Russo-Ukrainian War - 2022 Edition - Part 7

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Rumour is that Ukraine are building up about a force of about 20 000 to invade Transnistria to get to that massive ammunition warehouse. This could be a major escalation since there are about 5 000 Ruskies there with a reserve of 20 000. Heard that Russia is busy re-enforcing and Crimea has been put on heightened alert.

If this happens then it will be interesting to see how the international community handles it because it would mean that Ukraine becomes the aggressor since Transnistria has stayed out of the conflict till this point.

Now I suppose that will prompt all the usual circle jerk buddies who will try and lecture everybody on the history of Transnistria/Moldova/Romania and how it is a legitimate target, blah, blah, blah.
Rumour has it...
Blah blah, blah


Rumour also has it that an incontinent poison dwarf from the kremlin schat in his pants when falling down stairs
 
Rumour is that Ukraine are building up about a force of about 20 000 to invade Transnistria to get to that massive ammunition warehouse. This could be a major escalation since there are about 5 000 Ruskies there with a reserve of 20 000. Heard that Russia is busy re-enforcing and Crimea has been put on heightened alert.
Question: How did Russia build up "masive" ammunition warehouse in a foreign country they're not friendly with?
If this happens then it will be interesting to see how the international community handles it because it would mean that Ukraine becomes the aggressor since Transnistria has stayed out of the conflict till this point.
Transnistria is not a country. It's a territory of Moldova.
Now I suppose that will prompt all the usual circle jerk buddies who will try and lecture everybody on the history of Transnistria/Moldova/Romania and how it is a legitimate target, blah, blah, blah.
Blah blah blah...
 
Rumour is that Ukraine are building up about a force of about 20 000 to invade Transnistria to get to that massive ammunition warehouse. This could be a major escalation since there are about 5 000 Ruskies there with a reserve of 20 000. Heard that Russia is busy re-enforcing and Crimea has been put on heightened alert.

If this happens then it will be interesting to see how the international community handles it because it would mean that Ukraine becomes the aggressor since Transnistria has stayed out of the conflict till this point.

Now I suppose that will prompt all the usual circle jerk buddies who will try and lecture everybody on the history of Transnistria/Moldova/Romania and how it is a legitimate target, blah, blah, blah.

You do know that Transnistria is not a country, but a part of Moldova? And Moldova is free to invite Ukrainian forces if they wish to, to help them get rid of invaders.

Moldova want's to join the west and NATO, so they will have to sort out their occupied territories sooner or later.
 
You do know that Transnistria is not a country, but a part of Moldova? And Moldova is free to invite Ukrainian forces if they wish to, to help them get rid of invaders.

Moldova want's to join the west and NATO, so they will have to sort out their occupied territories sooner or later.

This exactly, Moldova would have every right if they tried to reclaim their territory from orc imperial fascists.
 

The US believes the training and equipment it is providing Ukraine will “change the dynamics on the battlefield” in the war against Russia and allow Kyiv’s forces to “breach Russian defenses,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said in an interview with CNN’s Kaitlan Collins for “CNN This Morning” on Thursday.

“We’re training and equipping several brigades of mechanized infantry — that’s a pretty substantial capability,” Austin said. “In addition to that, additional artillery, and so they’ll have the ability to breach Russian defenses and maneuver, and I think that will create a different dynamic.”

Reading between the lines, more equipment will follow from the US and allies between now and Ukraines expected spring offensive.
 

Medvedev says Russia ready to go up to Polish border in Ukraine victory​

Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has said his country would be victorious in its Ukraine offensive and is ready to fight until the Polish border to counter “threats”.
“Victory will be achieved,” Medvedev said on Telegram, “This is why it is so important to reach all the goals of the special military operation. To push back the borders of the threats against our country as far as possible, even if this is to the borders of Poland.”
 
One year ago, today - my favourite tweet from the Russian propagandist "Russians With Attitude". Clearly they had been given the memo that the war would end in 3-days, as it relied on the Ukrainian Army doing this.

1677231576536.png
 

Bakhmut & Avdiivka

Russia is still attempting to cut supply lines to Bakhmut. Yet, there are reports of Russian forces losing ground near the Konstantinovka-Bakhmut road. Moreover, Russian sources complained about losing ground to the Ukrainian counteroffensive actions near Avdiivka.

Vuhledar

No substantial changes near Vuhledar.

Kherson

Artillery does continue across the Dnipro River, with Ukraine hitting and Russia shelling Ukrainian cities indiscriminately. Russian artillery hit the residential areas of Kherson, killing 6 people on a bus stop.



⚡Biden’s visit to Kyiv

Biden’s visit to Kyiv and the following address in Warsaw is symbolic, signalling that the West has a unified position on Ukraine. The support of Ukraine is rock-solid and will continue, with the West helping Ukraine as long as needed for Ukrainian victory.

The Russian populace and elites should understand that it’s Putin who is an aggressor and who wants to continue this war. If he is removed, the war will end, and Russia can have a better future.

⚡️ ️Putin’s aimless speech

Putin has made a pointless address to the Federal Assembly in Moscow, attempting to respond to Biden’s visit to Ukraine and to the anniversary of the war on Ukraine. The speech was devoid of all substance, unable to even promise any economic, military, developmental, and cultural prospects. The Putin’s hysteria about gay marriage in Europe do not motivate Russian soldiers to die at the frontline. The Russian elites at the speech were also not impressed, with many openly sleeping through the address, signalling the loss of respect and fear for Putin.

Arestovych speculates that this may be Putin’s last address to the Russian Federal Assembly.

⚡McConnell & GOP

The leader of GOP, Mitch McConnell, acknowledged that the supply of long-range weapons (ATACMS) and aviation (F16) is the next logical step, showing the absolute consensus and determination of the West to help Ukraine win.

This visit will be followed by the visits of the PMs of Italy and Spain.

The decision of helping Ukraine win and rebuild after the war is the new strategy of the collective West and now is only discussing the logistics.

⚡️ ️Mariupol

The Russian military bases in occupied Mariupol. HIMARS wouldn’t be used too close to the frontline and are out of range (the distance is 120km). Nevertheless, Ukraine was successful, and the Russian sources are speculating that Ukraine received a new type of rocket and used it here.

⚡️ ️Military aid for Ukraine

Ukraine is getting new types of weapons and more of them. Biden stated that the allies had collected 700 tanks and over 1000 APC. This quantity will be enough to counterattack in two directions and to defend in a third one, which is bad news for Russia.

⚡️ ️Ukrainian counteroffensive

There are rumours of the Western allies hurrying up Ukraine to counterattack. In reality, Ukraine is more than eager to liberate its territories. The liberation of the occupied territories depends only on the weapons supplied and the readiness of units that will operate these new weapons. Ukrainian units receiving new Western equipment will be ready in the second half of the Spring.

⚡️ ️Wagner & Prigozhin

Prigozhin was absent during Putin’s address and there was no mention of Wagner in Putin’s speech, showing how Prigozhin is losing political weight & influence.

The Russian General Staff in charge of logistics are probably still supplying Wagner with ammunition at the same rate as the rest of the army. This is a significant drop from what Wagner used to get when it was privileged & prioritised, allowing it to conduct offensive operations. Now, their old strategy is no longer viable.

The Russian army is experiencing supply problems. One clear sign is the lack of proper footwear, with Russian soldiers and Wagner recruits buying their own and taking the winter boots from the dead.

⚡Moldova

The new PM of Moldova has condemned Russia for preparing coup d’état and invasion of Moldova (stating that Russia was preparing an invasion of an airport in Moldova).

Moldova is calling for de-militarization and de-occupation of Transnistria from the Russian forces that are threatening the rest of Moldova, peace and sovereignty of the country. Zelensky has already stated that Ukraine can help Moldova upon a request from the Moldovan government. Ukraine has the resources and capacity to do it and, just like the US and Romania, are willing to support Moldovan sovereignty and defend Moldova from Russian aggression.

⚡️ ️China

A Chinese delegation, headed by Wan Yi, arrived in Moscow to discuss the “Chinese peace plan” with Putin who appears to be subservient to Beijing. While China has not taken the Ukrainian side and has influence over the aggressor (Russia).

China has been already warned by both Blinken and Borrell about the catastrophic consequences of supplying deadly weapons to Russia. China wants the end of war and stable trade with the EU and the US, which is a priority for Beijing. Moreover, Beijing understood that the West has already taken a decision and will help Ukraine.

Therefore, China is probably signalling its readiness to participate in the Western plan to end the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine has already stated the key point of the peace plan and the new security guarantees for Europe. Anything less than the liberation of all Ukrainian territories is unacceptable and will not lead to stable peace, which is a consensus in the West.

⚡Aid to the victims of Russian attack on Kherson

Feygin & Arestovych are collecting money (through their merchandise stores) to help the victims of the Russian artillery attack on a bus stop in Kherson.

⚡Saakashvili

Saakashvili’s health is deteriorating and the way that the Georgian Government treats him will determine Georgia’s prospects of integration in the EU and the civilised world. The Western leaders are appealing to the Georgian Government to respect Saakashvili’s human rights and to provide proper medical care to Misha. #SaveMisha
 

Bakhmut & Avdiivka

Russia is still attempting to cut supply lines to Bakhmut. Yet, there are reports of Russian forces losing ground near the Konstantinovka-Bakhmut road. Moreover, Russian sources complained about losing ground to the Ukrainian counteroffensive actions near Avdiivka.

Vuhledar

No substantial changes near Vuhledar.

Kherson

Artillery does continue across the Dnipro River, with Ukraine hitting and Russia shelling Ukrainian cities indiscriminately. Russian artillery hit the residential areas of Kherson, killing 6 people on a bus stop.



⚡Biden’s visit to Kyiv

Biden’s visit to Kyiv and the following address in Warsaw is symbolic, signalling that the West has a unified position on Ukraine. The support of Ukraine is rock-solid and will continue, with the West helping Ukraine as long as needed for Ukrainian victory.

The Russian populace and elites should understand that it’s Putin who is an aggressor and who wants to continue this war. If he is removed, the war will end, and Russia can have a better future.

⚡️ ️Putin’s aimless speech

Putin has made a pointless address to the Federal Assembly in Moscow, attempting to respond to Biden’s visit to Ukraine and to the anniversary of the war on Ukraine. The speech was devoid of all substance, unable to even promise any economic, military, developmental, and cultural prospects. The Putin’s hysteria about gay marriage in Europe do not motivate Russian soldiers to die at the frontline. The Russian elites at the speech were also not impressed, with many openly sleeping through the address, signalling the loss of respect and fear for Putin.

Arestovych speculates that this may be Putin’s last address to the Russian Federal Assembly.

⚡McConnell & GOP

The leader of GOP, Mitch McConnell, acknowledged that the supply of long-range weapons (ATACMS) and aviation (F16) is the next logical step, showing the absolute consensus and determination of the West to help Ukraine win.

This visit will be followed by the visits of the PMs of Italy and Spain.

The decision of helping Ukraine win and rebuild after the war is the new strategy of the collective West and now is only discussing the logistics.

⚡️ ️Mariupol

The Russian military bases in occupied Mariupol. HIMARS wouldn’t be used too close to the frontline and are out of range (the distance is 120km). Nevertheless, Ukraine was successful, and the Russian sources are speculating that Ukraine received a new type of rocket and used it here.

⚡️ ️Military aid for Ukraine

Ukraine is getting new types of weapons and more of them. Biden stated that the allies had collected 700 tanks and over 1000 APC. This quantity will be enough to counterattack in two directions and to defend in a third one, which is bad news for Russia.

⚡️ ️Ukrainian counteroffensive

There are rumours of the Western allies hurrying up Ukraine to counterattack. In reality, Ukraine is more than eager to liberate its territories. The liberation of the occupied territories depends only on the weapons supplied and the readiness of units that will operate these new weapons. Ukrainian units receiving new Western equipment will be ready in the second half of the Spring.

⚡️ ️Wagner & Prigozhin

Prigozhin was absent during Putin’s address and there was no mention of Wagner in Putin’s speech, showing how Prigozhin is losing political weight & influence.

The Russian General Staff in charge of logistics are probably still supplying Wagner with ammunition at the same rate as the rest of the army. This is a significant drop from what Wagner used to get when it was privileged & prioritised, allowing it to conduct offensive operations. Now, their old strategy is no longer viable.

The Russian army is experiencing supply problems. One clear sign is the lack of proper footwear, with Russian soldiers and Wagner recruits buying their own and taking the winter boots from the dead.

⚡Moldova

The new PM of Moldova has condemned Russia for preparing coup d’état and invasion of Moldova (stating that Russia was preparing an invasion of an airport in Moldova).

Moldova is calling for de-militarization and de-occupation of Transnistria from the Russian forces that are threatening the rest of Moldova, peace and sovereignty of the country. Zelensky has already stated that Ukraine can help Moldova upon a request from the Moldovan government. Ukraine has the resources and capacity to do it and, just like the US and Romania, are willing to support Moldovan sovereignty and defend Moldova from Russian aggression.

⚡️ ️China

A Chinese delegation, headed by Wan Yi, arrived in Moscow to discuss the “Chinese peace plan” with Putin who appears to be subservient to Beijing. While China has not taken the Ukrainian side and has influence over the aggressor (Russia).

China has been already warned by both Blinken and Borrell about the catastrophic consequences of supplying deadly weapons to Russia. China wants the end of war and stable trade with the EU and the US, which is a priority for Beijing. Moreover, Beijing understood that the West has already taken a decision and will help Ukraine.

Therefore, China is probably signalling its readiness to participate in the Western plan to end the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine has already stated the key point of the peace plan and the new security guarantees for Europe. Anything less than the liberation of all Ukrainian territories is unacceptable and will not lead to stable peace, which is a consensus in the West.

⚡Aid to the victims of Russian attack on Kherson

Feygin & Arestovych are collecting money (through their merchandise stores) to help the victims of the Russian artillery attack on a bus stop in Kherson.

⚡Saakashvili

Saakashvili’s health is deteriorating and the way that the Georgian Government treats him will determine Georgia’s prospects of integration in the EU and the civilised world. The Western leaders are appealing to the Georgian Government to respect Saakashvili’s human rights and to provide proper medical care to Misha. #SaveMisha
There is some speculation that the Mariupol attacks are standard HIMARS rockets since they do have the range if deployed close to the front line. If this is the case the Ukrainians aren't worried about counter battery fire.
 
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