Labour federation Cosatu has continued to bleed members and cannot get a handle on major affiliated unions that have become embarrassingly dysfunctional.
A number of the federation’s affiliates are simply too small to sustain themselves, and major affiliates have been paralysed by fights to control investment companies.
On the political front, its leadership is starting to imagine a future where its alliance partner, the ANC, fails to win 50% of the vote in the upcoming national election.
Cosatu’s incumbent president, S’dumo Dlamini, said that everything points to a very tight election in 2019.
Dlamini is also a member of the ANC’s national executive committee and the SACP’s central committee.
“These days, I often close my eyes and try to imagine what it would be like if the country was governed by the DA. Many people argue in favour of coalitions these days, but I don’t think South Africa is ready for it,” he said in an interview.
“Cosatu would still be in an alliance with the ANC, and we would have to ask questions about whatever coalition ends up being formed if that point is reached.”
The DA would almost certainly never support the Cosatu framework of a “national democratic revolution”, he said, adding that the Economic Freedom Fighters were pushing a “fascist programme”.
Like the ANC, Cosatu is losing ground.
A frank organisational report, tabled for the federation’s national congress taking place next week, shows that membership of Cosatu unions has fallen to 1.6 million this year – down from 2.2 million in 2013.
In just the past year, membership fell 6%, says the report.
Even these figures are likely to be overstated as at least one major affiliate – the Chemical, Energy, Paper, Printing, Wood and Allied Workers’ Union (Ceppwawu) – has provided highly questionable figures.
More at : https://www.fin24.com/Economy/Labour/cosatu-battles-declines-20180916-3