These are the parties leading in Joburg, Tshwane and Nelson Mandela Bay: poll

[BusinessTech]

These are the parties leading in Joburg, Tshwane and Nelson Mandela Bay: poll

With the 2016 municipal elections just a little over a week away, the latest election polls show the support base of the country's biggest parties stabilising.

 

[skimread]

That is overstating the DA support a lot. l bet a billion dollars that the DA in the final election results won't beat the ANC by 16.5% in Tswane and 5.5% in Joburg and 14% in PE like those polls indicate.

The realist in me says the best case optimistic scenario is the ANC lose 5% and DA gain 5% from the previous elections. If the DA do beat them in those metros I'd be ecstatic. The ANC had 53.59% of the vote last elections vs the DAs 30.78% in Gauteng. That's a huge margin. Things don't change drastically in such a short time.

 

[Sinbad]

That is overstating the DA support a lot. l bet a billion dollars that the DA in the final election results won't beat the ANC by 16.5% in Tswane and 5.5% in Joburg and 14% in PE like those polls indicate.

The realist in me says the best case optimistic scenario is the ANC lose 5% and DA gain 5% from the previous elections. If the DA do beat them in those metros I'd be ecstatic. The ANC had 53.59% of the vote last elections vs the DAs 30.78% in Gauteng. That's a huge margin. Things don't change drastically in such a short time.

I wonder.


Things HAVE changed drastically. Service delivery is in its moer. Urban people are seeing through Zuma...

 

[R13...]

The anc will lose votes to the EFF but whether the DA can make corresponding gains is highly debatable

 

[krycor]

In Guateng people vote [strike]with[/strike] based on their pockets hence the drastic swing last elections, so i reckon an upset might come.

 

[LazyLion]

So, basically the same as the last polls.
The undecided sector is too large to actually make any declarations out of this.

 

[3WA]

Ipsos, you are getting me all excited. Making me feel like Jesus is about to come to Tshwane and Johannesburg.

 

[skimread]

I wonder.


Things HAVE changed drastically. Service delivery is in its moer. Urban people are seeing through Zuma...

Your area probably voted DA previous election. It matters zero to the elections results if you vote the same way. Areas that voted ANC previously need to vote DA for the election results to swing drastically.

Modern elections worldwide gets controlled by big data. You can see the Gauteng data for yourself. It's the outlying rural areas that vote ANC. ANC don't tolerate opposition parties in those areas. They give free gifts and grants telling lies about the opposition.
Same happens in Zimbabwe. Rural areas vote ZanuPF.

 

[Sinbad]

Your area probably voted DA previous election. It matters zero to the elections results if you vote the same way.

Modern elections worldwide gets controlled by big data. You can see the Gauteng data for yourself. It's the outlying rural areas that vote ANC. ANC don't tolerate opposition parties in those areas. They give free gifts and grants telling lies about the opposition.
Same happens in Zimbabwe. Rural areas vote ZanuPF.

Joburg has very few rural areas.

 

[skimread]

Joburg has very few rural areas.

But very large informal settlements. How many millions of people live in Soweto alone. It's about a third of all people living in Joburg. Of course they will vote ANC. They get given free electricity.

 

[LCBXX]

I do not know whether the DA will be in a good place if again the hype on them winning a highly sought after province/metro flops like it did with Gauteng in..was it 2014?

The polling agencies and the media have been getting it wrong quite a bit as of late. #Brexit.

 

[3WA]

Joburg has very few rural areas.

But 53% dumb*sses (see 2014 results).

 

[Excalibur]

That is overstating the DA support a lot. l bet a billion dollars that the DA in the final election results won't beat the ANC by 16.5% in Tswane and 5.5% in Joburg and 14% in PE like those polls indicate.

Ipsos does this every election and at the end the ANC defies their predictions.

 

[Mortymoose]

It's all pointless, in areas where the ANC lose control, their supporters will just make the are ungovernable.... Like what happened in Plett a few years back....

 

[SlowInternet]

I never trust these polls. Will wait for election results.

 

[Sinbad]

Chatted to someone in the know jsut now. He thinks we're in for an EFF/ANC coalition.