South African Covid-19 News and Discussions 3

Paulsie

Executive Member
Joined
Apr 6, 2020
Messages
5,460
How long can it take to tool up a plastics factory and churn them out by the millions instead of just 'being worried by the shortage'. :confused:
Tools and moulds generally take 3-4 weeks so not long. Then again, somebody would have to think of that and then issue a tender for it.
 

Grant

Honorary Master
Joined
Mar 27, 2007
Messages
60,604
There is a difference between denialists and those who believe the virus will make its way and its own waves, regardless of interventions
I never thought the day would come, but it has - seems we are finally able to agree on something
 

Düber

Expert Member
Joined
May 17, 2018
Messages
2,617
Easier said than done. A committee has to be formed in order to call for a commission, thereafter tenders to be announced..
Don't forget the reissueing of the tender until the right person wins it. Could also cause a delay.
 
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Geoff.D

Honorary Master
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Aug 4, 2005
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26,878
Not really, last two days below 1000 cases daily, positivity rate still safely below the 5 percent level. Also Northern Cape is least populated province, their surge won't really affect overall numbers. :laugh:
The latest Rt figures for SA are already showing signs of a resurgence. So the hype and euphoria about the latest low figures do not make any sense whatsoever.
The third wave is already on its way, just like the way the water recedes before the next wave at the beach.

The latest Rt values for SA according to Media hack:

View attachment 1036872 View attachment 1036874
Detailed values per province available here:
Reproduction Live | Estimating R for Covid-19
No, the rate is increasing. everything pans out, the early signs are there already, and once Rt crosses that line it accelerates the number of infections.
 

The_Librarian

Another MyBB
Super Moderator
Joined
Nov 20, 2015
Messages
37,649
People, stock up right now on drinks and smokes.

Next week things will be back to Kopdoek et cie should the 3rd wave not be a damp squib.

I think it will be a damp squib, but you never know.
 
Joined
Mar 6, 2004
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No, the rate is increasing. everything pans out, the early signs are there already, and once Rt crosses that line it accelerates the number of infections.

R number is still not above 1 - it's actually decreased slightly from 0.99 to 0.96 (also notice the last estimate was calculated on 13th, the R number hasn't yet captured the last two days of cases < 1000)
 
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To end the Covid-19 pandemic, we need to get vaccinated. But if the current vaccination rate becomes the average, it will take 18 years and 16 days to reach a herd immunity of 67% of the population. The Media Hack launched a vaccination calculator on March 15, and it calculated that if the current rate of vaccines becomes the norm, we should reach herd immunity by 2039.

Professor Barry Schoub, the chairperson of the government’s vaccine ministerial advisory committee says: “It is what was originally planned – we are doing about 10,000 a day.”


In an interview with the Daily Maverick, Schoub said that Phase 1 of the national vaccine plan is slow because it is still a trial being run with Johnson & Johnson’s single-dose jab for healthcare workers.

He says that Phase 1 should be completed by the end of April, with 1 million of the total 1.2 million health workers inoculated. “We are not vastly behind,” says Schoub.

Hmmm....
 

R13...

Honorary Master
Joined
Aug 4, 2008
Messages
46,547
R number is still not above 1 - it's actually decreased slightly from 0.99 to 0.96 (also notice the last estimate was calculated on 13th, the R number hasn't yet captured the last two days of cases < 1000)
Most of the province have an R above 1 though. Only LP, WC and KZN under 1.
 
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