Thoughts
Could iOCO be a trade for those with nerves of steel (and tight stop-loss orders)? Sure, maybe. But if you’re looking for a solid long-term investment, I’d wait until they show real, audited profits, stable leadership, and a clear cultural shift. Right now, it all feels like a rebrand-and-hope approach.
I also remember how Van Coller used to talk about making EOH an “ethical tech services” champion, but he left when shareholders basically shot down his long-term plan. Now, they’re going in a direction that looks a whole lot like “sell off assets, cut costs, and hope the stock price rallies.” Buyer beware!
And for clarity I refer my facts to
: JSE SENS, ITWeb, BusinessTech, Daily Maverick, iOCO Annual Reports 2020–2024, News24, Moneyweb, Glassdoor and EasyEquities