Fourth wave modelling to help inform new lockdown restrictions: advisor

But how was your modelling in previous waves? Yes, that percentage increase is huge but it is off an extremely low base, so let's have some perspective. That growth clearly won't be maintained when we get to a bigger number of cases.
 
Its fantastic creative wave modelling and planning -more people get fear-more test -more false positives-and the numbers shoot up. Thats creating more fear and more tests. If you dont have Telegram you wont understand this. .
 
Imagine if we "modelled" the common cold. It would look like an apocalypse.

Cases are meaningless. Only hospital and deaths matter, and then it needs to be based on comorbidities and age and vaccination status too.
 
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