{"id":87439,"date":"2013-09-24T12:15:01","date_gmt":"2013-09-24T10:15:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/?p=87439"},"modified":"2013-09-25T08:36:20","modified_gmt":"2013-09-25T06:36:20","slug":"can-blackberry-be-saved","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/columns\/87439-can-blackberry-be-saved.html","title":{"rendered":"Can BlackBerry be saved?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There are few arenas more brutal and merciless than the cellphone\u00a0market. In just five years <a title=\"Blackberry\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/342709-BlackBerry\">Blackberry<\/a> has gone from the world&#8217;s leading smartphone brand to a company teetering on the edge of collapse.<\/p>\n<p>The fact that Blackberry is struggling is common knowledge, but the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/09\/21\/technology\/blackberry-plans-to-cut-4500-jobs.html?pagewanted=all\">company&#8217;s announcement<\/a>\u00a0on Friday was still shocking. It has declared a loss of $1-billion for the last quarter, mainly because of a build-up of unsold phones. Analysts had expected the company to generate $3-billion in revenue, but it managed just $1.6-billion.<\/p>\n<p>In response Blackberry is cutting 40% of its workforce, and discontinuing two of its six handsets. It has been forced to buy back supplier contracts so that they will stop manufacturing more unwanted phones. <a title=\"Mike Lazaridis\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/359852-Mike-Lazaridis\">Mike Lazaridis<\/a>, one of the company&#8217;s founders and former chief executive, is said to be courting private equity firms, hoping to rescue the company through a buyout.<\/p>\n<p>In retrospect we might have seen this coming. In late August reports began filtering out of the market that demand for Blackberry&#8217;s <a title=\"Q10\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/501782-BlackBerry-Q10\">Q10<\/a> Keyboard phone was\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article_email\/SB10001424127887324324404579041190813417918-lMyQjAxMTAzMDIwODEyNDgyWj.html\">nearly nonexistent<\/a>. Vendors were returning even the meager stocks they ordered unsold.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Die-hards moved on<\/h3>\n<p>The chief marketing\u00a0officer of Networth, a dealer in second-hand phones, said &#8220;We thought there would be a pocket of die-hard BlackBerry enthusiasts waiting to upgrade, but it seems they have already moved on.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>You might blame this on Blackberry&#8217;s foolish decision to launch its touchscreen <a title=\"Z10\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/501772-BlackBerry-Z10\">Z10<\/a> phone six months before the Q10. Given that a physical keyboard is one of the most important features to the Blackberry faithful, you&#8217;d have a point. But the company&#8217;s fate was sealed well before that blunder.<\/p>\n<p>In October 2011 Blackberry announced that it was working on a unified operating system for both its tablets (remember the PlayBook?) and its phones. Sixteen months later the first <a title=\"BB10\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/501762-BlackBerry-10\">BB10<\/a>-powered phone finally reached consumers and, from what sales figures tell us, they were underwhelmed.<\/p>\n<p>During those 16\u00a0months <a title=\"Apple\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/342717-Apple-Inc\">Apple<\/a> and <a title=\"Samsung\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/333656-Samsung\">Samsung<\/a> shipped more than 100-million cellphones. Both <a title=\"iOS\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/464665-iOS\">iOS<\/a> (Apple&#8217;s operating system) and <a title=\"Android\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/221979-Google-Android\">Android<\/a> enjoyed two major upgrades. While its competitors were sprinting Blackberry was fiddling around with features that both of them had already perfected.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Warned<\/h3>\n<p>The particularly frustrating thing is that Blackberry&#8217;s executives were warned, more than once, that their strategy was a bad idea. In mid-2012 Robin Chan, an angel investor and entrepreneur, sketched out a bold rescue plan: ditch BB10, adopt Android, and focus on the business market. But his\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theverge.com\/2013\/8\/13\/4617930\/message-unread-silicon-valleys-secret-failed-bid-to-save-blackberry\">attempted corporate coup d&#8217;etat<\/a>\u00a0failed when he couldn&#8217;t get together the $6-billion needed to force the company into action.<\/p>\n<p>Blackberry is not the only company to fall into the &#8220;we must build and own everything&#8221; trap. <a title=\"Nokia\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/314603-Nokia-Corporation\">Nokia<\/a> wasted years on Maemo and Meego, trying to accomplish what Android had already perfected. By the time it switched to Windows \u2013 a move which cost yet more time \u2013 Nokia was already in a downward spiral from which it has never recovered.<\/p>\n<p>Many analysts believe that Friday&#8217;s announcement means Blackberry is effectively out of the smartphone market already. The fact that the company had to spend $500-million of its $3-billion cash pile just to stay afloat in the last quarter is a sign of how dire the situation is.<\/p>\n<p>The smartphone business has enormously high input costs \u2013 particularly in marketing and research and development. Without sales in the double-digit millions that cost base quickly becomes unsustainable.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not clear whether going private will even help Blackberry survive. Unlike Dell, which may benefit from the privacy, Blackberry&#8217;s main problem is not its exposure to a fickle stock market but a fundamental lack of demand for its products.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Bet<\/h3>\n<p>Four months ago I bet that Microsoft would become the third player in the cellphone\u00a0market. It seems I was right, if only by default. Now that it has bought (or, more accurately, bailed out) Nokia,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/mg.co.za\/article\/2013-05-20-00-blackberry-vs-microsoft-the-desperate-struggle-for-third-place\">Microsoft is likely to consolidate its position<\/a>\u00a0and win a respectable chunk of the market. It may only break into double-digit market share after another five years, but the giant of Redmond has deep pockets and a great deal of patience.<\/p>\n<p>As for Blackberry, the company may live on as a services business. Its BlackBerry Messenger (<a title=\"BBM\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/378544-BBM-Blackberry-messenger\">BBM<\/a>) is extremely popular and is now being opened up to customers on Android and iOS devices. This may only hasten the flight away from Blackerry&#8217;s own handsets,\u00a0but at least the company will have some kind of foothold in the market.<\/p>\n<p>But spare a thought for the millions of ardent Blackberry fans, many of them here in South Africa, who will have to look elsewhere for well made-phones with physical keyboards. Unfortunately their gladiator just wasn&#8217;t quick or mean enough to survive the arena.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a title=\"MG Online\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mg.co.za\" target=\"_blank\">Mail &amp; Guardian<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">More on BlackBerry<\/h3>\n<p><a title=\"BlackBerry to cut 4,500 jobs\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/cellular\/87348-blackberry-to-cut-4500-jobs.html\"><strong>BlackBerry to cut 4,500 jobs<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"BlackBerry Messenger for Android, iOS announced\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/software\/77838-blackberry-messenger-for-android-ios-announced.html\"><strong>BlackBerry Messenger for Android, iOS announced<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"BBM coming to iPhone, Android: too late?\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/columns\/77876-bbm-coming-to-iphone-android-too-late.html\"><strong>BBM coming to iPhone, Android: too late?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ill-conceived decisions by Blackberry&#8217;s chief executives have plunged the cellphone company into dire straits, but can anything be done to save it?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":65,"featured_media":84141,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"idle","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"","_sma_facebook_post_id":"","_sma_instagram_post_id":"","_sma_threads_post_id":"","_sma_x_attempts":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[605,101,97,35,21553,645],"class_list":["post-87439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-columns","tag-apple","tag-bbm","tag-blackberry","tag-headline","tag-networth","tag-samsung"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87439"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/65"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87439"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87439\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87503,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87439\/revisions\/87503"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}