Opening and being aggressive is high risk, no doubt about it. Looking at the Aussie openers, Finch and Warner have similar / slightly worse records than QdK. But getting off to a positive start is imperative nowadays...we can't post competitive totals if we start with a low risk plodder. It puts too much pressure on the guys coming in next.
No side has got the perfect team going into to the WC...opening is a common issue as well as back of the innings bowling.
That home series when QdK (&Amla&AB) tore into India, I reckon guys like Finch,Warner&Watson would've done th esame at far much quicker. It set him up, but context is important.
Amla & RR were going "ok" against a very very poor WI attack. They also botched the PP in that game, and up until the first wicket fell - close to 40 overs later - they were doing only 6RPO.
When AB came along he made it look like we had been watching a 1950 Test match for the first 38 overs. Imagine if he had aggressive batsmen before he came in, and what the score would've been like. In the first 10 overs they scored about 50 runs. And it's common knowledge that RR is a far more aggressive batsman than QdK. No one in that Proteas can match his power. Even he could'nt speed things up. After getting in they still batted rather "slow".
I just feel there's no aggression upfront, while most teams will average 80-100/1-2 in the first 10 overs. Of the favourites, I just don't see the Proteas matching that to be honest. 60/0 at best but that's about it. 20-40 runs is a lot to make up.
Guys, generally England is considered to be the most boring side in world cricket, but they've tried lots of guys as openers - Ali, KP, Bell, Lumb, Kieswetter, Hales, Prior, Wright and even Trott I think. Even in tests the've done a few things. In parts it's worked for them, sometimes it hasn't.
When have we ever shown imagination? What have the Proteas ever tried? QdK was having a stinker opening and they waited until he scored some runs and that's been used to give the impression that he's ok again. Forgetting the long opening struggles he had before came right initially. Even as fans "we're" not exactly innocent either because we suggest guys like Elgar there.
Anyway we'll see what happens, I just think early wicket (QdK most probably), keep Faf in there alongside Amla, tighten things a bit, and you'll have the game in the bag by the time the next wicket comes in.