Novel CoronaVirus (COVID-19) Updates & Discussion

[Milano]

So just to be clear... we still don't know who the "Chinese Businessman" is

Yes major issues with the data. Big gap.

 

[Toxxyc]

Doesn't surprise me. One of our directors said people are just overreacting. My line manager reckons "it's just like the flu".

Makes sense, considering this is the UK's reaction to it being declared a pandemic:

View attachment 799519

I can see people coming home after that, visiting the doctor and saying "I feel a little horse".

 

[pinball wizard]

There is not a thing you can actually do to not get the virus.

Uh, there is.

 

[MrGray]

I listened to a podcast yesterday & the host apparently spoke to a doctor.

She apparently isn't concerned cos she has a decent immune system & says only people who have low immunity will be affected. Blanket statements make it things seem trivial.

I find this really irresponsible. The Hiv infection rate is very high in SA, Obese people are at risk, people with heart issues(including high blood pressure) & people with Diabetes.

These medical issues have occurred more frequently over the years

The interview with the head professor in Italy kinda proved anybody is at risk.

Yes, you will in all likelihood cope with the virus fine. Most people will. But by carrying on as normal you could ultimately be responsible for the death of others.

 

[The_Librarian]

I can see people coming home after that, visiting the doctor and saying "I feel a little horse".

Neigh, puns are not allowed in here.

 

[pinball wizard]

Yes, you will in all likelihood cope with the virus fine. Most people will. But by carrying on as normal you could ultimately be responsible for the death of others.

But I don't think the person quoted was suggesting carrying on as usual.

 

[Toxxyc]

Neigh, puns are not allowed in here.

Jy hoef nie so lelik te wees nie.

 

[Grant]

Neigh, puns are not allowed in here.

Indeed, no horsing around permitted

 

[chefdude98]

Why is it irresponsible? Especially when you go on to suggest it's an entirely accurate statement.

(I mean I get you have immune issues, but that kinda proves the point of the person you quoted)

Because most doctors read a textbook from 100 years ago & seldom keep up with current day research.

Italy has been hit hard by this virus & it hasn't only been old people. I take the word of people who are actually dealing with this epidemic more seriously, than some of the local doctors who aren't humble enough to expand their knowledge.

 

[daveza]

Help with what? There is not a thing you can actually do to not get the virus.

Well you could live alone and stay home.

 

[pinball wizard]

Indeed, no horsing around permitted

Oi! Cardiac Perfumist!

I asked you about Tamiflu...

 

[buka001]

Two research papers seem to postulate that the spread of the virus is dependant on ambient temperature and humidity. The figures illustrated are as follows -

5-11 degrees Celsius and 47-79% humidity

The conclusions are as follows -

The study concludes that temperature has significant impact on the transmission of COVID-19. There might be nonlinear dose-response relationship between the two, indicating that there is a best temperature contributing to its transmission and that low temperature is beneficial to the viral transmission. The emergence of the outbreak in Wuhan and its neighboring areas may be closely related to the local temperature. For countries and regions with a lower temperature, strict prevention and control measures should be continued to prevent future reversal of the epidemic.

The image below predicts at risk areas in the yellow band (back circled areas are confirmed cases)

Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Background: A significant number of infectious diseases display seasonal patterns in their incidence, including human coronaviruses. Betacoronaviruses such as M

papers.ssrn.com

Temperature Significantly Change COVID-19 Transmission in 429 cities

Background There is no evidence supporting that temperature changes COVID-19 transmission. Methods We collected the cumulative number of confirmed cases of all cities and regions affected by COVID-19 in the world from January 20 to February 4, 2020, and calculated the daily means of the...

www.medrxiv.org

They have not been peer reviewed yet.

 

[Grant]

Oi! Cardiac Perfumist!

I asked you about Tamiflu...

Sorry, thread moves too quickly. I reach for a smoke and I have to scroll 10 pages ahead.

Link me back (about to grab some coffee)

 

[daveza]

Two research papers seem to postulate that the spread of the virus is dependant on ambient temperature and humidity. The figures illustrated are as follows -

5-11 degrees Celsius and 47-79% humidity

The conclusions are as follows -



The image below predicts at risk areas in the yellow band (back circled areas are confirmed cases)

View attachment 799529

Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Background: A significant number of infectious diseases display seasonal patterns in their incidence, including human coronaviruses. Betacoronaviruses such as M

papers.ssrn.com

Temperature Significantly Change COVID-19 Transmission in 429 cities

Background There is no evidence supporting that temperature changes COVID-19 transmission. Methods We collected the cumulative number of confirmed cases of all cities and regions affected by COVID-19 in the world from January 20 to February 4, 2020, and calculated the daily means of the...

www.medrxiv.org

They have not been peer reviewed yet.

Yet the Hanks contracted it in Oz which is hot - as is the Free State.

 

[pinball wizard]

Italy has been hit hard by this virus & it hasn't only been old people.

Source?

I find:

The national health institute said the average age of those who have died was 81, with the majority suffering from underlying health problems. An estimated 72% of all those who have died were men.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51777049

 

[daveza]

Sorry, thread moves too quickly. I reach for a smoke and I have to scroll 10 pages ahead.

Smoking - very bad.
Corona luvs smokers.

 

[chefdude98]

But I don't think the person quoted was suggesting carrying on as usual.

I need to find a link of the podcast. It did sound like she wanted things to carry on like normal, she mentioned travelling to the UK & not being concerned about it.

 

[MidnightZA]

Someone mentioned a telegram ticker this morning. How do I get in on that?

It may have been @The_Librarian that posted the screenshot of that.

 

[Polymathic]

18 pages since I last visit this thread this morning

 

[Coronachan]

Sorry, thread moves too quickly. I reach for a smoke and I have to scroll 10 pages ahead.

Link me back (about to grab some coffee)

Ahhh, a smoker

Noted.