Blu82
Honorary Master
- Joined
- Nov 15, 2005
- Messages
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Yep. Did not weaken overnight. Predicted to hit as a Cat 4 with 130mph (209kph) winds now.Yeah, hope is fine. Wind shear could be a factor, but it's not wise to bank on the best case scenario. Best case is mostly as likely/unlikely as the worst. Hurricanes are known to piss all over anybody's expectations.
So they should wisely prepare for something in the middle:
That's how you cover your bases, instead of leaving bits sticking out.
- A Cat4 landing
- A foot or two greater surge
- A couple inches more of rain
- It's passage over Florida taking a few hours more.
It is called knowing the history and knowing where to find the historical records -------@Geoff.D will know... he was alive then
Michael Mann forecast in excess of 33 storms ---- all CAT 3 and above. He is gonna have egg on his face spread by a hockey stick. And BTW what is with the date 1990? Why not go back to when records started being kept? Before 1935. And if you do that you find Milton come in in 19th place! The worst ever Hurricane in the US happened in 1935. It has held on to number 1 place ever since.Interesting article with discussion and charts about the relatively unusual (but not unprecedented) 2024 Atlantic hurricane season:
Atlantic hurricane season 2024: How unusual has it been?
Hurricanes Helene and Milton have bookended a particularly stormy period. What's behind it?www.bbc.com
Michael Mann forecast in excess of 33 storms ---- all CAT 3 and above. He is gonna have egg on his face spread by a hockey stick. And BTW what is with the date 1990? Why not go back to when records started being kept? Before 1935. And if you do that you find Milton come in in 19th place! The worst ever Hurricane in the US happened in 1935. It has held on to number 1 place ever since.
At one point before it made landfall, Typhoon Kong-rey was packing winds over 200km/h close to its centre, making it the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane.
It has also caused power outages in half a million households, according to electricity supplier Taiwan Power Company.
It is unusual for a typhoon this big to come so late in the year. Taiwan’s typhoon season, according to its weather agency, generally falls between July and September.
The eastern part of Taiwan, which is set to be hardest hit by Typhoon Kong-rey, may see up to 1,200mm of rainfall between 29 October and 1 November, according to the island’s weather agency forecasters.
I don't think I've had that much rain in 5 years.Yet another typhoon hits Taiwan:
Typhoon Kong-rey hits Taiwan
The storm is the largest typhoon to directly hit Taiwan in nearly 30 years.www.bbc.com