Is Covid-19 just a hype?

[ShaunSA]

Have @Jabulani22 and @Hamish McPanji finally paid for a room?

 

[Jabulani22]

Have @Jabulani22 and @Hamish McPanji finally paid for a room?

I ain't paying , they follow me around like those other nitpicking guys(or girls)
Like paparazzi , can call them jabulazzi

 

[tetrasect]

A virus does not spread exponentially, it follow a log normal distribution. This is just plain wrong.

Log-normal distribution - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The cumulative cases is presented by a logistics curve

Logistic function - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Lol you are tripping dude. Of course it spreads exponentially. The only reason it would follow the curves you linked to is that there are no more people to infect. That's got nothing to do with the fact that it spreads exponentially.

 

[Nicodeamus]

Lol you are tripping dude. Of course it spreads exponentially. The only reason it would follow the curves you linked to is that there are no more people to infect. That's got nothing to do with the fact that it spreads exponentially.

 

[tetrasect]

View attachment 833420

Just stop it dude. You're making a fool of yourself.

 

[azbob]

You're making a fool of yourself.

Isn’t that what this thread is for?

 

[Suspect99]

View attachment 833420

You can't draw like that on the log scale. Hint: click the button that says linear

 

[Suspect99]

Here you go

 

[Nicodeamus]

You can't draw like that on the log scale. Hint: click the button that says linear

erm a linear slope on a log scale is an exponential function.....

 

[Jabulani22]

Corona has spread linearly for about a month , or it's spread exponentially and corona is actually a hype monster , can't have it both ways.

 

[Jabulani22]

Pump those numbers up artificially.
Is this the reason for the revision of deaths down from 60k to 37k ?

 

[tetrasect]

Is this the reason for the revision of deaths down from 60k to 37k ?

What are you talking about now?

 

[azbob]

No, The CDC Did Not Revise Down The Number Of COVID-19 Deaths

Several tweets went viral that falsely claimed the CDC had drastically revised down the number of deaths in the US from the coronavirus — but it seems some people didn't read to the end of the page.

www.buzzfeednews.com

Yeah yeah, it’s buzzfeed news.

 

[Jabulani22]

What are you talking about now?

The alleged downing of numbers of covid deaths.
It's rumor now but give it a week and some government official will probably confirm it .

 

[tetrasect]

The alleged downing of numbers of covid deaths.
It's rumor now but give it a week and some government official will probably confirm it .

Really... this is getting pathetic. It's the same CDC data that you tried to use to show there is no increase in all-cause deaths. The same data that many pointed out takes up to 8 weeks to update. Now you're using that same data to claim what?

You'll believe any garbage without even doing a simple google search.

 

[Jabulani22]

Really... this is getting pathetic. It's the same CDC data that you tried to use to show there is no increase in all-cause deaths. The same data that many pointed out takes up to 8 weeks to update. Now you're using that same data to claim what?

You'll believe any garbage without even doing a simple google search.

There's gotta be some facts in the data though right ? Or are you implying conspiracy ?
Nice Dodge on the probable deaths too.


Edit - it's different data , see how the numbers change ? That means they are no longer the same.

 

[Forum Reader]

One chart to rule them all:

CHART: How Covid-19 fatalities compare with deaths under 'normal' conditions - Kevin Lings - BizNews.com

The total number of Covid-19 deaths have risen to over 210,000 in just four months. How does this compare with deaths under "normal" conditions?

www.biznews.com

This is total registered deaths per week in the UK as per official count from https://www.ons.gov.uk/ which is similar to our StatsSA.

Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional - Office for National Statistics

Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales, including deaths involving the coronavirus (COVID-19), by age, sex and region, in the latest weeks for which data are available.

www.ons.gov.uk

Note that this is death data only up to 17 April 2020 and is also understated as some deaths are registered late.

Would like to see the regular deniers try to debunk this as hype/fake.

 

[Geoff.D]

A virus does not spread exponentially, it follow a log normal distribution. This is just plain wrong.

Log-normal distribution - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

The cumulative cases is presented by a logistics curve

Logistic function - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

No that is not correct either.
The statement " A virus infection spreads exponentially" is correct as the more people that are infected the more people that they, in turn, can infect.

The next step is to try and define what mathematical/statistical model best "fits" the spread of the virus.
Then analysis of previous similar epidemics caused by similar viruses can provide clues but it can never guarantee that a new virus will follow the same exponential growth path.

 

[Jabulani22]

Would be a shame if someone could plot exponential growth vs time and show how long it would take to infect 8 billion.

 

[tetrasect]

There's gotta be some facts in the data though right ? Or are you implying conspiracy ?
Nice Dodge on the probable deaths too.


Edit - it's different data , see how the numbers change ? That means they are no longer the same.

The numbers of deaths will always be smaller than the actual number of deaths because it hasn't been updated yet!

Yet you are saying it's because the cdc revised their figures and that I'm implying a conspiracy?!

Lay down the pineapple!