ANC less than 50%

[BBSA]

Saw a guy predicting on News24 that the ANC will get less than 50% of the national vote.

My predictions are:

1. The ANC will get 48 % (nationally), lose the Western Cape and the provincial representation reduced massively.

2. The DA will win the Western Cape and increase the national Parliament representation to 15 to 18%.

3. Cope will go neck to neck with the ANC in the Eastern Cape and getting significant votes from other provinces

What do you guys think, is it possible?

 

[wizdumb]

don't know about the 48% nationally, but i think we should atleast see them lose the 2/3 majority...

...the wc part is also possible

 

[iDenTiTy]

Saw a guy predicting on News24 that the ANC will get less than 50% of the national vote.



What do you guys think, is it possible?

Nope.

The masses are idiots indeed.

 

[PokerKing]

the rurals are extremely uneducated therefore no.. they do not now of any other party to vote for. If the DA drove out to rural areas and gave out free shirts with 'Vote for DA' printed on them.. They probably would vote. ANC drives out to the most random rural areas and gives out free stuff.. Obviously they will therefore vote for ANC... Unfortunately...

 

[elmorya]

"Politics"to me - is a case of simple mathematics! The freeloaders, dumb/uneducated & criminals are going to vote ANC - let's say 15 M. The opposition should appeal to the other 30 M - those with bona fide residential addresses, tax payers, and school fees paying parents - viola - "They WIN"

 

[RaFi]

the rurals are extremely uneducated therefore no.. they do not now of any other party to vote for. If the DA drove out to rural areas and gave out free shirts with 'Vote for DA' printed on them.. They probably would vote. ANC drives out to the most random rural areas and gives out free stuff.. Obviously they will therefore vote for ANC... Unfortunately...

I don't know how things are going in the cities, but the first posters to the poles today was from the DA, this was outside Louis Trichardt, Limpopo.
However, the ANC is using that trusty rural church mouth piece and tell the people that they will all have food, nice tarred roads and huge factories to work in. Mind you , this is the same church that proclaims that the preacher(whatever he is called) are allowed to live in a big house, drive a nice car and can visit your wife while you are work. If a person do not give more than R20 each Sunday to the collection plate, the next sermon will be why he/she is going to hell. The poor are useless and should be banned from church. Apparently also in the bible.

The fact that the people haven't turned on him will give you you an idea of the mindset of the people living in rural areas.

 

[quovadis]

"Politics"to me - is a case of simple mathematics! The freeloaders, dumb/uneducated & criminals are going to vote ANC - let's say 15 M. The opposition should appeal to the other 30 M - those with bona fide residential addresses, tax payers, and school fees paying parents - viola - "They WIN"

2004 - 20 million registered voters
2009 - 23 million registered voters

Either way - 2/3rds majority must be avoided but at the end of the day less than 50% of the country vote - which is a shame.

 

[boramk]

2004 - 20 million registered voters
2009 - 23 million registered voters

Either way - 2/3rds majority must be avoided but at the end of the day less than 50% of the country vote - which is a shame.

Only 3Million more? :/
I was hoping the new class of 18yr olds would do something...
Lets hope 2014 they lose significantly and by 2019, the ANC are finished

 

[Milano]

Lets hope 2014 they lose significantly and by 2019, the ANC are finished

Or ANC wins two thirds majority, Zuma is president and 2009 is the LAST election

 

[brixton tower]

wishful thinking

Saw a guy predicting on News24 that the ANC will get less than 50% of the national vote.



What do you guys think, is it possible?

ROLMAO...Keep dreaming

Anyway, here's my take on how things could possibly pan out in the next couple of months.

ANC wins more than 60% of the vote.

COPE would likely be the next official opposition.

COPE gets about 20% of the vote at the expense of the mickey mouse parties like the UDM/ACDP...and the rest of the alphabet soup.

DA gets the largest chunk of votes in the Western Cape but not enough to run it alone so they go into coalition with smaller parties- possibly excluding COPE.

Post election, you see a bunch of careerist( who had defected to COPE) march back to Luthuli House with cap in hand, begging to be taken back.

JZ is inaugurated in May at the Union Buildings...and the NPA can't say buggerall about it....the charges against him meanwhile gets squashed.

Julius Malema says to all and sundry: "I told you so"...while he takes up a (mis)management position at one of the parastatals.

 

[marine1]

ROLMAO...Keep dreaming

Anyway, here's my take on how things could possibly pan out in the next couple of months.

ANC wins more than 60% of the vote.

COPE would likely be the next official opposition.

COPE gets about 20% of the vote at the expense of the mickey mouse parties like the UDM/ACDP...and the rest of the alphabet soup.

DA gets the largest chunk of votes in the Western Cape but not enough to run it alone so they go into coalition with smaller parties- possibly excluding COPE.

Post election, you see a bunch of careerist( who had defected to COPE) march back to Luthuli House with cap in hand, begging to be taken back.

JZ is inaugurated in May at the Union Buildings...and the NPA can't say buggerall about it....the charges against him meanwhile gets squashed.

Julius Malema says to all and sundry: "I told you so"...while he takes up a (mis)management position at one of the parastatals.

You are probably right and that my friends is why Africa will never advance. The masses are brain dead and continue to vote for the party that does the least work and makes the least effort to uplift the citizens. Corruption and greed are celebrated. We deserve what we get.

 

[brixton tower]

I forgot to add, the ANC will retain the Eastern Cape and as well increase its support in KZN, especially in the rural areas at the expense of the IFP who have over the last decade become irrelevant.

 

[alloytoo]

Nope.

The masses are idiots indeed.

agreed 100%

 

[BBSA]

COPE would likely be the next official opposition.

COPE gets about 20% of the vote at the expense of the mickey mouse parties like the UDM/ACDP...and the rest of the alphabet soup.

I think you are rating COPE to high. Their leadership battle and lack of organisation is costing them. They will get between 6 and 8%.

I see ANC and DA posters but no COPE posters. Probably still fighting who's face will be on the poster

 

[R13...]

I think you are rating COPE to high. Their leadership battle and lack of organisation is costing them. They will get between 6 and 8%.

I see ANC and DA posters but no COPE posters. Probably still fighting who's face will be on the poster

agree COPE will be lucky to get 10%.
what a disappointment they have turned out to be.

 

[wizdumb]

lets hope that 8% that cope might get all comes from the anc...

...otherwise the anc will take the 2/3 again.

i see they sneakily gave a bursary to shilowa's son - from julius nogal *vomit* pretty ingenius plan though

 

[semiautomatix]

Saw a guy predicting on News24 that the ANC will get less than 50% of the national vote.



What do you guys think, is it possible?

I will be partying in the streets if that happens. You know what it would mean? If enough opposition banded together they could elect a non-ANC president; the ANC would be unable to push through any laws; we would finally have democracy!

Happy days, we can only hope!

 

[semiautomatix]

I forgot to add, the ANC will retain the Eastern Cape and as well increase its support in KZN, especially in the rural areas at the expense of the IFP who have over the last decade become irrelevant.

But they just lost quite a few by-elections to the IFP in Natal?

http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=13&art_id=nw20090305153637556C728002