New water restriction tariffs hit Cape Town: what you need to know

Gordon_R

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Thanks! Very thorough. I was going to do a similar calculation, but he's way ahead...

The present estimate [is] that all easily accessible water in the main dams may be exhausted by 3rd week of February, 2018.

P.S. This report overlaps a lot with info I am very familiar with! Article doesn't say who the author is?
 
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The_Mowgs

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Thanks! Very thorough. I was going to do a similar calculation, but he's way ahead...



P.S. This report overlaps a lot with info I am very familiar with! Article doesn't say who the author is?
Tom is the author
 

Gordon_R

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Basically the same as that published by CT every week. But not a particularly concise report .... Have to read the whole thing to get the the gist.

Edit: We may have crossed posts. That is the first update I have seen on the Zero Day water status, which the CoCT does not publish AFAIK.

Edit: The CoCT dashboard is silent about future dam levels this summer: http://resource.capetown.gov.za/doc...ity research reports and review/damlevels.pdf

Not particularly concise, but other information which is highly relevant to some of the finger-pointing in this thread:

Placing this situation in some context.

As the stresses of a diminishing water supply manifest themselves, some folks will inevitably cast around for persons or entities to blame. Permit me to add some context for the debate.

Capture/storage/supply of bulk water is actually a central government responsibility, while metros are responsible for treatment and distribution of water allocated to them by government as well as for disposal of waste. Cities simply cannot roam around building dams and interfering with the water rights of others. This must be centrally regulated.

Local population growth is inevitable. Older readers will remember when the population of Cape Town was well below a million people, and now stands at nearly 4 million; a result of the global trend toward urbanisation and the special issue of movement of population groups in South Africa. This is neither to be halted nor deflected, and must be accommodated through extensive new water projects.

Climate change is likely to result in an increasing frequency of increasingly longer dry spells in the Western Cape. Under usual circumstances the storage of surface (rainfall run-off) in existing dams has in the past provided sufficient potable water. However, as bulk water storage possibilities are now essentially exhausted, other more innovative forms of fresh water production have become essential.

Cape Town City is currently using less water than it is allocated by way of bulk supply from DWS. The basic problem is that DWS is unable to deliver that allocation of bulk water supplies. The City has actually been doing the only thing that it independently could do within its powers, namely increasing water efficiency (reducing waste and losses) while progressively reducing potable water demand.

The looming problem of insufficient water across SW Cape has been identified and studied for decades. Clearly, at various points over past years decisions were taken, based on then prevailing priorities and budgets, to rely on average weather patterns to estimate supply while restricting consumption to strike the balance from time to time when existing stored supplies fell short. And it worked through to 2014 when the dams last overflowed.

But looking back through the 20:20 lens of the current drought, it can now be seen that logic was faulty and risky – at some point constantly growing population pressure would inevitably outstrip not only the total water storage capacity but worse, the total amount of surface water available from rain falling in the catchments.

A 20-year plan to resolve this does exist. It includes all the interventions now being actioned but with hindsight, implementation by central DWS, the City and other metros may be judged to have been too slow. The resulting vulnerability has been exposed by this current 100-year+ extreme drought.

So the City of Cape Town is now (perhaps somewhat belatedly) intervening and taking it upon itself to do what it can to mitigate the situation. In doing so it’s concentrating on those aspects within its jurisdiction (e.g. recycling, temporary desalination, groundwater abstraction) but in order to do so still needs to navigate many environmental regulations.

In summary then, the history is complex and past decisions, good and bad, local and non-local, have brought us to where we are. The short-term problem is survival. Although it is not yet clear if the severity of this drought can be linked to climate change, gratifyingly CoCT is approaching the problem with the intention, this time, of also permanently addressing the long-term strategic water needs. Hopefully they will get appropriate central government support to do so.

What are the authorities doing now?

On Thursday 19th October, 2017 there will be a meeting at which the City of Cape Town will provide a “Water Resilience Update“. Amongst other things, the meeting will cover:

Latest on resilience plan implementation, including supply and demand side solutions
Introduction of draft guidelines for installation of alternative water systems
Practical guidance for businesses e.g. contingency plans, support tools etc.
We may at this meeting learn more about progress with tenders being issued to contractors to commence potable water production.

Tom is the author

LOL, that's helpful...
 
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2023

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"Patricia de Lille ✔ @PatriciaDeLille
It is envisaged that the first plants would be available for production towards the end of August 2017."

It's now October, do we have an update on this?
 

Gordon_R

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http://www.news24.com/news24/SouthA...municipal-water-supply-is-march-2018-20171004

The City of Cape Town anticipates that its supply of municipal water will run out around March 2018, Mayor Patricia de Lille said on Wednesday.

New water schemes were expected to come online by around December/January, if all went according to plan.

Water from temporary land-based desalination plants in Monwabisi and Strandfontein were expected to come online by February 2018.

From March 2018, additional desalination plants were set to come online.

Additional water from groundwater extraction at the Atlantis and Silverstroom aquifers was expected from January/February in 2018.

De Lille was optimistic after a meeting with Water and Sanitation Minister Nomvula Mokonyane earlier on Wednesday.
 
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daveza

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Non-surface drinking water supplies will be provided to residents through water distribution points.

Where will they get this water from and how is it to be transported ?
 

Rouxenator

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March 2018 ?! That gives them plenty of time to avoid disaster. Start pumping water from rivers into dams, do what you need to do. Hop to it - post haste!

Bl2wgIzCEAAlyCr.jpg
 

xrapidx

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daveza

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March 2018 sounds a bit of a guess.

If we don't get rain it's going to be dry a long time before March.
 

Gordon_R

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http://showme.co.za/paarl/lifestyle...-town-critical-water-shortages-disaster-plan/

In terms of our Water Resilience Plan to augment supply with new schemes, we are expecting the first water to come online by approximately December 2017/January 2018 if all goes according to plan. Other new sources will come online at various stages and the yield of each source will rise incrementally.

For instance, water from temporary land-based desalination plants in Monwabisi and Strandfontein is expected to come online by February 2018. Thereafter, from March 2018 onwards, additional desalination projects are expected to come online.

In terms of groundwater extraction at the Atlantis and Silverstroom aquifers, additional water from these projects is expected from about January/February 2018 onwards. In fact, the City has already managed to increase the production capacity from the Atlantis aquifer as part of our Water Resilience Plan and we are continually looking at optimising operations in other areas.

It is expected that additional water through water reuse from our Zandvliet Wastewater Treatment Plant will come online from January/February 2018.

I have just returned from a meeting with the Minister of Water and Sanitation, Nomvula Mokonyane, to discuss water security and water licences for the new emergency schemes.

In terms of our Critical Water Shortages Disaster Plan, as with all parts of our operations, we have a disaster plan for all eventualities as every organisation does as part of risk management.

In order to avoid disaster and build up reserves, we have been reducing pressure over the months and this has been intensified. We are now set to increase it further to force consumption down.

The City has activated Phase 1 - water rationing through extreme pressure reduction (throttling).

This is a critical stage where we must all do everything we can to stretch the water supply in our dams.

As water rationing is intensified, some areas will be affected for short periods of time. This will lead to intermittent, localised temporary water supply disruptions.

This process does not result in a complete shutdown of the water reticulation system, but it will severely limit available water supply in the system per day.

We ask water users to store up to five litres of municipal drinking water only for essential usage. Please do not store excessive municipal water.

The City cannot provide definitive timetables of the disruptions as the water systems must be managed flexibly to avoid damage to critical infrastructure. Any zoned outages will likely occur during peak water usage times in the mornings and evenings. We are asking people to prepare for water supply to be disrupted for a short period of time.

Critical services such as clinics and hospitals will be largely unaffected and mitigation measures will be put in place if they experience intermittent water supply.

We will share the plan summary with businesses in Cape Town to effect their planning and to ask them to assist us.



Phase 2 is a disaster stage.

The difference between Phases 1 and 2 is that in Phase 1 we are rationing the whole system with reduced supply. In Phase 2 we are only keeping a certain portion of the system alive close enough to water collection points. Residents will be able to collect a predefined quantity of drinking water per person per day from these collection sites.

During this phase, the City would more actively assume control over the daily water supply available to households and businesses with more extreme rationing.

Strategic commercial areas, high-density areas with significant risk of increased burden of disease and fires (such as the majority of informal settlements), and critical services (such as hospitals), where possible, would continue to receive drinking water through normal channels.

The City’s law enforcement and policing resources, as well as the various resources of our intergovernmental partners, such as the South African Police Service (SAPS) and the South African National Defence Force (SANDF), will be deployed to ensure that general safety is maintained throughout the city in this phase.

This plan will be submitted to the SAPS and the SANDF who will provide key intergovernmental support.



Phase 3 is the extreme disaster phase.

At this point, the City would be incapable of drawing water from its surface dams in the Western Cape Water Supply System. There would be a limited period in which the City can continue to supply water before complete water system failure.

Non-surface drinking water supplies, sourced from groundwater abstraction from various aquifers and spring water, will be available for drinking purposes only. The City will distribute this drinking water to residents through water distribution points.

I must emphasise that the disaster and extreme disaster phases (2 and 3) can be avoided with progressive savings and rationing in Phase 1. This extreme can only be avoided if we all do what we need to do now to save water.

As a responsible City, the likelihood of such a risk materialising must be balanced against the potential impact of that risk. It is therefore necessary that the City and its residents and stakeholders plan for such a situation if it were to occur.

The City has been investing much of its resources, through our water resilience task team, to avoid a disaster scenario. But, as a City that plans ahead, the above plan is necessary to have in place. Intricate operational plans are being finalised as we speak as this is an ever-changing situation.

This is a call to action to all our water users. We can only get through this by working together.

The severity and duration of this drought could not have been predicted. As a City, we are managing the situation with absolutely every drought intervention that we have at our disposal.
 

Garson007

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Masataka

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"The City has indicated that the Contingency Plan, to be implemented if and when the combined level of water stored in the dams falls to 15% (i.e. only 5-7% of easily accessible water remains), should be released by second week October."

Just. Wow. Rise prices in the meantime, but only do something when it all runs out?

I have zero faith. If people haven't put together a backup plan yet, they really need to get on it because, given the track record of government, the drought is almost inevitable.
 

Archer

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"The City has indicated that the Contingency Plan, to be implemented if and when the combined level of water stored in the dams falls to 15% (i.e. only 5-7% of easily accessible water remains), should be released by second week October."

Just. Wow. Rise prices in the meantime, but only do something when it all runs out?

:rolleyes:

Why would you go into disaster mode (which is crazy expensive) if there still is water that can be easily accessed? Now that makes zero sense
 

Garson007

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:rolleyes:

Why would you go into disaster mode (which is crazy expensive) if there still is water that can be easily accessed? Now that makes zero sense
Yeah, man - that's why I spend my pay-cheque by the 10th. #YOLO
 

Zoomzoom

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If they get to the point of having water collection points what provision (if any) will be made for people unable to collect their own water eg elderly, frail etc.?

Specifically thinking of my parents in CT. My mom is in her 70's, and my step-dad is in the final stages of cancer. There is no way my mom could manage heavy containers of water let alone make it out the house daily to collect.
 

saturnz

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I have zero faith. If people haven't put together a backup plan yet, they really need to get on it because, given the track record of government, the drought is almost inevitable.

The drought is not an event that may or may not happen in the future, it's already happening.
 
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