{"id":466965,"date":"2022-11-01T11:06:03","date_gmt":"2022-11-01T09:06:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/?p=466965"},"modified":"2022-11-01T11:09:53","modified_gmt":"2022-11-01T09:09:53","slug":"cell-c-fact-check","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/investing\/466965-cell-c-fact-check.html","title":{"rendered":"Cell C fact-check"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Blue Label Telecoms co-CEO Brett Levy said they are upbeat about Cell C\u2019s prospects because it has five excellent assets.<\/p>\n<p>These assets are Cell C\u2019s brand, spectrum, assessed losses, the prepaid engine, and the mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) market.<\/p>\n<p>Levy told analysts there is a place for Cell C in South Africa, and they now have a better understanding of its place than before.<\/p>\n<p>It followed a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/telecoms\/461452-blue-label-closes-deal-to-try-and-save-cell-c.html\">lengthy recapitalisation process<\/a><\/strong> to lower Cell C\u2019s debt, deleverage its balance sheet, and give it enough liquidity to operate.<\/p>\n<p>Levy said they started the recapitalisation process in August 2019, which was finally completed in October 2022.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe process is now complete, and the money has been paid over. It now gives us an opportunity to move on as Cell C and build the company we believe it can be,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Levy said they are looking forward to the next 24 months and executing their plans for the mobile operator.<\/p>\n<p>As part of its strategy, Cell C will focus on capturing market share in areas where it did not operate before.<\/p>\n<p>It will also enter the fintech market with a novel approach and its own platform. Levy said they would release details about this plan at a later stage.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\"><strong>Cell C brand<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Levy told analysts Cell C had spent hundreds of billions of rands on its brand, adding that it has a very strong brand in the market.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Levy\u2019s estimate of how much Cell C spent building its brand is highly inflated, and it can be assumed that he messed up the numbers.<\/p>\n<p>It is true that Cell C has a strong challenger brand in the South African mobile market and is seen as an alternative to Vodacom and MTN, along with Telkom.<\/p>\n<p>However, Cell C\u2019s brand is also associated with poor service levels and a network which falls short of its competitors.<\/p>\n<p>Research by Analytico showed that only 3% of people said they would pick Cell C for a new fixed LTE or 5G service.<\/p>\n<p>It shows that Cell C\u2019s financial and operational challenges have filtered down to consumers in terms of brand awareness.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Analytico-operator-brand-strength-2022.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-466973\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Analytico-operator-brand-strength-2022.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1076\" height=\"365\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Analytico-operator-brand-strength-2022.jpg 1076w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Analytico-operator-brand-strength-2022-600x204.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Analytico-operator-brand-strength-2022-800x271.jpg 800w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Analytico-operator-brand-strength-2022-768x261.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1076px) 100vw, 1076px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\"><strong>Spectrum<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Levy said Cell C has valuable spectrum assets which can be quantified following the recent spectrum auction. He added that what they are doing with their spectrum makes it a great asset.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>He is correct. Cell C\u2019s 94 MHz of mobile spectrum is worth billions and is an underestimated asset not shown in the company\u2019s balance sheet.<\/p>\n<p>The Communications Minister\u2019s recent draft spectrum policy proposed legalising spectrum trading, which will play into Cell C\u2019s hands.<\/p>\n<p>Analysys Mason valued Cell C\u2019s spectrum at R10 billion. It looks high, but it indicates the value of spectrum.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Spectrum-holdings-post-auction-Vodacom-MTN-Cell-C-Telkom-Rain.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-466975\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Spectrum-holdings-post-auction-Vodacom-MTN-Cell-C-Telkom-Rain.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"850\" height=\"735\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Spectrum-holdings-post-auction-Vodacom-MTN-Cell-C-Telkom-Rain.jpg 850w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Spectrum-holdings-post-auction-Vodacom-MTN-Cell-C-Telkom-Rain-463x400.jpg 463w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Spectrum-holdings-post-auction-Vodacom-MTN-Cell-C-Telkom-Rain-616x533.jpg 616w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Spectrum-holdings-post-auction-Vodacom-MTN-Cell-C-Telkom-Rain-768x664.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\"><strong>Assessed loss<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Levy said Cell C has an assessed loss of R8 billion. Therefore, the mobile operator only has to pay tax on 20% of its taxable income in years to come, which has great value to Cell C and Blue Label.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Levy is correct. Cell C\u2019s assessed losses translate to an unrecognised deferred tax asset of around R8 billion.<\/p>\n<p>This asset will likely be recognised in stages as Cell C starts to generate profits. It can be carried forward indefinitely and will add to Cell C\u2019s bottom line if it makes profits.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\"><strong>The prepaid engine<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Levy said Cell C now has 4G and 5G coverage in areas where it did not have any coverage before. He added that Cell C could gain market share in these areas and increase the ARPU of users.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It is inaccurate. Cell C CTO Schalk Visser confirmed that <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/5g\/448270-cell-c-customers-could-get-5g-soon.html\">Cell C does not have 5G coverage<\/a><\/strong>, which puts it at a disadvantage against Vodacom, MTN, Rain, and Telkom, which all have 5G networks.<\/p>\n<p>He is correct that Cell C\u2019s roaming and network deals with MTN and Vodacom provide it with wider 4G coverage and, in turn, a larger addressable market.<\/p>\n<p>So, while Cell C does not have a 5G network, its improved 4G coverage gives it the opportunity to grow its subscriber base with attractive products.<\/p>\n<p>Cell C has a challenge with a shrinking contract and broadband base, and many of its prepaid customers are not loyal and jump between many networks.<\/p>\n<p>However, a group of South Africans prefer to support an underdog \u2014 instead of Vodacom and MTN \u2014 which is where Cell C is strong.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\"><strong>MVNO market<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Levy said there is a place for MVNOs in South Africa, which is a great product for Cell C. They have a great system with good margins.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Levy is correct. The growth potential for Cell C in the MVNO market is substantial, and it has recently <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/cellular\/462222-capitec-connect-vs-afrihost-air-mobile-a-strong-challenger-with-data-that-doesnt-expire.html\">signed up Capitec<\/a><\/strong> as an MVNO partner.<\/p>\n<p>Cell C already hosts over 20 MVNOs, through which it serves 2.1 million subscribers. Its clients include large banks, retailers like Shoprite and Mr Price, and other big brands.<\/p>\n<p>It has a big advantage over competitors like Vodacom and MTN in the MVNO market because of its experience and platform.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>This article was first published by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/dailyinvestor.com\/telecommunications\/4829\/cell-cs-5-biggest-assets-and-what-the-facts-say\/\">Daily Investor<\/a><\/strong> and is republished with permission.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\">Now read:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/cellular\/466091-cell-c-announces-price-hikes.html\">Cell C announces price hikes<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Daily Investor fact-checked Blue Label Telecoms co-CEO Brett Levy&#8217;s statements about Cell C&#8217;s five key assets \u2014\u00a0its brand, spectrum, assessed losses, the prepaid engine, and advantage in the mobile virtual network operator market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341108,"featured_media":466591,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"idle","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"","_sma_facebook_post_id":"","_sma_instagram_post_id":"","_sma_threads_post_id":"","_sma_x_attempts":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[80335],"tags":[64917,355,35,20557,70359],"class_list":["post-466965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-analytico","tag-cell-c","tag-headline","tag-mobile-virtual-network-operator-mvno","tag-schalk-visser"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/466965"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=466965"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/466965\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":466977,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/466965\/revisions\/466977"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/466591"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=466965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=466965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=466965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}