Somewhat off-topic, but those 747s that MyBroadband likes attaching to every SAA article were retired in 2010.
But can u imagine the cost of flights without SAA? I’m not saying it’s a good thing, I’m saying the period immediately after will have insane flight costs.. reckon maybe 1-2yrs while things normalize.
Comair has, in the past, stated that there are too many airlines in South Africa -- but saying that, they really only face competition from SAA (including Mango), and Flysafair to a lesser extent. No guessing what their prices will do if SAA disappears from the scene.
Effectively, Comair would gain a monopoly on business travellers, travellers to neighbouring countries, and people like me flying in and out of South Africa internationally and wanting to book domestic travel on the same ticket. Airlink would gain a monopoly on routes to the smaller airports (assuming SAX dies as well) -- I've lost count of how often Cemair gets grounded by the CAA these days. The domestic leisure market between Johannesburg, Cape Town and Durban will have some competition from Flysafair, but Flysafair may not be able to scale to the extent that Comair can (and keeping in mind Comair has some 737 MAX 8's just waiting to be cleared to fly again). The only market that would be largely unaffected is the long-haul international market, apart from the routes that only SAA flies (e.g. the residents of
Johannesburg East Perth would have to travel through Singapore or Sydney -- Qantas isn't going to pick that route up due to disputes that they have with Perth Airport, but that's a story for another thread).
Like it or not, from a pricing point of view, South Africa needs SAA to keep the market honest. That said, South Africa needs a well-run SAA, not the diabolical shambles that it is today. Whether or not SAA can be restored remains to be seen.