He doesn’t sound like a crackpot. (I actually checked he wasn’t some tinfoil conspiracy theorist before posting).
What this is saying in a nutshell is that Cape Town as ground zero is potentially the epicenter of potential civil unrest which will start among the poor and spread to engulf the entire pininsula and beyond.
If ever the time and opportunity were present to fan the flames of anarchy, dissention and revolution in this country for the many being primed to hate by a post Mandela ANC, this is it.
It has the potential to prove the ideal recipe for state intervention leading to a state of emergency, the imposition of martial law and very possibly lead to wider civil unrest and even civil war.
While I have no doubt that things could get very bad in terms of crime and civil unrest (even though every other town in this country that's run out of water indicates otherwise), the idea that the water situation could lead to civil war is a load of doo doo. We're more likely to head that way with the JZ situation than we are with water, and even then it's extremely low.
If the one with the power to do something also happens to be the one who benefits the most from infrastructure, service and delivery collapse, it stands to reason they have a conflict of interest.
As much as the ANC may hate the fact that the DA is running the Western Cape, collapsing the province would ultimately be very, very BAD for them. Not to say there aren't any issues, because obviously there are, but I believe the DA will appeal to the right people in the ANC (see 1 x Cyril Ramaphosa) for assistance.
This in the face of social media campaign's of 'unknown' origin openly encouraging the grand scale wastage of tap water to push the City of Cape Town over the brink and into total anarchy.
I spend a lot of time on Twitter and I have not seen anyone suggesting we should be using more water. A few crackpots here and there are drought denialists, but they are a dying breed. Even the Water Coalition is more about removing the privatisation laws and increasing access to natural water sources, despite their opposition to the CoCT.
So yes, some of his points are... well, on point, but then he goes and blows it completely out of proportion.