Russo-Ukrainian War - 2022 Edition - Part 11

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West’s “Serious Analysis” on Ukraine: Internet Droppings in Official Dress

Is this why Russia is winning the war?
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Ukraine is “gradually, slowly losing” the war. Those are not the words of a Kremlin propagandist but Ukraine’s own Mykhailo Fedorov, the country’s recently dismissed defence minister, speaking to Reuters last week. In the days after he made that grim prediction, Russia has stepped up its attacks on Ukraine to near-apocalyptic levels.
In a fiendishly effective move, the Kremlin switched from mass drone and missile strikes to continuous, 60-hour-long waves of bombardments which saw nineteen air-raids on Kyiv in a single day, exhausting defenders and dwindling stocks of air-defence missiles alike.
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Despite Ukraine’s recent battlefield successes, it is far too early to write off Russia, which is rebuilding its military in ways that many in the west have underestimated. Instead of simply replacing battlefield losses, it is creating a defence industry that combines Soviet-era industrial capacity with the demands of 21st-century warfare. The goal is not just to produce more tanks, but to reshape its military around the “asymmetric” advantages revealed by the war in Ukraine: drones, compact electronic warfare systems and other low-cost technologies that can be fielded at scale.
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Soviet-era defence giants have proved adaptable, prioritising scalable, low-cost capabilities — such as drones and compact electronic warfare.... Kalashnikov’s partnerships with grassroots initiatives such as Ushkuynik and Project Archangel illustrate how wartime innovation is consolidated under major state defence contractors. Russia’s Geran long-range drones have evolved from the original Iranian propeller-driven design to jet-powered versions, as well as newer variants operating on mesh networks (a self-organising wireless network allowing drones to communicate directly and relay data through one another).
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In 2026, Kalashnikov signed an agreement to supply civilian UAVs to an Indian partner. This demand is likely to grow, particularly across the global south.
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Russia’s official state-operated TASS outlet reports that the feared new Starlink jammer called Volna Kupol Garant has been launched into mass production
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The Russian defense industry source emphasized that Volna Kupol Garant does not interfere with ground terminals. “It operates from above and disrupts the operation of the satellites themselves in orbit. Using a narrow, powerful, directional radio signal, it blinds the satellites’ receiving antennas, causing the spacecraft’s onboard systems to fail and ground terminals to stop functioning. Right before our eyes, the Volna system was conceived, developed, produced as prototypes, and underwent several modifications and improvements. And today, we can safely say that it has entered mass production,” the source stated.
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