Naks
Honorary Master
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- Jun 3, 2009
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Pirelli's preview of the upcoming Belgian GP
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Please do that for this year's graph

It's a career graph.Please do that for this year's graph![]()
Make it the last 3 years to be fair.Please do that for this year's graph![]()
Yeah, that takes the ridiculous out of a career comparison between people at the beginning of their careers to some random old toppieMake it the last 3 years to be fair.

I worry for Charles. I worry that he's picking up bad habits at Ferrari - having to deal with that car.
Abstract
Successful performance in Formula One is determined by combination of both the driver’s skill and race-car constructor advantage. This makes key performance questions in the sport difficult to answer. For example, who is the best Formula One driver, which is the best constructor, and what is their relative contribution to success? In this paper, we answer these questions based on data from the hybrid era in Formula One (2014–2021 seasons). We present a novel Bayesian multilevel rank-ordered logit regression method to model individual race finishing positions. We show that our modelling approach describes our data well, which allows for precise inferences about driver skill and constructor advantage. We conclude that Hamilton and Verstappen are the best drivers in the hybrid era, the top-three teams (Mercedes, Ferrari, and Red Bull) clearly outperform other constructors, and approximately 88 % of the variance in race results is explained by the constructor. We argue that this modelling approach may prove useful for sports beyond Formula One, as it creates performance ratings for independent components contributing to success.
Am I reading that correctly - Max and Lewis showed equal skill in 2020 but Max had more skill than Lewis in 2019 and 2021?Bayesian analysis of Formula One race results: disentangling driver skill and constructor advantage: https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/jqas-2022-0021/html
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That's how i read it - maybe not more skill per se but their driving contributed more to the wins than say the car component? I'll admit i didn't read the articleAm I reading that correctly - Max and Lewis showed equal skill in 2020 but Max had more skill than Lewis in 2019 and 2021?
I'm hoping it will be, too.Should be a good race this weekend
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Sounds greatI'm hoping it will be, too.
Max will obviously be faster than Lewis. Best thing, from a racing perspective, would be if Max DNFs for some reason and we have an actual fight for the lead. Perez will be working his way up from 14th and fighting through the field. Williams should be pretty quick with all the straights. Merc will be slow, with all the straights. McLaren should be competitive. Ferrari will definitely be in the points...maybe.
Bayesian analysis of Formula One race results: disentangling driver skill and constructor advantage: https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/jqas-2022-0021/html
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