South African Covid-19 News and Discussions 3

ShaunSA

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Sep 7, 2005
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As the wizard said:

His posts about viruses, microbes, etc are all over. You are welcome to find them yourself. I am not wading through all that for you.

You guys made the claim

Having said that there are always one or two batschit crazy forumites. Killadoob springs to mind
 

animal531

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Looking at the graph now vs the 2nd wave, it went exponential over a few short days whereas the current graph is looking pretty linear still over the last 20 days.
 

Paulsie

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Geoff.D

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Anyone notice the virtually complete absence of the Chair of the MAC?
Whenever the news channels want technical input, they still approach Prof Karrim?
 

Geoff.D

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Some points I picked up from the short interview today televised on CH 404.
1. It is pretty clear that the govt is using data and stats that is different from that we see in the public domain.
2. A good explanation was verbally given as to how the govt is determining the current 3rd wave status, and why the case figures do not reflect actual situation.
3. That previous exposure to Covid 19 does NOT give anyone immunity against the new variants out there, hence why people are getting infected more than once.
4. The anti body tests are showing that for every 1 confirmed case, there are 9 more that no one knew or knows about.
5. That the herd immunity idea is pretty much a fallacy at the moment and that most probably, everyone would have to be vaccinated and not the current target of 40 million.
6. That the third wave started weeks ago in some provinces, but that the national figures are only now starting to show the 3rd wave as the more populous provinces start showing the resurgence.
7. That in the present situation where our VAX program is basically non existent, that there will be no other outcome but for a move to a higher level of LD again, as too many people are becoming complacent again.
8. The prof suggests that large event control will virtually be guaranteed to be part of new measures.
9. The prof said that health facilities must all start gearing up for an inrush again.
That signals to me that stupid measures such changes to curfew and alcohol sales restrictions could easily be imposed again as well.
 
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twr

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Some points I picked up from the short interview today televised on CH 404.
1. It is pretty clear that the govt is using data and stats that is different from that we see in the public domain.
2. A good explanation was verbally given as to how the govt is determining the current 3rd wave status, and why the case figures do not reflect actual situation.
3. That previous exposure to Covid 19 does NOT give anyone immunity against the new variants out there, hence why people are getting infected more than once.
4. The anti body tests are showing that for every 1 confirmed case, there are 9 more that no one knew or knows about.
5. That the herd immunity idea is pretty much a fallacy at the moment and that most probably, everyone would have to be vaccinated and not the current target of 40 million.
6. That the third wave started weeks ago in some provinces, but that the national figures are only now starting to show the 3rd wave as the more populous provinces start showing the resurgence.
7. That in the present situation where our VAX program is basically non existent, that there will be no other outcome but for a move to a higher level of LD again, as too many people are becoming complacent again.
8. The prof suggests that large event control will virtually be guaranteed to be part of new measures.
9. The prof said that health facilities must all start gearing up for an inrush again.
That signals to me that stupid measures such changes to curfew and alcohol sales restrictions could easily be imposed again as well.
Ref point 2.
Are you saying that the current cases are way higher than what we see being published.(which I know in general there is unreported cases)
 

Geoff.D

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Ref point 2.
Are you saying that the current cases are way higher than what we see being published.(which I know in general there is unreported cases)
Ja if I understood the prof correctly, that is exactly what is implied.
 
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Lupus

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Ja if I understood the prof correctly, that is exactly what is implied.
Honestly this is the problem I've been saying. Why are we counting this every day if the numbers presented aren't right, also what basis are they basing the not being immune on?
If that was the case then a vaccine wouldn't work on the new strain, as it would teach the immune system to fight the wrong strain, that would also mean the virus has mutated to far. Also where is the proper news of re infections? After a year it still feels like the SA side is floundering.
 

Daveogg

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Nov 11, 2003
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Ja if I understood the prof correctly, that is exactly what is implied.
Did not see the interview, or know who was interviewed, but as before my experience on the ground reflects closely the official figures. As yet KZN according to official figures has minimal transmission and local experience is the same. No current admissions in my hospital and very infrequent positive cases from the EU. It's only the calm before the storm though. Getting my head ready to do it all again.
 
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