Will ANC split?

[Oopsie]

I see it this way. The ANC is permanently tainted as a corrupt mafia mob. The only people that will vote for them are the traditional ANC older generation that all mostly now in rural areas.

The EFF will only attract voters with low education and workers that do not understand how the economy works. People that want everything for free. They are saturated by now and will not grow by much.

The DA is growing in leaps and bounds as the more read population realizes how well the DA has performed. The new generation of blacks did not live through the struggle and do not have an allegiance to the ANC. They are getting more educated and mixing with other race groups and making their own minds up. Typical in urban areas.

This is the beginning of the end for the old soldiers of the ANC. They must now retire and let the younger generation take over.

 

[ToxicBunny]

I see it this way. The ANC is permanently tainted as a corrupt mafia mob. The only people that will vote for them are the traditional ANC older generation that all mostly now in rural areas.

The EFF will only attract voters with low education and workers that do not understand how the economy works. People that want everything for free. They are saturated by now and will not grow by much.

The DA is growing in leaps and bounds as the more read population realizes how well the DA has performed. The new generation of blacks did not live through the struggle and do not have an allegiance to the ANC. They are getting more educated and mixing with other race groups and making their own minds up. Typical in urban areas.

This is the beginning of the end for the old soldiers of the ANC. They must now retire and let the younger generation take over.

In terms of the anc I'm not entirely sure. While they are in power they will still get people of all ages to vote for them.

The eff attracts all sorts of voters though not just voters with low education or who don't understand how the economy works. Have had discussions with some guys who are fervent eff supporters and they are quite sharp but the eff talks to them about providing for their whole family and uplifting them... Even if the rhetoric is largely ignorant of economics and the global markets

I do agree in regards of the da. Growing in leaps and bounds and the results in this local elections will do wonders for their support base if they can actually provide delivery in the areas they now govern in.

 

[TheChamp]

I see it this way. The ANC is permanently tainted as a corrupt mafia mob. The only people that will vote for them are the traditional ANC older generation that all mostly now in rural areas.

The EFF will only attract voters with low education and workers that do not understand how the economy works. People that want everything for free. They are saturated by now and will not grow by much.

The DA is growing in leaps and bounds as the more read population realizes how well the DA has performed. The new generation of blacks did not live through the struggle and do not have an allegiance to the ANC. They are getting more educated and mixing with other race groups and making their own minds up. Typical in urban areas.

This is the beginning of the end for the old soldiers of the ANC. They must now retire and let the younger generation take over.

Interesting, especially the EFF part, but talking about growth saturation, you will find that the DA has not grown in leaps and bounds in this elections as you suggested, from 16,2% in 2006, to 23,9% in 2011, to 27,1% in 2016.

They have grown by just over 3 % compared to over 7% in the previous elections, don't you find it strange that even with Zuma at helm they did not get much advantage in terms of voters this elections?

 

[Thor]

Interesting, especially the EFF part, but talking about growth saturation, you will find that the DA has not grown in leaps and bounds in this elections as you suggested, from 16,2% in 2006, to 23,9% in 2011, to 27,1% in 2016.

They have grown by just over 3 % compared to over 7% in the previous elections, don't you find it strange that even with Zuma at helm they did not get much advantage in terms of voters this elections?

They grown in the metro's that's all that matters the DA will never ever take national government platteland is the problem the masses come and vote.


At least if the DA can hold the key economic points the metros then we should be on the right track economically

 

[BBSA]

Interesting, especially the EFF part, but talking about growth saturation, you will find that the DA has not grown in leaps and bounds in this elections as you suggested, from 16,2% in 2006, to 23,9% in 2011, to 27,1% in 2016.

They have grown by just over 3 % compared to over 7% in the previous elections, don't you find it strange that even with Zuma at helm they did not get much advantage in terms of voters this elections?

I think the fact that they now control a few Metro will help them a lot. Once the people experience good governance they going to support the DA. Look at what happened in Cape Town.

 

[Garson007]

The real problems will emerge when the ANC National Government finds it is impossible to get Provinces to implement policies that are not acceptable to the Provinces.

2019? What about a scenario that forces an early National Government election?

NCOP is heavily ANC dominated, and will still be after they lose a majority in NA.

A split is the most realistic chance we have for a national coalition government.

 

[Crabby]

Interesting, especially the EFF part, but talking about growth saturation, you will find that the DA has not grown in leaps and bounds in this elections as you suggested, from 16,2% in 2006, to 23,9% in 2011, to 27,1% in 2016.

They have grown by just over 3 % compared to over 7% in the previous elections, don't you find it strange that even with Zuma at helm they did not get much advantage in terms of voters this elections?

The percentages will give you that impression, but they don't tell the whole story.

There was a DM article on it a while back that showed the 'true' growth.

Let me go find it.

Sample of the DA section

The Best News

In “black” districts and wards across the country they showed substantial growth from 2011 to 2016. Four of the best examples are:

In the Eastern Cape – Umzimbuvu (Ward 23), 33 increased to 1,012.

Ntabankulu (ward 4) 8 votes increased to 891.

In Gauteng, Mamelodi (ward 38) 387 increased to 1,571.

In KwaZulu-Natal, eDumbe (all wards) 861 increased to 6,542.

These areas have previously been completely dominated by the ANC, and are almost totally black voting areas. Even more important, the most significant growth was in the rural wards.

Now for the Bad News

Voter apathy affected them badly. (This does not apply to most of the Western Cape).

http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/opin...s-what-the-numbers-actually-say/#.V7wBvN_r3Og