Russo-Ukrainian War - 2022 Edition - Part3

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MiW

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www.pravda.com.ua

Medvedev threatens to shut off Moldova’s gas and uses “Russians” in Transnistria as blackmail

SATURDAY, 25 JUNE 2022, 13:32
www.pravda.com.ua www.pravda.com.ua

Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy head of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, has threatened Moldova that the Kremlin’s response to Chisinau’s anti-Russian sanctions will be immediate.


Source: European Pravda, citing Medvedev’s Telegram channel.


"They’re trying to please their new masters without even being an EU member, so they’re joining the European sanctions against our country. Well, it’s their choice. Let them try. If they do, they can be 100% sure that they won’t get any ‘expensive’ energy from us, or any other resources at all. Let them enjoy the sanctions without even having become an EU member," Medvedev said.


He also hinted that Russia is prepared to "protect" its "citizens" who are living in Russia-controlled Transnistria.


"If there is serious trouble concerning the Romanian Anschluss of Moldova, it should be borne in mind that about 220,000 Russian citizens live in Transnistria," he said, hinting at possible Russian military action in the region.


Igor Grosu, the speaker of the Moldovan Parliament, recently announced that Moldova intends to join the EU sanctions against Russia.

The EU expects candidate states to join its sanctions regimes.
EU leaders approved the decision to grant Ukraine and Moldova EU candidate member status at a Brussels summit on 23 June.
See also: Moldova: from the Russian army to disputes with Kyiv. Answers to the main questions about our neighbour state
 
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vaakseun said:
Those products were purchased before the start of the war. Retailers buy in bulk, not a couple of items every week.

It'll take a few months for the shelves to empty.
Click to expand...

And again it's only on paper. Have a look at Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Redbull, Monster, Lays, Pringles and I could go on and on. They mostly just suspended investment and marketing in Russia but they are still actively distributing and selling over there. Coca-Cola has launched some specials to get Russians to go back to the original rather than the imposter Russian versions that are coming out. There needs to be some real consequences over this or each and every company will reverse there decisions to follow the others and go back to Russia.
 
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Taxed said:

And again it's only on paper. Have a look at Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Redbull, Monster, Lays, Pringles and I could go on and on. They mostly just suspended investment and marketing in Russia but they are still actively distributing and selling over there. Coca-Cola has launched some specials to get Russians to go back to the original rather than the imposter Russian versions that are coming out. There needs to be some real consequences over this or each and every company will reverse there decisions to follow the others and go back to Russia.
Click to expand...
www.reuters.com

Coke bottler Coca-Cola HBC depleting stock in Russia

Bottler Coca-Cola HBC AG and its existing customers in Russia are "in the process of depleting stock," Coca-Cola Co said in a statement, after Reuters reported that Coke was for sale at a McDonald's Corp franchise in St. Petersburg.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com
 
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MiW said:
www.rferl.org

No Shirt Buttons, No Airbags, Buggy Smartphones: Russia's Economy Enters The 'Twilight Zone'

The Kremlin is optimistic the Russian economy can withstand the pounding from Western sanctions imposed in response to the Ukraine invasion. Some pragmatic voices within Russia aren’t so sure.
www.rferl.org www.rferl.org
Click to expand...

Yup this is where sanctions get interesting

If you look at Russia's stop exports and imports you will see the exports are predominantly raw materials based. The imports are pretty much the refined end product.
Raw materials are most easier to acquire and sell when you need generally a higher tech basis to produce the refined products

If the sanctions end up working you are going to start seeing more and more shortages of refined end products if they cannot be acquired elsewhere.

If the west can divorce themselves and cut the export of oil from Russia by half, I think they are going to be in a world of hurt. Russia oil suppliers would have to idle plants or store the product somewhere. You can only store so much.

Figures all from : https://www.worldstopexports.com/

Top 10 Exports (2021)
  1. Mineral fuels including oil: US$211.5 billion (43% of total exports)
  2. Gems, precious metals: $31.6 billion (6.4%)
  3. Iron, steel: $28.9 billion (5.9%)
  4. Fertilizers: $12.5 billion (2.5%)
  5. Wood: $11.7 billion (2.4%)
  6. Machinery including computers: $10.7 billion (2.2%)
  7. Cereals: $9.1 billion (1.9%)
  8. Aluminum: $8.8 billion (1.8%)
  9. Ores, slag, ash: $7.4 billion (1.5%)
  10. Plastics, plastic articles: $6.2 billion (1.3%)
Top 10 Imports (2021)
  1. Machinery including computers: US$54.3 billion (18.5% of total imports)
  2. Electrical machinery, equipment: $36.8 billion (12.5%)
  3. Vehicles: $26.8 billion (9.1%)
  4. Pharmaceuticals: $13.8 billion (4.7%)
  5. Plastics, plastic articles: $12.6 billion (4.3%)
  6. Optical, technical, medical apparatus: $8.7 billion (3%)
  7. Articles of iron or steel: $6.4 billion (2.2%)
  8. Iron, steel: $5.9 billion (2%)
  9. Organic chemicals: $5.8 billion (2%)
  10. Fruits, nuts: $5.4 billion (1.8%)
Russia's top trading partners (2021) also make for interesting reading. It is going to be interesting to see what happens to these figures after sanctions take effect. These 30 account for ~80% of Russia's exports.
  1. China: US$68 billion (13.8% of Russia’s total exports)
  2. Netherlands: $42.2 billion (8.6%)
  3. Germany: $29.6 billion (6%)
  4. Turkey: $26.5 billion (5.4%)
  5. Belarus: $22.8 billion (4.6%)
  6. United Kingdom: $22.3 billion (4.5%)
  7. Italy: $19.3 billion (3.9%)
  8. Kazakhstan: $18.5 billion (3.8%)
  9. United States: $17.7 billion (3.6%)
  10. South Korea: $16.9 billion (3.4%)
  11. Poland: $16.7 billion (3.4%)
  12. Japan: $10.7 billion (2.2%)
  13. France: $9.9 billion (2%)
  14. Finland: $9.7 billion (2%)
  15. India: $9.1 billion (1.9%)
  16. Belgium: $8.7 billion (1.8%)
  17. Ukraine: $8.1 billion (1.7%)
  18. Brazil: $5.3 billion (1.1%)
  19. Uzbekistan: $5.2 billion (1.1%)
  20. Slovakia: $5.1 billion (1%)
  21. United Arab Emirates: $5.1 billion (1%)
  22. Lithuania: $4.6 billion (0.9%)
  23. Latvia: $4.3 billion (0.9%)
  24. Greece: $4.2 billion (0.9%)
  25. Egypt: $4.2 billion (0.8%)
  26. Estonia: $4.1 billion (0.8%)
  27. Czech Republic: $4 billion (0.8%)
  28. Spain: $3.8 billion (0.8%)
  29. Hungary: $3.7 billion (0.8%)
  30. Taiwan: $3.5 billion (0.7%
Notice the lack of India / North Korea etc that have been touted to fill the gap of the west.
 
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