Rain and storm for Cpt pt 2

WTF, is this really the time to be whinging about that?

They have actually been cutting down many of the Oak trees in the area because there is some beetle that is killing them and then they fall over/drop massive branches, perhaps what happened here.

Oak trees have been shedding branches for decades. The common type here is the English Oak, which has some issues with our climate. They are gradually being replaced by the Turkish Oak, which is not quite as attractive, but better suited to our climate.

Bluegum trees are equally dangerous. This branch fell on our fence yesterday:
IMG-20260512-WA0003.jpg
 
Oak trees have been shedding branches for decades. The common type here is the English Oak, which has some issues with our climate. They are gradually being replaced by the Turkish Oak, which is not quite as attractive, but better suited to our climate.

Bluegum trees are equally dangerous. This branch fell on our fence yesterday:
View attachment 1907459
I trust Bluegums less than an ANC politician.
 
This morning's SAWS ship synoptic chart shows conditions will soon begin clearing, but still a very long time until sunny and dry weather returns:
ma_sy_20260512_0600.gif
 
One thing I am battling to make sense of is the closing of schools.

At first glance it seems sensible. Children can stay at home, don’t need to travel in these conditions to get to school etc. For us, it’s a non issue. Wife works for the university, which also cancelled all classes and told staff to stay home. I work from home anyway. Sure, productivity takes a nosedive needing to actually be parents for a full day for a change, but so what.

But for the real high risk people, whom they actually make these decisions for - they are in the poorer communities, and probably don’t really have the luxury of being able to take off work to look after kids. So now, there will be loads of unaccompanied minors staying at home in townships or informal settlements in these dangerous conditions without adult supervision.

Would it not be safer for them to be at school, where responsible adults can move them into safety in the school hall if needed, and where they get given a hot meal everyday at least (for many, their main meal of the day)?

I have worked in disaster management before, when I was working on projects in Mozambique, and I have a lot of respect for the people who do this full time. Doing the risk assessments, needing to issue directives based on that and then needing to stand by your decisions regardless of what happens is not an easy job, and these guys need to consider many different scenarios and datasets to do so.

But, with some of our local indigent communities, and I remember this from previous flood/weather scenarios, the school was often the safest place for these kids to be during these times.
 
Oak trees have been shedding branches for decades. The common type here is the English Oak, which has some issues with our climate. They are gradually being replaced by the Turkish Oak, which is not quite as attractive, but better suited to our climate.

Bluegum trees are equally dangerous. This branch fell on our fence yesterday:
View attachment 1907459

There's a reason they're called windowmaker trees.

I had one fall in front of me whilst walking through a small forested area in Johannesburg a few years ago, absolutely no warning until it came down 2m in front of me.
 
DWS dam levels are starting to update, and show impressive increases for the Berg River Dam (up 15% from 52.5% to 67.5%) and Theewaterskloof (up 11% from 50% to 61%) during the 24 hours to 8am on Tues 12th:
View attachment 1907469
View attachment 1907470

Very relieved to see this. Looking at the SAWS seasonal forecasts I was expecting another water crisis for the WC come summer time. Hopefully the rest of the season continues to fill the reservoirs
 
What weird weather, now the suns out, almost no wind


We’re still without electricity since yesterday morning in Hermanus, but now I’m getting a charge in my batteries at last. I switched my inverter off last night before bed with 8% batteries left. Now sitting at 32% with just the one big fridge/freezer plugged in and everything else off.
 
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