{"id":513945,"date":"2023-11-06T07:53:28","date_gmt":"2023-11-06T05:53:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/?p=513945"},"modified":"2023-11-06T08:06:07","modified_gmt":"2023-11-06T06:06:07","slug":"bitcoin-bounceback-not-convincing-former-day-traders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/cryptocurrency\/513945-bitcoin-bounceback-not-convincing-former-day-traders.html","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin bounceback not convincing former day traders"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Between 2013 and 2017, Peter To claims he made more than $1 million by day-trading Bitcoin during its bull runs.<\/p>\n<p>While the world\u2019s largest cryptocurrency has rallied in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-10-31\/bitcoin-s-btc-etf-momentum-is-spurring-the-biggest-monthly-gains-since-january\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>recent weeks<\/strong>,<\/a>\u00a0more than doubling from levels after last year\u2019s epic collapse that helped blow up the FTX exchange, the 34-year-old professional stock trader in New York says it\u2019s not enough for him to go back.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin is not as\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-08-15\/bitcoin-btc-extreme-volatility-vanishes-amid-extreme-apathy-and-exhaustion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volatile<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0or as driven as it was,\u201d To said. \u201cFor traders like me who are hunting for inefficiencies in the market, it\u2019s not as interesting. The allure is kind of gone.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As FTX co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried waits to find out how long he\u2019ll spend in prison following his conviction Thursday on fraud charges,\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-11-03\/bankman-fried-guilty-verdict-stirs-hope-condemnation-for-crypto\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">many in the industry<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0believe closure on that ugly episode will mark the end of the industry\u2019s immature, chaotic phase and usher in a more mature era of mainstream acceptance.<\/p>\n<p>Yet that could also mean the market will never again provide the type of spectacular growth and once-in-a-lifetime trading opportunities seen in earlier years.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin generated sparks last week when it climbed above $35,000.<\/p>\n<p>While that\u2019s still far below its all-time high of almost $69,000 in 2021, the market was pumped on optimism that the first exchange-traded fund holding Bitcoin will be approved, with BlackRock Inc. filing an application for one in June.<\/p>\n<p>More positive news came as a judge in August overturned a decision to block the conversion of a Bitcoin trust from Grayscale Investments LLC into an ETF.<\/p>\n<p>Retail investors retreated when the industry was rocked a year ago by the collapse of FTX.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin sank below $16,000 and traders\u2019 returns fell about 40% for 2022, according to JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. Crypto isn\u2019t the only market to see a retreat by day traders.<\/p>\n<p>The share of retail investors in US equity market volumes plunged 40% at the end of last year from the beginning of 2021, according to the bank, while stocks once buoyed by the retail crowd vastly underperformed the market.<\/p>\n<p>The situation is looking a little rosier now, even as the broader market has pulled back, with the S&amp;P 500 down about 5% since the end of July.<\/p>\n<p>Retail crypto trading volume as a percentage of total volume in the US on the Bitstamp exchange has increased to 35% from 33% between the first half and the ongoing second half, while globally it\u2019s risen to 9% from 8%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe retail marketplace in a bear environment is generally quite sleepy,\u201d Bitstamp USA Chief Executive Officer Bobby Zagotta said. \u201cI feel like we are seeing some improvement here.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Still, many crypto day traders have moved on.<\/p>\n<p>Craig Murray, who estimates he made almost $200,000 in the market, says he escaped losing everything to FTX by a hair after friends in the industry heard whispers about its imminent collapse.<\/p>\n<p>By that point, the 23-year-old \u2014 who lives in New York and recently dropped out of Vanderbilt University \u2014 had made up his mind.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\">\u2018Over the Edge\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cThat kind of put me over the edge,\u201d Murray said. \u201cI just decided it wasn\u2019t worth it. Why would I have my money in this space when there\u2019s a chance that one day it could just all go away?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another sign that retail investing in crypto isn\u2019t returning to previous levels can be seen in weekday versus weekend volumes, with the presumption that the typical person trading on a weekend is a day trader.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not unusual nowadays to see weekday trading volume average 50% higher values than weekend trading volume, whereas in the past this ratio was almost 1:1,\u201d said Fredrick Collins, chief executive and founder of crypto data platform Velo Data.<\/p>\n<p>Tim van den Berg traded everything from Bitcoin to Dogecoin between 2016 and 2019 while he was in college in the Netherlands, using Dutch trading platform Plus500. Over that period he lost about $12,000.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI was constantly losing so much money,\u201d he said. \u201cI had to save up, find a better job, and worry about my studies.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Van den Berg, 24, says he understands the market better now and is making money from trading futures, but digital assets no longer interest him.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCrypto is so manipulated now,\u201d he said. \u201cIt started out as a thing that would beat the banking system, but now it\u2019s just for the rich to move a lot of money. When the US market closes, crypto basically doesn\u2019t move at all.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\">\u2018Different Game<\/h2>\n<p>To, the stock trader, agrees. He said that back in the day, he used to make his largest crypto profits around 2 a.m.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere would be these 20-30% dips when everybody in New York was sleeping,\u201d To said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn the early days, you would hunt for these glitches to make money. Now, if crypto goes up, you make money, and if it goes down, you lose. It\u2019s more directional, which is a different game.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>While Murray no longer trades crypto as much as he once did, he holds some money on exchanges, and sometimes teaches newcomers how to trade digital assets.<\/p>\n<p>Still, he doesn\u2019t think it\u2019s a good idea for most people.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA lot of people go into crypto thinking it\u2019s going to be easy money because of the millions of people who made money in nonfungible tokens and other coins,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThen they take bigger risks than they intended and kind of just break their accounts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-513947\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Bitcoin-surge_Bloomberg-graph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"814\" height=\"457\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Bitcoin-surge_Bloomberg-graph.jpg 814w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Bitcoin-surge_Bloomberg-graph-600x337.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Bitcoin-surge_Bloomberg-graph-800x449.jpg 800w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Bitcoin-surge_Bloomberg-graph-768x431.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 814px) 100vw, 814px\" \/><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\">Now read: <a href=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/cryptocurrency\/513623-sam-bankman-fried-guilty-of-fraud.html\" rel=\"bookmark\">Sam Bankman-Fried guilty of fraud \u2014 faces over 100-year prison sentence<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s reduced volatility has made it less attractive for traders hunting for inefficiencies in the market. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341034,"featured_media":480467,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"idle","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"","_sma_facebook_post_id":"","_sma_instagram_post_id":"","_sma_threads_post_id":"","_sma_x_attempts":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44696],"tags":[187,17960,191,90569,67814,76264,79848,47510],"class_list":["post-513945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency","tag-bitcoin","tag-blackrock","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-day-traders","tag-exchange-traded-funds-etfs","tag-ftx","tag-sam-bankman-fried","tag-volatility"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/513945"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341034"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=513945"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/513945\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/480467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=513945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=513945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=513945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}