Russo-Ukrainian War - 2022 Edition - Part 8

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https://twitter.com/x/status/1640036537436889088

This is pretty well put. This is exactly what is going on. It's over for Russia.

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wartranslated.com

24tv.ua interview: The counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces should be a surprise for the enemy - Mykhailo Podolyak • WarTranslated

Mykhailo Podolyak, the Adviser to the President of Ukraine, on Ukrainian counteroffensive, Bakhmut, China and rebuilding Ukraine after the war.
wartranslated.com wartranslated.com

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Preparation for the counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces​

Interviewer: Politico reported our losses of 100,000 [KIA, MIA & WIA]. Yet, then Politico immediately gives information that Ukraine’s counteroffensive will begin in May. The publication even presents 2 possible scenarios.

Podolyak: I find it a bit ironic when journalists say what counterattack scenarios Ukraine will use. Maybe, they should take a direct part in the work of the General Staff of Ukraine and plan operations then? If they understand so well what exactly where and when to do.

Firstly, newspapers should not discuss the timing of the counter-offensive. It should be a surprise for the enemy. It can only be said that the following months are required to accumulate a certain resource. After all, an offensive requires tools in a certain amount, which must be accumulated. We understand how long this will take logistically.

Secondly, even the military does not need to talk about the priority directions or scenarios of the attack. Ukraine is much more creative than Politico journalists think. We have already proven this many times during the war. In particular, in the Kharkiv region or with what is happening now in general along the frontline, especially in the Donetsk direction.

The main thing is that both the military leadership – in the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defence, and the political leadership, first of all, I am talking about Volodymyr Zelenskyi – have a completely consolidated position that we cannot stop midway. We need counterattacks at a certain point. And this requires a concentration of resources.
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We cannot simply retreat or advance without being prepared for different scenarios and taking into account all the risks. All this is discussed at the Headquarters of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, where collective decisions are made, and all scenarios are openly discussed. The only thing that isn’t there is Politico or any other journalists.

Let’s not get carried away by peer reviews or journalistic publications on these hyped topics. Let’s wait for the development of events. We have no other option but to go on the counterattack at a certain time according to a certain scenario. Otherwise, there will be no statehood of Ukraine.

Stopping somewhere in the middle, as it was in 2014 – when the territories remained under the occupation of Russia – will mean that after some time, Ukraine will not exist as a state. After all, Russia today at various levels, including Vladimir Putin, fixes its position: “Ukraine must be destroyed as a state and a territory where Ukrainians live.”
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Propagandists who have gone over to the side of the enemy

Interviewer: I watched the video of Tatyana Montyan, who says that during this year Donbas is “bombed” more than it has been in 8 years. And Oleg Tsarev suddenly actually admitted that the Maidan was needed. What happens to the propagandists who at one time sold out and went over to the side of the enemy? Have they opened their eyes?

Podolyak: Let’s not call them Ukrainians, it is very important. It’s not that they see, but they simply never knew Ukraine, its heart and soul. They did not know that Ukraine is always resisting to the end, that we will not give up our right to be free.

They did not understand this, because they are slaves in their essence. After all, Russian imperialism is slavery for the domestic market. These people are Russian in essence – not in terms of culture, ethnicity or literature, but from the point of view of understanding that you are a slave.

But today they realize that they made a mistake, and that after Russia loses, they will not have a chance to remain free. We will get Tsarev, and Montyan, and many others. We are talking about dozens of people, and we clearly understand who played which role…

Today, they are terrified of the future in which Russia will not exist in the form they adored. That is, there will be no totalitarian empire that will bring anyone to their knees. And these people will pay a personal price for the fact that they wanted such an empire to exist. This is the main problem of these people. They are trying to somehow explain their position.

Let’s remember what the same Montian said at the beginning of the full-scale invasion: “3 days – and everyone will be on their knees, they will come running with flowers.”

This is a much deeper question than it seems at first glance. It’s not about what these people say. The question is that if we want to get a more or less fair world as a whole, then people have to be responsible for their words and actions. If a person is a criminal – they should be put in prison.
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No need to look for excuses for these people. We have to bring this war to an end, and, in my opinion, we have to rebuild the inner space as well. We should be more open and fair in our country. We need to be fair and honest in the biographies of all the people who for 30 years have contributed to the fact that we are now losing Ukraine’s best sons and daughters.
 
Remember this?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1638974205394919425

Something that slipped under the radar is that the Slovaks upgraded all their MiG-29s in the 2000's with NATO systems.

These are far more compatible to western systems than any jet in Ukraine's inventory.

Establishing a secure connection ...

www.key.aero

In November 2004, Slovakia signed an ambitious and costly communication, navigation and identification (CNI) avionics upgrade, overhaul and service life extension programme (SLEP) contract with the MiG- 29’s original equipment manufacturer (OEM), RSK MiG. It covered the Westernisation and life-extension of 12 MiG-29s, including two MiG-29UB two-seaters. The SLEP extended the Fulcrum’sairframe life to 40 years or 4,000 flight hours, whichever is reached first, making the fleet good to continue in service until the late 2020s. The work on this project was undertaken by the Slovak maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) company LOTN in Trenčín.

The upgraded MiG-29AS single-seaters received the BAE Systems APX-113 interrogator/transponder IFF, while the two-seaters received the APX-117 IFF. The APX-113 was fully integrated with the MiG- 29’s N019 radar, which allowed both Russian and Western-made electronic systems to work together and made possible the reliable detection and identification of targets using the MiG-29’s original NO19 radar set.

The new Western-supplied communication systems integrated onto the MiG-29AS and MiG-29UBS included the Rockwell Collins ARC-210 Talon UHF/ VHF encrypted radio, Rockwell Collins Miniature Airborne GPS Receiver (MAGR), ARN-147 VOR/instrument landing system (ILS) and ARN-153(V) tactical air navigation system (TACAN). The newly added Western avionics systems were integrated via MILSTD- 1553 primary and ARINC 429 back-up data buses. An ELT 503 emergency locator transmitter was also installed.
 
Odd how he was awarded a medal for his part in the Battle of Ilovaisk in 2014 when Russia claimed they were not there.

kyivindependent.com

Media: Notorious Russian officer responsible for 2014 Ilovaisk massacre killed in battle

On March 26, Ukrainian journalist Yurii Butusov reported that Russian assault regiment commander Dmitrii Lisitskii, who played a significant role in the Battle of Ilovaisk in Donetsk Oblast in 2014, was killed by Ukrainian forces.
kyivindependent.com kyivindependent.com
 
Still to early to be certain. There are a quite a number of sources mentioning Russians attack on Bakhmut have reduced

According to the spokesperson, the number of assaults on the Bakhmut front has decreased, possibly indicating that the Russian forces are repositioning their reserves.

"Yesterday, there were 18 assaults on the entire Bakhmut front, today there were 17. Before that, there were from 35 to 50 or more. However, this requires more detailed verification and analysis,” Cherevatyi said.
kyivindependent.com

Military spokesperson: Ukrainian forces 'stabilize situation' in Bakhmut area, number of Russian assaults drops

While fighting persists in the area, it has lessened in intensity in the past two days, according to Serhii Cherevatyi, spokesperson for Ukraine's Eastern Military Command.
kyivindependent.com kyivindependent.com
 
Good article on Russia's methods and achievements.

samf.substack.com

Still Bakhmut

Loud thunder but few raindrops Chinese proverb This proverb was used by Sergey Radchenko to describe the result of the much heralded Putin-Xi summit, which concluded on 22 March. It might also describe a general feature of Russia’s war. Much is promised with boasts and bluster but in the end...
samf.substack.com samf.substack.com
 
Mirai said:
What crusade? Is Ukraine a crusade? Belarus is just as oppressed as Russia but the people are more freedom leaning than pro-Big Russia. Belarus is of a higher strategic importance to Russia. Biden already included Belarus in the Western club with the new Iron Curtain running between Belarus/Ukraine and Russia.
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Ukraine is being illegally invaded militarily. It's territories illegally annexed, it's people brutalised and it's culture actively destroyed. I oppose this thoroughly, and I support action, even military to right this wrong. What you're talking about "The real fight will be over Belarus because that opens the way to Moscow", is something completely different.
 
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Mirai said:
Yes it does. Because we're supposed to believe he is being honest here, but someone who takes advantage of a child is another sort of human with different sorts of values.



There are 100s of such people.



And there were many people like that and even more superior people. Also many people got the Russians wrong. For example they did not expect the Russians to be this poorly prepared for this war.



A career guy with many an axe to grind.
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Well, let's see.
I'm backing Russia to achieve its objectives.
 
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