2TB consumer SSDs a possibility in 2013

So if they went back to a 3.5" or even better 5.25" size, could see 10/20TB drives? Exciting times ahead.
 
If the cheapest SSD 120gb are R1900(with good ssd speeds) -the machtech ones at ikonicit, then can you imagine the cost of a 2tb ssd - R25k?, Not very consumer friendly.
 
Last edited:
If the cheapest SSD 120gb are R1900(with good ssd speeds) -the machtech ones at ikonicit, then can you imagine the cost of a 2tb ssd - R25k?, Not very consumer friendly.

It would depend on how much prices drop.
 
I don't want to know how much this is going to cost. I already sold my one kidney ;)

Seriously, SSD's is a great idea for swap files and caching, but I am not convinced that they are more reliable than hard drives. Someone did a study on failure rates between SSDs and HDDs and it is pretty close.
 
Yeah, provided the "consumer" is Bill Gates or Richard Branson. Prices would have to drop by about 90% just to compete with existing hdd's
 
If the cheapest SSD 120gb are R1900(with good ssd speeds) -the machtech ones at ikonicit, then can you imagine the cost of a 2tb ssd - R25k?, Not very consumer friendly.

If they make 2TB SSDs in a 2.5 inch form factor by 2013 (note the article says it's possible, not likely), I'd hazard a guess that they'd retail for a bit higher than R45,000 to R50,000 (what it will cost you for 4 x 480GB SSDs at the moment). Lower the price slightly when you remove duplicate items (controllers, housing etc) but then jack it up slightly for the cost of a totally new controller, the fact that it will be a high end IMFT drive (so it won't be made with the budget market), import costs bringing in such an expensive part (low volume, so importers will want to maximize profits to make stocking the drives worth while). Oh and the chances are the drive won't sport the full 2TB capacity but rather 1.6 or 1.8TB even if it has 2TB worth of chips in it.

My best guess on the price of an Intel 1.6TB 2.5 inch SATA 6 SSD drive in 2013 in South Africa (if such a thing is made and sold in this country): R57560.33.
 
Argh! You'd think having no moving parts would not only make these incredibly more reliable but a heck of a lot cheaper than normal disk drives. Darn you paradox!
 
I think SSDs are going to migrate users from magnetic media the same way LCDs have done to CRTs. The manufacturers know that metal prices are increasing, the green tax to ship heavier magnetic drives is only going to get higher as well. I think the prices are going to drop rapidly as the technology grows.

Look at the price of pen drives.
 
128GB 20nm die

That is the really important part. The more data they fit on a single chip the lower the price gets. That single chip can accomplish what SSDs like Sandforce use 8 NAND chips to accomplish.

The cost of manufacturing stays the same regardless of the size (space wise) of a NAND chip. Unless the yield decreases (which they usually sort out quickly) or the size of die increases.

This might not yield price decreases but space will increase significantly. The thing that makes SSDs fast is RAISE (Redundant Array of Independent Silicon Elements), that is RAID for NAND chips. Internally an SSD has RAID across 4-8 NAND chips.

So to keep speeds up they might not decrease the amount of chips but we have more space per chip. The reality however will be that 128GB will become the new 32GB.

Seriously, SSD's is a great idea for swap files and caching, but I am not convinced that they are more reliable than hard drives.
Was the first car reliable. Were the first hard-drives reliable? Catch my drift?

The technology is a baby compared to hard-drives which are dinosaurs. Give it time to mature, then draw a conclusion.

In a few years time SSDs will definitely supplant hard-drives, in terms of storage, reliability and cost. It is only a matter of time. In my opinion the hard-drive companies will suddenly start advancing at a very high pace once the SSDs start catching up. Nothing like good'ol competition to wake up a sleeping giant.
 
Last edited:
Well, when 1TB & 2TB SATA drives came out, they took a while to get below the R2000 mark. By the time the 3TB came along, those drives were being pushed at much cheaper prices, and the 3TB itself didn't stay that expensive for very long. So, I hope as these "huge" capacity SSD's come out, we should see a decrease in price all around on all SSD's, and it should just get better....
 
Well, when 1TB & 2TB SATA drives came out, they took a while to get below the R2000 mark. By the time the 3TB came along, those drives were being pushed at much cheaper prices, and the 3TB itself didn't stay that expensive for very long. So, I hope as these "huge" capacity SSD's come out, we should see a decrease in price all around on all SSD's, and it should just get better....

Highly doubt it, they reckon it will only drop to about 0.75 dollar a gb by 2013.

I was reading about magnetic drives and holy shyte those seem insane.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/5164110.stm

SSd's pricing will plummet if that gets off the ground.
 
Last edited:
Top
Sign up to the MyBroadband newsletter
X