![\"\"](\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/Medupi-Unit-4-explosion-rear-angle.jpg\")
The damaged Medupi unit 4 after an explosion on Sunday, 8 August 2021.<\/p><\/div>\n
\u201cThe current supply generation capacity deficit is just over 4,000MW,\u201d Eskom said.<\/p>\n
Eskom added that investigations into the cause of the damage at Medupi unit 4 would assist in determining the extent of the damage and the cost and time to repair.<\/p>\n
De Ruyter previously said replacing the generator could cost between R1.5-R2 billion and take two years.<\/p>\n
Eskom’s generation fleet recently also took a hit at the Kendal Power Station, where a fire damaged Unit 1’s generator transformer and resulted in the shutdown of Unit 2 and Unit 3.<\/p>\n
In an update on Monday morning<\/strong><\/a>, the utility said that the two adjacent units would be returned to service early this week, while Unit 1 will be returned to service during November 2021.<\/p>\n Although Eskom will be increasing diesel consumption to make up for the loss of generation, it said it does not expect it will have to implement load-shedding as a result of the incident.<\/p>\n Kendal Power Station<\/p><\/div>\n The news of an improved outlook will come as a great relief to South African households and businesses that have been hit by significant load-shedding.<\/p>\n The CSIR\u2019s half-year update of its\u00a0statistics on utility-scale power generation<\/a><\/strong> revealed that Eskom had already implemented 76% of the total amount of load-shedding of 2020 in the first six months of 2021.<\/p>\n The CSIR said the severe load-shedding was primarily caused by the existing coal fleet\u2019s declining energy availability factor (EAF).<\/p>\n The EAF was 61.3% for the first half of 2021, lower than the 65% EAF in 2020 and 66.9% in 2019.<\/p>\n However, Eskom’s latest weekly system status report shows this has improved over the last few weeks, peaking at 69.81% in week 29 (19 July to 25 July). By week 35 (30 August to 5 September), the average had increased to 63.13%.<\/p>\n Eskom’s three-month generation shortage forecast clearly shows how the situation has improved from the same time last year.<\/p>\n In the next 14 weeks, Eskom’s “planned risk level”, which assumes planned and unplanned outages of 14,200MW, anticipates a possible shortage of less than 1,000MW for 9 weeks and sufficient generation capacity to meet demand in the remaining 5 weeks.<\/p>\n For the same period in 2020, it anticipated 1 week of shortages exceeding 2,001MW, 10 weeks of shortages between 1,001MW and 2,000MW and 3 weeks of shortages less than 1,000MW.<\/p>\n Under the more severe “likely risk scenario”, which adds a further 2,000MW of unplanned outages, 5 out of the 14 weeks are expected to experience shortages of between 1,001MW and 2,000MW, while the remaining 9 could have shortages exceeding 2,001MW.<\/p>\n While this clearly does not rule out load-shedding, it is much better than in 2020, when all of the weeks had likely risk scenarios in which shortages would exceed 2,001MW.<\/p>\n The differences between the three-month outlooks of weeks 36 to 49 of 2020 and 2021 are shown in the tables below.<\/p>\n Despite losing Medupi Unit 4 in an explosion in early August, Eskom says it still expects the occurrence of load-shedding to reduce from this month.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341042,"featured_media":383490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27995],"tags":[61891,20101,181,35,51867,72168],"class_list":["post-413554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-andre-de-ruyter","tag-council-for-scientific-and-industrial-research-csir","tag-eskom","tag-headline","tag-loadshedding","tag-medup-power-station"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/413554"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341042"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=413554"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/413554\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":413798,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/413554\/revisions\/413798"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/383490"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=413554"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=413554"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=413554"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Kendal-Power-Station-640x398.png\")
\n3-month outlook – Week 35 of 2020<\/h3>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Week-36-to-49.jpg\")
<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Legend.jpg\")
<\/p>\n
\n3-month outlook – Week 35 of 2021<\/h3>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Week-36-to-49_2021.jpg\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\nNow read: From R26 for a toilet roll to R200,000 for a mop \u2014 Wasteful expenses Eskom\u2019s De Ruyter is fighting<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"