The_Right_Honourable_Brit
High Tory
- Joined
- Mar 6, 2004
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- 41,763
The government has, for the first time since the recession in 2008, collected less VAT, despite the 1 percentage point hike that came into effect in April last year, setting the VAT rate from 14% to 15%.
Experts believe the revenue collection target of R1.422 trillion may have to be reduced by between R30 billion and R50 billion during next month’s medium-term budget policy statement, as a result of lower-than-expected company tax and VAT collection.
This revenue shortfall is likely to place significant pressure on Finance Minister Tito Mboweni to generate a practical and realistic turnaround plan for the economy.
Kyle Mandy, a partner and technical head of tax at PwC SA, said it was difficult to make accurate predictions because figures from only four months of the financial year (April to July) were currently available.
Still, he said, he expected that estimated revenue would be adjusted downward by between R30 billion and R45 billion.
Company taxes would constitute the majority of the figure, with an estimated R20 billion less revenue, R5 billion less VAT, R3 billion less personal revenue, and the rest constituting other forms of taxation, such as customs and the fuel price levy.
Economist Mike Schüssler wrote last week that according to his calculations, government’s VAT revenue would decline for the first time since the financial crisis in 2008/09 in nominal terms (without adjusting for inflation).
Mboweni under pressure to come up with turnaround plan as VAT collections dip | Citypress
The government has, for the first time since the recession in 2008, collected less VAT, despite the 1 percentage point hike that came into effect in April last year, setting the VAT rate from 14% to 15%.