Russo-Ukrainian War - 2022 Edition Part 1

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Grant

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Lol no, that doesn't confirm anything. There are two more identical ships of the same class in the Black Sea, the Admiral Grigorovich and the Admiral Essen. And even if that ship could be identified as the Admiral Makarov it could still be an old photo.

Try harder next time.
Russians desperately trying to cling onto the tattered remains of what is left of their dignity.
 

Dave

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Lol no, that doesn't confirm anything. There are two more identical ships of the same class in the Black Sea, the Admiral Grigorovich and the Admiral Essen. And even if that ship could be identified as the Admiral Makarov it could still be an old photo.

Try harder next time.

Yep, and if liewe hexie was honest he/she might even have posted some of the follow up replies, for example

 

ForceFate

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Calling on reserves? Yes, but they have started doing so almost a month ago already. I posted a article about it back then somewhere.
Thanks. I must have missed it. We post a lot of garbage which ends up drowning the good stuff.
 

The_MAC

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I notice there has been a significant retreat of Russian forces to the north of Kharkiv, the Ukrainian army has pushed forward towards the Ukr/Rus border.


Keep running guys, don't stop until you reach the Kremlin and get some answers, start by asking why the F were you sent to Ukraine in the first place, and please report back that very few Nazis were encountered, tractors yes, but not Nazis..
 

sefeddt

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FSGkQ9cXwAUCjaj
 

Fulcrum29

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Thanks. I must have missed it. We post a lot of garbage which ends up drowning the good stuff.

I don't mind it any more as long as people get behind the Ukrainians, I can condone it :thumbsup:

At this point, Russia isn’t coercing anyone into the army, ignoring the separatists who seem to be coercing soldiers into their ranks, they still need to broker service contracts with willing reservists. Special conscription by decree will change how soldiers are being recruited. Currently, I don’t see them newly enlist more than ~100 000 troops, I would believe that 50 000 – 75 000 is more plausible.

For Russia, with their contingency at this time they need to take Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson, and I guess this is why they are also pulling back in Kharkiv to bolster their positions and advances in Donestk whilst having to hold on to Kherson (city).

The Russians must be having new troops coming in, as it is reported that they are strengthening their advances on Kryvyi Rih (city) and Zaprorizhia (city). These are not troop rotations.

For Ukraine, they need to secure Kharkiv, hold on Dnipropetrovsk and make their advance on Kherson (city).

I don’t believe some Oblasts are in play anymore. Attrition seems to be reaching now… Negotiations may resume soon, and some areas will be used as leverage. It is too hard to tell at this point whether Ukraine can muster a counter-attack on Luhansk, Donetsk and Zaporizhia. There are rumours that Ukraine wants to make a play on Crimea, but I doubt that, and to do so they will need to take back both Kherson and Zaporizhia without high casualties.

The only reasons the Russians will call on ‘mass mobilisation’ will be to move on Odessa at which point they will also push on Kryvyi Rih (city) and Zaprorizhia (city), and they haven't secured Donetsk at this point. As said, I think attrition is now grinding away on both sides. The Russians compacted a lot into a small window, an assault which the Ukrainians phenomenally withstood. It is still too early to tell, but I am predicting a second continuation war unless the situation is resolved through negotiations which would suit the Russians since they can supplement their war with their biannual conscripts who take up service contracts. Such a war will also be a global burden in the long term. Something has to give, and I hope that it is the Russian regime.

I stopped reading the news, it is getting more political as time goes on. All I do is read the ISW reports and their segments.
 

TEXTILE GUY

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Cyprus is the only country in the European Union where the majority of the population does not hold Russia responsible for the war in Ukraine.

According to statistical finding of the European Commission’s Flash Eurobarometer 506 report, when Cypriot respondents were asked how responsible are Russian authorities first and foremost for the current situation in Ukraine, 21% said “totally agree” and 24% “tend to agree.”

However, 23% said “totally disagree” and 28% said “tend to disagree.” The remainder said “don’t know.”

Overall, it turns out that 51% of Cypriots opposed such a statement.
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