{"id":668770,"date":"2026-09-28T09:30:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:30:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/?p=668770"},"modified":"2026-09-28T09:30:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:30:28","slug":"cell-c-has-a-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/business-telecoms\/668770-cell-c-has-a-problem.html","title":{"rendered":"Cell C has a problem"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Cell C&#8217;s financial results for the year ended 31 May 2026 revealed that the average revenue per new user is much lower than that of its existing customer base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This, in turn, will put pressure on the company&#8217;s margins, which it previously said it wanted to avoid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Friday, 21 August 2026, Cell C published its first full reporting period following the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listing in November 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first thing it mentioned was that it added 1.3 million subscribers year-on-year, which reversed the trend of declining subscribers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cell C added that it had grown wholesale service revenue by 20% and materially strengthened its balance sheet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Group revenue was R12.641 billion and service revenue R11.641 billion. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) were R5.509 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this included one-off gains arising from the restructuring transaction. Excluding those items, adjusted EBITDA was R2.381 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cell C said that the latest reporting period was defined by three structural achievements:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The November 2025 JSE listing and the balance sheet restructure that followed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Independent recognition of network quality.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The completion of the CEC acquisition and integration, restoring full ownership and control of the postpaid base.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The turnaround delivered what it promised. We have built network credibility and rebuilt and grown the customer base,&#8221; Cell C CEO Jorge Mendes said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We have entrenched ourselves as South Africa&#8217;s leading wholesale platform and earned back customer trust.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cell-C-header-1200x675.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-663839\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cell-C-header-1200x675.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cell-C-header-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cell-C-header-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cell-C-header-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cell-C-header.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking at Cell C&#8217;s subscriber growth<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In its results presentation, Cell C highlighted that its subscriber base increased by 19% to 8.884 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This excludes 5.713 million Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) subscribers recorded on the Home Location Register (HLR).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At first sight, this looks positive. However, delving into the 1.3 million new subscribers reveals a concerning trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Basically, all of the growth came from Cell C&#8217;s prepaid segment, where subscriber numbers increased from 6.774 million to 8.068 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, the average revenue per user declined from R78.00 in the 2025 financial year to R71.20 in the 2026 financial year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That means that the average revenue per user of the 1.294 million new prepaid subscribers was R35.61.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Simply put, Cell C&#8217;s new prepaid subscribers spend 54% less than its existing subscribers. This is a problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Declining ARPU is a red flag for mobile network operators. When revenue per user shrinks, fixed costs consume a larger share of gross revenue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A lower ARPU also reduces customer lifetime value. If the customer acquisition cost remains stable or rises, the unit economics deteriorate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is why financial markets view ARPU as a primary gauge of pricing power and customer monetisation. Sustained ARPU degradation leads to credit rating downgrades and lower equity valuations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1391\" height=\"836\" src=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1-1200x721.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-668772\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1-1200x721.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1-600x361.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1-768x462.jpg 768w, https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1.jpg 1391w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1391px) 100vw, 1391px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cell C tried to avoid this situation in the past<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest data is in stark contrast to Cell C&#8217;s strategy to shed low-end, low-ARPU customers as part of its turnaround plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2023, Cell C said that reducing its low-ARPU subscribers was a core pillar of its operational turnaround and financial restructuring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the time, Cell C&#8217;s customer base declined by 4.5 million customers in a year and three months, which it said it was happy with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cell C explained that it deliberately focused on shedding low-value customers and retaining its more profitable customer base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As part of its turnaround strategy, Cell C said it wanted to rationalise its subscriber base, retain profitable customers, and increase its average revenue per user.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Former CEO Douglas Craigie Stevenson and new CEO Jorge Mendes said that Cell C was prioritising value over volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They said that losing market share in raw subscriber numbers to competitors like Telkom, Vodacom, and MTN may look alarming on paper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, they explained that it was necessary to stabilise earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) and eliminate bad debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This strategy seems to have been discarded, as Cell C has signed up 1.3 million new customers whose ARPU is 54% lower than that of its existing customers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cell C\u2019s financial results for the year ended 31 May 2026 revealed a concerning trend in the mobile operator\u2019s new customers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":660484,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"posted","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"2104473946078822463","_sma_facebook_post_id":"120850204637381_1513391007479544","_sma_instagram_post_id":"18041054945834317","_sma_threads_post_id":"18010965296977597","_sma_x_attempts":1,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41906],"tags":[355,46291,35885,58256,42,109,41],"class_list":["post-668770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-telecoms","tag-cell-c","tag-douglas-craigie-stevenson","tag-ebitda","tag-jorge-mendes","tag-mtn","tag-telkom","tag-vodacom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668770"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=668770"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668770\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":669065,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668770\/revisions\/669065"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/660484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=668770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=668770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=668770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}