- Jul 5, 2009
I'd still not really look at excess deaths until we have official numbers, there's a reason it takes a few years to get the real excess numbers. But even reported deaths look lower then second wave, only a little bit bigger then first wave, so Delta hit more people but actually resulted in less deaths? So the virus is more transmittable but not as fatal?
You can't just look at total deaths and assume anything about the variants from a single number. The age spectrum of those infected during each wave has changed, and the vaccine rollout was prioritised on an age basis. By definition this means that the 3rd wave had a lower death rate, but this was due to population factors and not virus lethality.