Rain and storm for Cpt pt 2

[WAslayer]

Mostly orographic precipitation, near the mountain. Nothing in Kenilworth today. It depends where you are located.

The Milnerton webcam has provided a nice view of the scene:
View attachment 1931591

Had some spittle in Kuils River earlier..

 

[shooter_za]

Mostly orographic precipitation, near the mountain. Nothing in Kenilworth today. It depends where you are located.

The Milnerton webcam has provided a nice view of the scene:
View attachment 1931591

Got completely soaked on a hike up Diagonal today. We were not expecting that...poor planning. Still 100% worth it.

 

[Gordon_R]

Got completely soaked on a hike up Diagonal today. We were not expecting that...poor planning. Still 100% worth it.

The forecast was for something like 0.1mm today, though the orographic rainfall was probably close to 10mm. Model forecasts never get those details right. The wind direction was a bit unusual (mostly W), and hardly a drop fell in Kenilworth. We normally get drenched when the wind is from the NW.

 

[PowerFactor]

Today's breeze was quite cold.

 

[Gordon_R]

Today's breeze was quite cold.

Wednesday and Thursday will be warmer (mid 20s), but rain is predicted for Saturday (after a prolonged dry spell). Yo-yo weather, and winter is not quite finished yet.

 

[WAslayer]

Wednesday and Thursday will be warmer (mid 20s), but rain is predicted for Saturday (after a prolonged dry spell). Yo-yo weather, and winter is not quite finished yet.

If the forecast holds true, seems like the prevailing high pressure system might finally move off.. from Wednesday/Thursday looks like a good few days of low pressure system, followed by a few days of high and then low again after that..

Just a little too late for a bit of top up of the dams unfortunately..

 

[PowerFactor]

I got a proper skrik this morning when I heard water running and then realised it was raining.

 

[Maurice Kitching]

I got a proper skrik this morning when I heard water running and then realised it was raining.

Had a good soaking here in the Far South.

 

[Gordon_R]

Had a good soaking here in the Far South.

Rather odd weather. Most of the rain before midday fell from a high cloud base (upper trough). Low clouds are now moving in, and the temperature has dropped. It feels more like a cold-front, but very little rain is likely.

Edit: The SAWS ship synoptic chart was a bit late updating, but shows a tiny and weak front, with cool onshore winds behind the front:



An upper trough and potential cutoff-low is likely to form late next week (Thurs 3rd to Sat 5th). Model runs for the last two days have been all over the map (literally). Initially there was potential for heavy rain, cold and snow, but all of those are gradually fading. In either case it will be a few days of unsettled weather for much of the western and southern parts of SA, with low temperatures, and some isolated heavy showers, and lingering for several days.

 

[Defiler]

Had a good soaking here in the Far South.

And a couple of bright flashes of lightning over Long Beach.