{"id":487807,"date":"2023-04-15T06:59:38","date_gmt":"2023-04-15T04:59:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/?p=487807"},"modified":"2023-04-15T14:03:19","modified_gmt":"2023-04-15T12:03:19","slug":"big-lie-about-eskom-power-station-breakdowns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/investing\/487807-big-lie-about-eskom-power-station-breakdowns.html","title":{"rendered":"Big lie about Eskom power station breakdowns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Eskom\u2019s latest energy availability factor (EAF) data reveals that mismanagement, corruption, poor maintenance, and sabotage caused most breakdowns, not the ageing power fleet.<\/p>\n<p>For many years, Eskom has been telling South Africans that its ageing coal-fired power station fleet is the main reason for the high breakdown levels and load-shedding.<\/p>\n<p>However, an analysis of Eskom\u2019s latest EAF of its power plants reveals that breakdowns do not correspond with age.<\/p>\n<p>The EAF shows the percentage of time the power station was available for use when it was needed. It is a core measure of performance.<\/p>\n<p>Over the last six years, Eskom\u2019s EAF plummeted from around 80% to below 55%, which is the main cause of load-shedding.<\/p>\n<p>Although a power station\u2019s EAF is expected to decline with age, it is nowhere as drastic as what was seen at Eskom since 2017.<\/p>\n<p>Eskom\u2019s latest EAF date, shared by electricity minister Dr Kgosientso Ramokgopa, shows that age is not a big factor in breakdowns and poor performance.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Three of the newest power stations \u2014 Kusile (37%), Majuba (48%), and Kendal (47%) \u2014 have some of the worst EAF of all plants in Eskom\u2019s fleet.<\/li>\n<li>Eskom\u2019s oldest power stations \u2014 Camden (70%) and Grootvlei (90%) \u2014 have some of the best EAF of all plants in Eskom\u2019s fleet.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The EAF data further showed that Tutuka (26%), rife with corruption and mismanagement, has a much worse EAF than other power stations of the same age, like Lethabo (74%) and Matimba (75%).<\/p>\n<p>It clearly illustrates that age is not significant in EAF but rather how well the power station is managed.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, Eskom and other stakeholders should stop using the convenient excuse of old power plants for poor performance.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, they should focus on improving performance through better management, rooting out corruption, and stopping sabotage.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows the EAF of Eskom\u2019s coal-fired power plants, ordered from newest to oldest. It reveals no strong correlation between age and performance.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Eskom-power-station-average-EAF-and-age.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-487809\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Eskom-power-station-average-EAF-and-age.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1148\" height=\"688\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Eskom-power-station-average-EAF-and-age.jpg 1148w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Eskom-power-station-average-EAF-and-age-600x360.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Eskom-power-station-average-EAF-and-age-800x479.jpg 800w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Eskom-power-station-average-EAF-and-age-768x460.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1148px) 100vw, 1148px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>South Africa versus United States<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Another analysis by Daily Investor also showed that the age of a power station does not automatically result in higher breakdown rates and a lower EAF.<\/p>\n<p>We compared the performance of Eskom\u2019s Tutuka and Duvha power stations with two US-based coal power stations \u2013 Wansley and Scherer. These power stations are roughly the same age.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Duvah power station was first commissioned in 1980, with the final unit completed in 1984.<\/li>\n<li>The Wansley power plant in Georgia was first commissioned in 1976.<\/li>\n<li>Tutuka was first commissioned in 1985, with the final unit going online in 1990.<\/li>\n<li>The Scherer power plant was commissioned in 1982 and is of a similar age to Tutuka.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If Eskom\u2019s claim of ageing infrastructure causing a significant deterioration in performance is true, the US and South African power stations should show similar trends.<\/p>\n<p>A significant difference in performance points to other factors, like poor maintenance, mismanagement, and a lack of skills.<\/p>\n<p>From 2009 to 2021, Eskom\u2019s Tutuka and Duvha had an average EAF of 64% and 56%, respectively. It means that since 2009 they were only available for 64% and 56% of the time they were needed.<\/p>\n<p>In 2021, Tutuka and Duvha had average EAFs of 37% and 44%, respectively. It is expected to have been worse in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Wansley and Scherer, in comparison, had an average EAF of 90% and 89%, respectively, over the same period. They were, therefore, available for 90% and 89% of the time they were needed.<\/p>\n<p>An interesting observation is that Scherer and Wansley had an upward trend in their EAF figures as time progressed.<\/p>\n<p>The large differential suggests that ageing infrastructure can still be reliable. With regular maintenance and using the latest technology, their performance can even improve.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows the performance over time of the two power stations in the United States compared with Eskom\u2019s Tutuka and Duvha.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Power-station-performance-of-old-plants-in-US-vs-SA.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-474539\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Power-station-performance-of-old-plants-in-US-vs-SA.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1083\" height=\"659\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Power-station-performance-of-old-plants-in-US-vs-SA.jpg 1083w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Power-station-performance-of-old-plants-in-US-vs-SA-600x365.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Power-station-performance-of-old-plants-in-US-vs-SA-800x487.jpg 800w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Power-station-performance-of-old-plants-in-US-vs-SA-768x467.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1083px) 100vw, 1083px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>This article was first published by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/dailyinvestor.com\/south-africa\/14194\/eskoms-coal-fired-power-station-breakdown-lie\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daily Investor<\/a><\/strong> and is republished with permission.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Now read:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/energy\/487687-eskom-appoints-head-of-generation-effective-immediately.html\">Eskom appoints head of generation, effective immediately<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For many years, Eskom has been telling South Africans that its ageing coal-fired power station fleet is the main reason for the high breakdown levels and load-shedding.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341108,"featured_media":484769,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80335],"tags":[74166,181,35,51867],"class_list":["post-487807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-energy-availability-factor-eaf","tag-eskom","tag-headline","tag-loadshedding"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487807"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=487807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487807\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/484769"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=487807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=487807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=487807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}