{"id":457445,"date":"2022-08-22T15:39:56","date_gmt":"2022-08-22T13:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/?p=457445"},"modified":"2022-08-22T15:45:16","modified_gmt":"2022-08-22T13:45:16","slug":"naspers-big-problems","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/business\/457445-naspers-big-problems.html","title":{"rendered":"Naspers&#8217; big problems"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Naspers and Prosus released their full-year results on 27 June 2022, which revealed a decline in trading profit, core headline earnings per share, and free cash flow.<\/p>\n<p>Naspers CEO Bob van Dijk downplayed the earnings decline, saying, \u201cthe group delivered strong growth and scale across our businesses, positioning them for continued growth\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Van Dijk focussed on their 24% revenue growth, saying it represents a \u201cstrong and consistent performance in a volatile environment\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe invested in our segments and strategic mergers and acquisitions over the year, reflecting our belief in the potential of the businesses we are building.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Market commentators were not convinced.<\/p>\n<p>Moneyweb\u2019s Simon Brown said the number that struck him was that 125% of the profits come from Tencent.<\/p>\n<p>Tencent contributed $6.273 billion to Naspers\u2019 trading profit, while its ecommerce operations recorded a $1.120 billion trading loss.<\/p>\n<p>The losses in most ecommerce segments, including food delivery, edtech, and etail, increased by over 100%.<\/p>\n<p>Craig Antonie, chief investment officer at AnBro Capital, said outside of Tencent, only the classifieds investments generate positive adjusted earnings.<\/p>\n<p>However, these components are more like a rounding error if they are compared to the Tencent contribution.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOverall, the rest of the segments lost about $880 million for Naspers over the last reporting period \u2014 hardly something to be happy about,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>He said the market has doubts about Naspers and Prosus outside of Tencent, which is why it trades at such a large discount to its net asset value (NAV).<\/p>\n<p>Sasfin Securities deputy chairman, David Shapiro, echoed Antonie\u2019s views, saying Naspers and Prosus shareholders are mainly interested in Tencent.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cShareholders are not interested in the loss-making food delivery, edtech, or food delivery businesses,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\"><strong>Naspers and Prosus under fire<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Naspers has been trading at a significant discount to its net asset value for years, putting pressure on the management team to unlock value.<\/p>\n<p>One of the strategies to unlock shareholder value was to list Naspers\u2019 Internet businesses separately under the newly established Prosus.<\/p>\n<p>Naspers claimed that it unlocked around R150-billion of value for shareholders through the Prosus listing, but the significant discount remained.<\/p>\n<p>In another attempt to unlock value and reduce the trading discount to its assets, Naspers investors were asked to swap their stock for shares in Prosus in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>This deal did little to add shareholder value and was described as \u201cidiotic\u201d by hedge fund manager Albert Saporta.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s even more idiotic than the creation of Prosus, which was very idiotic,\u201d Saporta said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI had never seen a situation where management would create another structure above the holding company to reduce the discount, which is what Naspers did when they created Prosus.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNow, two years down the line, they\u2019ve realised it\u2019s not working, and the discounts are higher than before, and they\u2019ve come up with an even more stupid idea \u2014 a cross-holding which will happen after the tender is successful.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In the latest attempt to unlock value,\u00a0 Naspers and Prosus have embarked on a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/business\/450304-naspers-owned-prosus-selling-tencent-stock-to-buy-back-own-shares.html\">share repurchase programme<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The programme is designed to increase net asset value per share, taking advantage of Prosus\u2019s and Naspers\u2019s trading discounts to their underlying net asset value.<\/p>\n<p>The repurchase programme is open-ended and will run as long as elevated levels of the trading discount to the group\u2019s underlying net asset value persist.<\/p>\n<p>The programme is funded by an on-market sale of Tencent shares held by Prosus.<\/p>\n<p>The company said Tencent is supportive of the withdrawal by Prosus of its voluntary restriction on the sale of its Tencent Shares.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\"><strong>Naspers\u2019 management decisions slated by Sean Peche<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Ranmore Fund Management founder, Sean Peche, has previously slated Naspers and Prosus management for poor acquisitions and destroying shareholder value.<\/p>\n<p>Peche highlighted that in April 2021, Prosus sold 192 million Tencent shares, which amounts to 2% of its holding, for $14.6 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Tencent\u2019s share price has fallen significantly since then, making it seem like an excellent decision that should be commended.<\/p>\n<p>Not so fast, said Peche.<\/p>\n<p>Prosus agreed not to sell any more Tencent shares for the next three years as part of the deal. It means they suffered a significant hit on their remaining 29% stake in the Chinese tech giant.<\/p>\n<p>Prosus will also remain exposed to the whims and fancies of the Chinese Government, which has caused hardship for tech giants like Tencent and Alibaba.<\/p>\n<p>The worst part is what Prosus management did with the $14.6 billion it made from selling a portion of its Tencent stake.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, Prosus spent $6.3 billion buying back stock at \u20ac89.20. These stocks would cost $5.3 billion today, which means shareholders lost $1 billion.<\/p>\n<p>The management team also spent R53 billion buying Naspers shares at R3,318 each. These shares are now worth R37 billion, destroying R16.5 billion in shareholder value.<\/p>\n<p>In August, Prosus announced a $4.7 billion deal buying Indian payment services provider BillDesk.<\/p>\n<p>Peche said BillDesk\u2019s unaudited management accounts showed a profit of $36.8 million and a net asset value (NAV) of $257 million.<\/p>\n<p>It means Prosus paid 131 times earnings and 18 times the net asset value.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt must be a small, high-growth business. Nope, apparently, 44 billion payments already take place in India with Billdesk generating $92 billion of total payment value,\u201d Peche said.<\/p>\n<p>Considering the significant transaction value and $36.8 million profit, it equates to a net margin of only 0.04%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHang on, don\u2019t you want businesses with pricing power in an inflationary environment because 131 years is a long time to wait just to get your money back before any return,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Naspers used the rest of the cash from the Tencent sale to buy more Delivery Hero shares a few months ago.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAccording to Bloomberg filings, Naspers\/Prosus spent \u20ac3.1 billion in 2021 buying 26.6 million shares at an average price of \u20ac117 per share,\u201d Peche said.<\/p>\n<p>After a recent trading update, which was essentially a profit warning, Delivery Hero\u2019s share price collapsed to \u20ac42.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis means Naspers is down 64% on its Delivery Hero investment last year,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Peche said with all these billions disappearing, it is good to keep cash away from the Naspers and Prosus management team.<\/p>\n<p>Daily Investor asked Naspers for feedback about Peche\u2019s comments, but the company did not respond.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\"><strong>How individual Naspers\/Prosus companies performed<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Prosus-holdings.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-457461\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Prosus-holdings.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1100\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Prosus-holdings.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Prosus-holdings-600x273.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Prosus-holdings-800x364.jpg 800w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Prosus-holdings-768x349.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Naspers has three direct investments \u2013 100% ownership in Takealot.com and Media24 and a 42% shareholding in Prosus.<\/p>\n<p>In the last financial year, Media24 made a trading profit of R17 million and Takealot made a trading loss of $7 million.<\/p>\n<p>Prosus, through its significant Tencent shareholding, is where most of Naspers\u2019 value lies.<\/p>\n<p>Prosus has a large portfolio of technology and internet companies, but delving into these companies\u2019 financials is challenging as many are not listed.<\/p>\n<p>The good news is that a handful of these companies are listed, which makes it possible to assess their profitability.<\/p>\n<p>The table below shows the net income margins of Prosus\u2019 listed investments.<\/p>\n<p>The first column lists the most recent net income, and the second shows the company\u2019s average net income since listing.<\/p>\n<div class=\"mybb_table\">\n<div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" style=\"width: 100%;\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" align=\"center\" bgcolor=\"#000000\"><strong style=\"color: #fcfcfc;\">Net income of listed companies owned by Prosus<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td bgcolor=\"#EFEFEF\"><strong>Company<\/strong><\/td>\n<td bgcolor=\"#EFEFEF\"><strong>Most Recent<\/strong><\/td>\n<td bgcolor=\"#EFEFEF\"><strong>Average Since Listing<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tencent<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #00a822;\">+40.14%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #00a822;\">+33.99%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Silvergate<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #00a822;\">+45.95%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #00a822;\">+28.79%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sinch<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #00a822;\">+5.61%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #00a822;\">+4.66%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>JD.com<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-0.37%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-1.19%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Trip.com<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-2.75%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-1.13%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Remitly<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-8.45%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-20.57%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Skillsoft<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-10.94%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-58.72%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Udemy<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-15.52%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-19.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Delivery Hero<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-18.79%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-53.27%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Similarweb<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-50,11%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-32.91%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bakkt<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-464.57%<\/td>\n<td style=\"color: #fb0206;\">-371.97%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The summary shows that only three of the eleven listed companies are profitable.<\/p>\n<p>Silvergate and Tencent have been exceptional performers.<\/p>\n<p>However, Prosus only made a $0.01 billion investment into Silvergate. Its performance is insignificant in comparison with Tencent.<\/p>\n<p>Prosus\u2019 financial results revealed that, besides Tencent, its classifieds business is the only good performer.<\/p>\n<p>The classifieds business\u2019 $25 million profit is dwarfed by the significant losses of its other segments:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Food delivery \u2014 $725 million trading loss.<\/li>\n<li>Payments and fintech \u2014 $60 million trading loss.<\/li>\n<li>Edtech \u2014 $117 million trading loss.<\/li>\n<li>Etail \u2014 $42 million trading loss.<\/li>\n<li>Other ecommerce \u2014 $202 million trading loss.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The $6.3 billion trading profit from Tencent has to make up for the huge losses of Naspers and Prosus\u2019 other investments.<\/p>\n<p>Considering these figures, it is no surprise that many Naspers shareholders have been begging for Tencent to be unbundled to unlock value.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>By Drikus Greyling for <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/dailyinvestor.com\/technology\/615\/naspers-problem-children\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daily Investor<\/a><\/strong>, republished with permission.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Now read:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/business\/457193-takealot-ceo-breaks-silence-on-amazons-expected-launch-in-south-africa.html\">Takealot CEO breaks silence on Amazon&#8217;s expected launch in South Africa<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ranmore Fund Management founder Sean Peche says it is better to keep cash away from the Naspers and Prosus management team with the amount of shareholder value they are destroying.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341108,"featured_media":457459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[23751,35,3220,1643,59639,995],"class_list":["post-457445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-bob-van-dijk","tag-headline","tag-media24","tag-naspers","tag-prosus","tag-takealot"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/457445"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=457445"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/457445\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":457463,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/457445\/revisions\/457463"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/457459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=457445"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=457445"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=457445"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}