South Africa should exit its third wave of Covid–19 this week if the current downward trend in new cases and hospitalisations continues, says CSIR senior researcher Ridhwaan Suliman.
In his weekly analysis of South Africa’s Covid–19 statistics, Suliman noted a declining trend in new cases nationally.
On Friday, he reported that all provincial Covid–19 curves are still on a downward trend.
Suliman said that Gauteng and Limpopo had exited the third wave, with North West and Mpumalanga set to follow shortly.
Nationally, the changes over the past week were as follows:
- Cases: –35%
- Tests: –11%
- Test positivity at 9.3%
- Hospitalisations: –23%
- Deaths: –3%
Time for a weekly update of #COVID19 in South Africa🇿🇦
Downward trend continues 📉
Nationally, SA should exit the #3rdWave in the coming week if trend continues..🤞
— Ridhwaan Suliman (@rid1tweets) September 19, 2021
The National Institute of Communicable Diseases (NICD) is also still reporting that the current surge in Covid–19 infections shows signs of a sustained downward trend.
On Sunday evening, the NICD reported that 2,281 new Covid–19 cases were identified in South Africa, representing a 7.4% positivity rate.
Statistics from the National Department of Health show that another 58 Covid–19 related deaths were reported, bringing the total fatalities to 86,174.
South Africa’s vaccination programme is performing well, with close to 16 million vaccines administered by 17:00 on Sunday.
Of these, 3,497,797 were the single-shot Johnson & Johnson vaccine, while 4,413,374 people in South Africa have received both doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.