In earlier posts you were advocating Mbeki to take a third term. Mbeki's academic background is Economics. He was considered an astute businessman by many. By all accounts, Mbeki ran this country like a business, ensuring that the financial aspect (department of finance) remained the most competent with the most competent people in place. The health department's AIDS sentiment, by the way, echoed Mbeki's very own AIDS ideas, and he still keeps Manto in power (I don't know where you got your info from but Manto was sidelined by the deputy president - who basically pulled rank - and not by Mbeki). He left various empty promises (notwithstanding his promise to lower the cost of telecoms in South Africa was rendered completely baseless as he kept Ivy in position). Mbeki has all the traits of a bad boss - fires only those who fall out of favour with him, while keeping the incompetents in place while he spends most of his time out of the office. Only difference is Mbeki's golf swing still sucks. Mbeki is a good African leader - he is working extremely hard for a better Africa, but he is a crap South African leader.
Trevor Manuel, I fear, would be a terrible president because he is not in the right mindset (yet) - I think Trevor should go into the Private sector for a few years, then take the presidency, but I doubt he will do this as he is not interested in a higher office. Helen has about as much chance as a snowball in Mauna Loa to make any higher office than she currently holds (ok, maybe she will one day hold a portfolio, sort of the way Marthinus van Schalkwyk was bought by the ANC but I think she has better morals than old kortbroek)
We're (mostly) in agreement that Zuma should never ever get into power. I think Tokyo will be a good choice in the end, but I have to wonder if he will enjoy any support from the *Zuma* camp whatsoever. I am almost certain that neither Cosatu nor the SACP will be too happy with Tokyo's ambitions.
It sure is looking better for democracy though, especially if COSATU and the SACP's support for Zuma forces the three partied alliance to split.